Early January 1 January
42°F
Typical afternoon high
43% historical wet-day frequency
Germany · Countryside
Is January a good time?
January averages 40°F afternoons, with about 14 rain days. Later January is typically cooler.
Historical Dresden regional averages, not a forecast or a measure of queues. Overnight demand compares average stays per day. Covers Dresden; conditions vary within the region.
What matters most?
Weather 50% · Crowds 30% · Cost 20%
#11 of 12 months here · Balanced mix
Overall combines weather, overnight demand and cost. It does not include sea temperature.
Plan your January
Afternoons around 40°F (4°C): a warm coat; nights around 29°F (−2°C): a winter coat, hat and gloves. Bring rain gear: about 14 days with at least 1 mm of rain. About 8 hours of daylight.
The sun rises about 08:01 and sets about 16:23 (local time, mid-month). Mornings start around 29°F (−2°C); afternoons reach about 40°F (4°C). Expect rain on about 14 days in a typical January.
Early, middle or late?
Early January is typically warmer. The afternoon high averages 42°F on the 1st, versus 40°F on the 31st. Historical wet-day frequency falls from 43% to 40% between those dates.
42°F
Typical afternoon high
43% historical wet-day frequency
39°F
Typical afternoon high
48% historical wet-day frequency
40°F
Typical afternoon high
40% historical wet-day frequency
Historical daily averages from 2011–2025, smoothed over two weeks. A seasonal pattern, not a forecast. This does not establish which week has the lowest prices or fewest visitors.
Public holidays · 2027: 1 Jan New Year's Day.
Weather shows historical patterns, not a forecast. Holidays and events use the dates shown for 2027.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 142° | 242° | 342° | ||||
| 442° | 542° | 642° | 741° | 841° | 941° | 1040° |
| 1140° | 1240° | 1340° | 1439° | 1539° | 1639° | 1738° |
| 1838° | 1938° | 2038° | 2138° | 2238° | 2338° | 2438° |
| 2538° | 2639° | 2739° | 2839° | 2940° | 3040° | 3140° |
Afternoon high rain likely (25%+) local school holidays public holiday event
Afternoons cool from about 42°F (5°C) in the first week to 39°F (4°C) in the last. The chance of a wet day runs 38–55%. Local schools are out 1–2 January 2027.
Schools here are off 1–2 January 2027 (Christmas holidays). Public holidays: 1 Jan New Year's Day. Elsewhere in January 2027, the share of people living where schools are out on a typical day: Spain 24%, Italy 20%, Poland 17%, Greece 23%. (School holidays: OpenHolidays, ODbL.)
Visitor season
Low season. January averages 33% of August's overnight stays per day. About half December's overnight stays.
Overnight stays across Dresden do not measure queues, day visitors or congestion at individual sights. For its size, typical for Europe this month.
Hotel price season
A little below usual. Estimated from national hotel prices and local visitor demand; no measured regional room rate is available.
Fewer overnight stays do not automatically mean cheaper rooms. Check actual quotes for your trip.
Year-to-year variation
In the 15 years from 2011 to 2025, the month's afternoons averaged between 32°F (0°C) and 44°F (7°C); in 9 of them they were within 3°F (1.5°C) of the typical 40°F (4°C). Rain days ranged from 7 to 19; half the years had 11–17.
Rain days in each January
| Year | Afternoon high | Rain days |
|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 38°F | 16 |
| 2012 | 40°F | 19 |
| 2013 | 35°F | 15 |
| 2014 | 41°F | 10 |
| 2015 | 42°F | 19 |
| 2016 | 39°F | 11 |
| 2017 | 32°F | 13 |
| 2018 | 44°F | 13 |
| 2019 | 38°F | 19 |
| 2020 | 44°F | 7 |
| 2021 | 37°F | 17 |
| 2022 | 41°F | 15 |
| 2023 | 43°F | 14 |
| 2024 | 40°F | 11 |
| 2025 | 43°F | 14 |
Checked against 14 local weather stations. How we check
Compare dates
| Typical conditions | Dec | Jan | Feb |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 43°F | 40°F | 43°F |
| Rain days | 14 | 14 | 11 |
| Overnight demand | 69% | 33% | 41% |
December: Warmer afternoons than January. More overnight demand. December guide →
February: Warmer afternoons and fewer rain days than January. More overnight demand. February guide →
Overnight demand measures accommodation stays, not queues.
Yellow marks the top three months on the Balanced mix. January stays as your reference.
March to November have a Weather score at least 1.0 point higher than January, but more overnight stays.
Your comparison
Overnight stays are 69% of the busiest month.
National hotel prices and local visitor demand suggest about usual. No measured regional room rate is available.
Read the December guide →| Typical conditions | January | December |
|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 40°F | 43°F |
| Nights | 29°F | 32°F |
| Rain days | 14 | 14 |
| Visitor season | Low season | Busy season |
| Overall / 10 | 5.9 | 5.2 |
| Month rank | #11 | #12 |
| Month | Overall | Rank | High | Low | Rain days | Weather | Visitor season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 5.9 | #11 | 40°F | 29°F | 14 | 3.9 | Low season |
| February | 6.3 | #8 | 43°F | 28°F | 11 | 4.6 | Moderate season |
| March | 6.4 | #7 | 51°F | 33°F | 10 | 5.7 | Moderate season |
| April | 6.7 | #4 | 59°F | 39°F | 7 | 7.2 | Busy season |
| May | 6.6 | #6 | 67°F | 46°F | 7 | 8.3 | Peak season |
| June | 7.0 | #1 | 76°F | 54°F | 10 | 8.8 | Peak season |
| July | 6.9 | #2 | 78°F | 56°F | 11 | 8.7 | Peak season |
| August | 6.6 | #5 | 78°F | 56°F | 9 | 8.7 | Peak season |
| September | 6.9 | #3 | 69°F | 50°F | 8 | 8.6 | Peak season |
| October | 6.1 | #9 | 59°F | 43°F | 8 | 6.7 | Busy season |
| November | 6.1 | #10 | 48°F | 36°F | 9 | 5.1 | Moderate season |
| December | 5.2 | #12 | 43°F | 32°F | 14 | 4.3 | Busy season |
Near here
Nearby regions, nearest first. Distances are centre to centre, as the crow flies; they are not road distances or journey times.
Karlovy Vary & northwest BohemiaCzechia · about 60 miles
Balanced Overall 5.9 · Fair weather, 38°F (4°C) · Moderate season · Cost cheap
LeipzigSaxony · Germany · about 60 miles
Balanced Overall 5.2 · Fair weather, 41°F (5°C) · Moderate season · Cost pricey
PragueCzechia · about 80 miles
Balanced Overall 5.4 · Fair weather, 40°F (4°C) · Steady all year · Cost cheap
BerlinGermany · about 100 miles
Balanced Overall 5.0 · Fair weather, 40°F (5°C) · Steady all year · Cost pricey
West PomeraniaPoland · about 180 miles
Balanced Overall 3.0 · Poor weather, 39°F (4°C) · Low season · Cost moderate
Elsewhere in Europe
Dresden & Saxon Switzerland's weather ranks 86 of 117 countryside regions this month. These countryside regions outside Germany have clearly better weather on your dates, nearest first, each compared with Dresden & Saxon Switzerland.
Eastern Sloveniaabout 350 miles
Fair weather (4.9): 3°F warmer afternoons, 6 fewer rain days, cheaper
Northern Croatiaabout 370 miles
Fair weather (4.9): 4°F warmer afternoons, 6 fewer rain days, cheaper
Southern TransdanubiaHungary · about 380 miles
Fair weather (4.9): 3°F warmer afternoons, 5 fewer rain days, quieter for its season (low season), cheaper
Slavonia & eastern Croatiaabout 420 miles
Fair weather (4.9): 4°F warmer afternoons, 5 fewer rain days, cheaper
Novi Sad & VojvodinaSerbia · about 480 miles
Fair weather (4.9): 4°F warmer afternoons, 4 fewer rain days, busier for its season (moderate season), cheaper
It's low season, 33% of the busiest month and 53% below its average month. That means about 11,000 overnight visitors on a typical January night across the region, 86% of them from Germany itself. Rentals booked through Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor add up to 1,800 more: 16 for every 100 counted above. Some are the same properties counted twice.
| Climate suitability (HCI:Urban, 0–100) | 54 |
| How our weather was checked | 14 open weather stations in this region, January and July: afternoon highs typically within 1°F (0.1°C), night lows within 1°F (0.5°C). |
| Tourist nights per 1,000 residents per day | 7 |
| Busiest month here | August · 21 |
| Visitors as share of people present | 0.7% |
| Rank among Europe's regions this month | 56th percentile |
| Domestic share of nights | 86% |
| Platform rental nights per 100 counted nights | 16 |
| Visitor share if every platform night were extra | 0.8% |
| National hotel-price season | Germany historical 2024–2025 index: About usual (−4% vs its average month). Not a local room quote. |
| Population used | 1.6 million |
| Statistical region | DED2 · Dresden |
Crowds: Eurostat nights spent at tourist accommodation, by month and NUTS 2 region, 2024–2025 average. Overnight visitors per night is the month's nights divided by its days; the per-1,000 figure is Eurostat's, against each year's population. Platform rentals: Eurostat nights booked via Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor, 2024–2025 average, shown separately because some properties are in both counts. Weather: Holiday Climate Index computed from ERA5 reanalysis with daily highs, night lows and rain days corrected from open national weather-service station records, 2011–2025, population-weighted to the region; day-by-day figures are the same data averaged by date. Heat and rain odds are counted across those years. Sunrise and sunset: NOAA solar equations, local time. Prices: Eurostat price level index and HICP, national. Full method · this region's data.