Early January 1 January
32°F
Typical afternoon high
51% historical wet-day frequency
Iceland · Countryside
Is January a good time?
January averages 33°F afternoons and 41°F seas, with about 18 rain days.
Historical Ísland regional averages, not a forecast or a measure of queues. Overnight demand compares average stays per day. Covers Reykjavík, Golden Circle, Blue Lagoon and Vík; conditions vary within the region.
What matters most?
Weather 50% · Crowds 30% · Cost 20%
#7 of 12 months here · Balanced mix
Overall combines weather, overnight demand and cost. It does not include sea temperature.
Plan your January
Afternoons around 33°F (1°C): a winter coat, hat and gloves. Bring rain gear: about 18 days with at least 1 mm of rain. About 5 hours of daylight.
The sea averages 41°F. Our swimming guide: very cold: wetsuit weather. Your comfort will vary. This is open water near the coast, not a beach-specific reading.
Monthly coastal averages from NOAA, 2011–2025. Sea temperature is separate from the weather and Overall scores.
The sun rises about 10:54 and sets about 15:51 (local time, mid-month). Mornings start around 27°F (−3°C); afternoons reach about 33°F (1°C). Expect rain on about 18 days in a typical January.
Early, middle or late?
Early and late January have similar afternoon averages. The afternoon high averages 32°F on the 1st, versus 34°F on the 31st. Historical wet-day frequency rises from 51% to 60% between those dates.
32°F
Typical afternoon high
51% historical wet-day frequency
34°F
Typical afternoon high
56% historical wet-day frequency
34°F
Typical afternoon high
60% historical wet-day frequency
Historical daily averages from 2011–2025, smoothed over two weeks. A seasonal pattern, not a forecast. This does not establish which week has the lowest prices or fewest visitors.
Weather shows historical patterns, not a forecast. Holidays and events use the dates shown for 2027.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 132° | 233° | 333° | ||||
| 433° | 533° | 633° | 733° | 833° | 933° | 1033° |
| 1133° | 1233° | 1333° | 1434° | 1534° | 1633° | 1734° |
| 1834° | 1934° | 2034° | 2134° | 2234° | 2333° | 2433° |
| 2533° | 2634° | 2734° | 2833° | 2933° | 3034° | 3134° |
Afternoon high rain likely (25%+) local school holidays public holiday event
School-holiday dates for January 2027 aren't available in our data yet. A day without a school marker doesn't mean schools are open.
Afternoons hold at about 33°F (1°C) all month. The chance of a wet day runs 51–61%.
Elsewhere in January 2027, the share of people living where schools are out on a typical day: Germany 21%, Spain 24%, Italy 20%, Poland 17%. (School holidays: OpenHolidays, ODbL.)
Visitor season
Low season. January averages 26% of July's overnight stays per day. Similar overnight stays to December.
Overnight stays across Ísland do not measure queues, day visitors or congestion at individual sights. For its size, one of Europe's busiest this month.
Hotel price season
Well below usual. Estimated from national hotel prices and local visitor demand; no measured regional room rate is available.
Fewer overnight stays do not automatically mean cheaper rooms. Check actual quotes for your trip.
Year-to-year variation
In the 15 years from 2011 to 2025, the month's afternoons averaged between 28°F (−2°C) and 38°F (3°C); in 10 of them they were within 3°F (1.5°C) of the typical 33°F (1°C). Rain days ranged from 10 to 23; half the years had 14–21.
Rain days in each January
| Year | Afternoon high | Rain days |
|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 36°F | 19 |
| 2012 | 33°F | 19 |
| 2013 | 38°F | 21 |
| 2014 | 36°F | 14 |
| 2015 | 32°F | 18 |
| 2016 | 32°F | 13 |
| 2017 | 36°F | 21 |
| 2018 | 32°F | 16 |
| 2019 | 33°F | 20 |
| 2020 | 34°F | 21 |
| 2021 | 32°F | 10 |
| 2022 | 35°F | 23 |
| 2023 | 28°F | 13 |
| 2024 | 33°F | 16 |
| 2025 | 30°F | 16 |
Checked against official climate averages for Reykjavik. How we check
Compare dates
| Typical conditions | Dec | Jan | Feb |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 33°F | 33°F | 36°F |
| Sea | 42°F | 41°F | 40°F |
| Rain days | 16 | 18 | 17 |
| Overnight demand | 26% | 26% | 36% |
December: Fewer rain days than January. December guide →
February: Warmer afternoons than January. More overnight demand. February guide →
Overnight demand measures accommodation stays, not queues. Sea temperatures are monthly coastal averages.
Yellow marks the top three months on the Balanced mix. January stays as your reference.
April to October have a Weather score at least 1.0 point higher than January, but more overnight stays.
Your comparison
Overnight stays are 26% of the busiest month.
National hotel prices and local visitor demand suggest well below usual. No measured regional room rate is available.
Read the December guide →| Typical conditions | January | December |
|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 33°F | 33°F |
| Nights | 27°F | 27°F |
| Sea | 41°F | 42°F |
| Rain days | 18 | 16 |
| Visitor season | Low season | Low season |
| Overall / 10 | 4.6 | 4.8 |
| Month rank | #7 | #6 |
| Month | Overall | Rank | High | Low | Sea | Rain days | Weather | Visitor season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 4.6 | #7 | 33°F | 27°F | 41°F | 18 | 2.6 | Low season |
| February | 4.6 | #8 | 36°F | 28°F | 40°F | 17 | 2.6 | Moderate season |
| March | 4.9 | #5 | 39°F | 29°F | 40°F | 17 | 3.2 | Moderate season |
| April | 5.3 | #2 | 45°F | 33°F | 41°F | 12 | 4.0 | Moderate season |
| May | 5.3 | #1 | 51°F | 37°F | 43°F | 12 | 4.8 | Moderate season |
| June | 4.9 | #4 | 57°F | 43°F | 46°F | 11 | 5.6 | Busy season |
| July | 4.5 | #9 | 60°F | 46°F | 49°F | 12 | 6.1 | Peak season |
| August | 4.5 | #10 | 59°F | 46°F | 50°F | 12 | 5.8 | Peak season |
| September | 4.4 | #12 | 52°F | 42°F | 48°F | 17 | 4.3 | Busy season |
| October | 4.5 | #11 | 44°F | 36°F | 45°F | 13 | 3.7 | Moderate season |
| November | 5.1 | #3 | 38°F | 32°F | 44°F | 15 | 3.2 | Low season |
| December | 4.8 | #6 | 33°F | 27°F | 42°F | 16 | 2.8 | Low season |
Elsewhere in Europe
Iceland's weather ranks 117 of 117 countryside regions this month. These countryside regions outside Iceland have clearly better weather on your dates, nearest first, each compared with Iceland.
FlevolandNetherlands · about 1200 miles
Fair weather (4.2): 11°F warmer afternoons, 3 fewer rain days, cheaper
DrentheNetherlands · about 1210 miles
Fair weather (4.1): 10°F warmer afternoons, 4 fewer rain days, cheaper
OverijsselNetherlands · about 1230 miles
Fair weather (4.1): 10°F warmer afternoons, 3 fewer rain days, cheaper
Weser-Ems & the North Sea coastLower Saxony · Germany · about 1240 miles
Fair weather (4.0): 9°F warmer afternoons, 3 fewer rain days, cheaper
GelderlandNetherlands · about 1240 miles
Fair weather (4.2): 11°F warmer afternoons, 3 fewer rain days, cheaper
It's low season, 26% of the busiest month and 49% below its average month. That means about 13,000 overnight visitors on a typical January night across the region, 19% of them from Iceland itself. Rentals booked through Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor add up to 2,900 more: 22 for every 100 counted above. Some are the same properties counted twice.
| Climate suitability (HCI:Urban, 0–100) | 48 |
| How our weather was checked | Official climate averages for Reykjavik from the national weather service, every month: afternoon highs typically within 3°F (1.7°C), night lows within 1°F (0.7°C). |
| Tourist nights per 1,000 residents per day | 34 |
| Busiest month here | July · 129 |
| Visitors as share of people present | 3.3% |
| Rank among Europe's regions this month | 96th percentile |
| Domestic share of nights | 19% |
| Platform rental nights per 100 counted nights | 22 |
| Visitor share if every platform night were extra | 4.0% |
| National hotel-price season | Iceland historical 2024–2025 index: Well below usual (−18% vs its average month). Not a local room quote. |
| Population used | 389,000 |
| Statistical region | IS00 · Ísland |
Crowds: Eurostat nights spent at tourist accommodation, by month and NUTS 2 region, 2023 only. Overnight visitors per night is the month's nights divided by its days; the per-1,000 figure is Eurostat's, against each year's population. Platform rentals: Eurostat nights booked via Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor, 2023 only, shown separately because some properties are in both counts. Weather: Holiday Climate Index computed from ERA5 reanalysis with daily highs, night lows and rain days corrected from open national weather-service station records, 2011–2025, population-weighted to the region; day-by-day figures are the same data averaged by date. Heat and rain odds are counted across those years. Sunrise and sunset: NOAA solar equations, local time. Prices: Eurostat price level index and HICP, national. Full method · this region's data.