Early October 1 October
67°F
Typical afternoon high
34% historical wet-day frequency
France · City
Is October a good time?
October averages 64°F afternoons, with about 10 rain days. Later October is typically cooler.
Historical Ile-de-France regional averages, not a forecast or a measure of queues. Overnight demand compares average stays per day. This covers Paris and the whole Île-de-France region: Versailles, Disneyland Paris, Saint-Denis and the suburbs. Central Paris on its own is busier than these figures show, because the visitors concentrate there while the population count includes the whole region.
What matters most?
Weather 50% · Crowds 30% · Cost 20%
#7 of 12 months here · Balanced mix
Overall combines weather, overnight demand and cost. It does not include sea temperature.
Plan your October
Afternoons around 64°F (18°C): light layers; nights around 47°F (9°C): a warm coat. Bring rain gear: about 10 days with at least 1 mm of rain. About 11 hours of daylight.
The sun rises about 08:08 and sets about 19:03 (local time, mid-month). Mornings start around 47°F (9°C); afternoons reach about 64°F (18°C). Expect rain on about 10 days in a typical October.
Early, middle or late?
Early October is typically warmer. The afternoon high averages 67°F on the 1st, versus 59°F on the 31st. Historical wet-day frequency rises from 34% to 38% between those dates.
67°F
Typical afternoon high
34% historical wet-day frequency
64°F
Typical afternoon high
35% historical wet-day frequency
59°F
Typical afternoon high
38% historical wet-day frequency
Historical daily averages from 2011–2025, smoothed over two weeks. A seasonal pattern, not a forecast. This does not establish which week has the lowest prices or fewest visitors.
Weather shows historical patterns, not a forecast. Holidays and events use the dates shown for 2026.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 167° | 267° | 367° | 467° | |||
| 566° | 666° | 766° | 865° | 965° | 1065° | 1165° |
| 1265° | 1365° | 1464° | 1564° | 1664° | 1764° | 1864° |
| 1964° | 2063° | 2163° | 2263° | 2363° | 2462° | 2562° |
| 2662° | 2761° | 2861° | 2960° | 3060° | 3159° |
Afternoon high rain likely (25%+) local school holidays public holiday event
Afternoons cool from about 67°F (19°C) in the first week to 61°F (16°C) in the last. The chance of a wet day runs 32–39%. Local schools are out 18–31 October 2026.
Schools here are off 18–31 October 2026 (All Saints holidays). Elsewhere in October 2026, the share of people living where schools are out on a typical day: Germany 33%, Netherlands 39%, Switzerland 32%, Belgium 15%. (School holidays: OpenHolidays, ODbL.)
Visitor season
Steady all year. October averages 100% of June's overnight stays per day. Overnight demand varies little across the year.
Overnight stays across Ile-de-France do not measure queues, day visitors or congestion at individual sights.
Hotel price season
Well above usual. Estimated from national hotel prices and local visitor demand; no measured regional room rate is available.
Fewer overnight stays do not automatically mean cheaper rooms. Check actual quotes for your trip.
Year-to-year variation
In the 15 years from 2011 to 2025, the month's afternoons averaged between 60°F (16°C) and 69°F (20°C); in 10 of them they were within 3°F (1.5°C) of the typical 64°F (18°C). Rain days ranged from 4 to 17; half the years had 7–14.
Rain days in each October
| Year | Afternoon high | Rain days |
|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 65°F | 7 |
| 2012 | 61°F | 14 |
| 2013 | 64°F | 13 |
| 2014 | 65°F | 10 |
| 2015 | 60°F | 7 |
| 2016 | 61°F | 5 |
| 2017 | 65°F | 8 |
| 2018 | 67°F | 4 |
| 2019 | 63°F | 17 |
| 2020 | 60°F | 15 |
| 2021 | 63°F | 10 |
| 2022 | 69°F | 12 |
| 2023 | 68°F | 15 |
| 2024 | 64°F | 13 |
| 2025 | 62°F | 10 |
Checked against 62 local weather stations. How we check
Compare dates
| Typical conditions | Sep | Oct | Nov |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 73°F | 64°F | 53°F |
| Rain days | 7 | 10 | 10 |
| Overnight demand | 96% | 100% | 87% |
September: Warmer afternoons and fewer rain days than October. September guide →
November: Cooler afternoons than October. November guide →
Overnight demand measures accommodation stays, not queues.
Yellow marks the top three months on the Balanced mix. October stays as your reference.
Hotel stays vary little through the year. June to September have a Weather score at least 1.0 point higher than October.
Your comparison
Overnight stays vary little through the year.
National hotel prices and local visitor demand suggest about usual. No measured regional room rate is available.
Read the September guide →| Typical conditions | October | September |
|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 64°F | 73°F |
| Nights | 47°F | 52°F |
| Rain days | 10 | 7 |
| Visitor season | Steady all year | Steady all year |
| Overall / 10 | 6.7 | 7.7 |
| Month rank | #7 | #3 |
| Month | Overall | Rank | High | Low | Rain days | Weather | Visitor season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 5.5 | #11 | 46°F | 35°F | 14 | 4.5 | Steady all year |
| February | 5.8 | #10 | 49°F | 35°F | 9 | 5.2 | Steady all year |
| March | 6.3 | #8 | 56°F | 38°F | 9 | 6.2 | Steady all year |
| April | 7.1 | #6 | 62°F | 42°F | 8 | 7.7 | Steady all year |
| May | 7.3 | #5 | 68°F | 48°F | 9 | 8.3 | Steady all year |
| June | 7.5 | #4 | 75°F | 55°F | 9 | 8.8 | Steady all year |
| July | 7.9 | #2 | 79°F | 58°F | 8 | 9.0 | Steady all year |
| August | 8.0 | #1 | 79°F | 57°F | 7 | 9.0 | Steady all year |
| September | 7.7 | #3 | 73°F | 52°F | 7 | 9.1 | Steady all year |
| October | 6.7 | #7 | 64°F | 47°F | 10 | 7.4 | Steady all year |
| November | 5.9 | #9 | 53°F | 41°F | 10 | 5.6 | Steady all year |
| December | 5.4 | #12 | 49°F | 38°F | 12 | 4.6 | Steady all year |
Near here
Nearby regions, nearest first. Distances are centre to centre, as the crow flies; they are not road distances or journey times.
PicardyFrance · about 70 miles
Balanced Overall 7.0 · Very good weather, 63°F (17°C) · Moderate season · Cost pricey
Eastern NormandyFrance · about 80 miles
Balanced Overall 5.6 · Fair weather, 63°F (17°C) · Moderate season · Cost pricey
Western NormandyFrance · about 140 miles
Balanced Overall 5.9 · Fair weather, 63°F (17°C) · Low season · Cost pricey
Bruges & the Belgian coastWest Flanders · Belgium · about 160 miles
Balanced Overall 5.3 · Fair weather, 62°F (17°C) · Moderate season · Cost pricey
Nantes & Pays de la LoireFrance · about 180 miles
Balanced Overall 6.6 · Good weather, 65°F (18°C) · Low season · Cost pricey
Elsewhere in Europe
Paris & around's weather ranks 17 of 41 city regions this month. These city regions outside France have clearly better weather on your dates, nearest first, each compared with Paris & around.
Basque CountrySpain · about 460 miles
Very good weather (8.7): 6°F warmer afternoons, 3 fewer rain days, cheaper
Barcelona & CataloniaSpain · about 480 miles
Excellent weather (9.4): 9°F warmer afternoons, 2 fewer rain days, cheaper
Bologna & Emilia-RomagnaItaly · about 500 miles
Excellent weather (9.0): 5°F warmer afternoons, 3 fewer rain days
AragonSpain · about 520 miles
Excellent weather (9.6): 10°F warmer afternoons, 5 fewer rain days, cheaper
MadridSpain · about 640 miles
Excellent weather (9.3): 8°F warmer afternoons, 4 fewer rain days
Hotel stays are steady all year here: this month is 100% of the busiest and 9% above average. That counts overnight stays, not how busy the sights are.The figures cover the whole Ile-de-France region, suburbs included. That means about 259,000 overnight visitors on a typical October night across the region, 46% of them from France itself. Rentals booked through Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor add up to 91,000 more: 35 for every 100 counted above. Some are the same properties counted twice.
| Climate suitability (HCI:Urban, 0–100) | 72 |
| How our weather was checked | 62 open weather stations in this region, January and July: afternoon highs typically within 1°F (0.3°C), night lows within 2°F (1.2°C). |
| Tourist nights per 1,000 residents per day | 21 |
| Busiest month here | June · 21 |
| Visitors as share of people present | 2.0% |
| Rank among Europe's regions this month | 77th percentile |
| Domestic share of nights | 46% |
| Platform rental nights per 100 counted nights | 35 |
| Visitor share if every platform night were extra | 2.7% |
| National hotel-price season | France historical 2024–2025 index: A little above usual (+5% vs its average month). Not a local room quote. |
| Population used | 12.5 million |
| Statistical region | FR10 · Ile-de-France |
Crowds: Eurostat nights spent at tourist accommodation, by month and NUTS 2 region, 2024–2025 average. Overnight visitors per night is the month's nights divided by its days; the per-1,000 figure is Eurostat's, against each year's population. Platform rentals: Eurostat nights booked via Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor, 2024–2025 average, shown separately because some properties are in both counts. Weather: Holiday Climate Index computed from ERA5 reanalysis with daily highs, night lows and rain days corrected from open national weather-service station records, 2011–2025, population-weighted to the region; day-by-day figures are the same data averaged by date. Heat and rain odds are counted across those years. Sunrise and sunset: NOAA solar equations, local time. Prices: Eurostat price level index and HICP, national. Full method · this region's data.