Early October 1 October
78°F
Typical afternoon high
15% historical wet-day frequency
Italy · Beach
Is October a good time?
October averages 75°F afternoons and 72°F seas, with about 5 rain days. Later October is typically cooler.
Historical Sardegna regional averages, not a forecast or a measure of queues. Overnight demand compares average stays per day. Covers Costa Smeralda, Cagliari and Alghero; conditions vary within the region.
What matters most?
Weather 50% · Crowds 30% · Cost 20%
#2 of 12 months here · Balanced mix
Overall combines weather, overnight demand and cost. It does not include sea temperature.
Plan your October
Afternoons around 75°F (24°C): T-shirt weather; nights around 59°F (15°C): a sweater and a light jacket. About 11 hours of daylight. About 5 rain days in a typical October.
The sea averages 72°F. Our swimming guide: comfortable for a swim. Your comfort will vary. This is open water near the coast, not a beach-specific reading.
Monthly coastal averages from NOAA, 2011–2025. Sea temperature is separate from the weather and Overall scores.
The sun rises about 07:33 and sets about 18:46 (local time, mid-month). Mornings start around 59°F (15°C); afternoons reach about 75°F (24°C). Expect rain on about 5 days in a typical October.
Early, middle or late?
Early October is typically warmer. The afternoon high averages 78°F on the 1st, versus 71°F on the 31st. Historical wet-day frequency rises from 15% to 29% between those dates.
78°F
Typical afternoon high
15% historical wet-day frequency
76°F
Typical afternoon high
16% historical wet-day frequency
71°F
Typical afternoon high
29% historical wet-day frequency
Historical daily averages from 2011–2025, smoothed over two weeks. A seasonal pattern, not a forecast. This does not establish which week has the lowest prices or fewest visitors.
Weather shows historical patterns, not a forecast. Holidays and events use the dates shown for 2026.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 178° | 278° | 378° | 478° | |||
| 577° | 677° | 777° | 877° | 976° | 1076° | 1176° |
| 1276° | 1376° | 1476° | 1576° | 1676° | 1775° | 1875° |
| 1975° | 2075° | 2175° | 2274° | 2374° | 2474° | 2574° |
| 2673° | 2773° | 2873° | 2972° | 3072° | 3171° |
Afternoon high rain likely (25%+) local school holidays public holiday event
Afternoons cool from about 78°F (25°C) in the first week to 73°F (23°C) in the last. The chance of a wet day runs 14–29%. Local schools are out on 31 October 2026.
Schools here are off 31 October 2026 (All souls' day (commemorazione dei defunti)). Elsewhere in October 2026, the share of people living where schools are out on a typical day: France 45%, Germany 33%, Netherlands 39%, Switzerland 32%. (School holidays: official calendar, compiled by Bigfoot Wanders; other countries from OpenHolidays, ODbL.)
Visitor season
Low season. October averages 28% of August's overnight stays per day. Fewer overnight stays than September.
Overnight stays across Sardegna do not measure queues, day visitors or congestion at individual sights. For its size, busier than most of Europe this month.
Hotel price season
About usual. The regional index has no room-rate baseline in euros.
Fewer overnight stays do not automatically mean cheaper rooms. Check actual quotes for your trip.
The hotel-season index is regional (ISTAT, NIC consumer price index for accommodation services (ECOICOP 112), by region); the country price level is national. Neither is a room quote.
Year-to-year variation
In the 15 years from 2011 to 2025, the month's afternoons averaged between 71°F (22°C) and 80°F (27°C); in 9 of them they were within 3°F (1.5°C) of the typical 75°F (24°C). Rain days ranged from 2 to 12; half the years had 3–9.
Rain days in each October
| Year | Afternoon high | Rain days |
|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 74°F | 5 |
| 2012 | 74°F | 9 |
| 2013 | 78°F | 4 |
| 2014 | 78°F | 2 |
| 2015 | 72°F | 9 |
| 2016 | 75°F | 4 |
| 2017 | 76°F | 2 |
| 2018 | 73°F | 12 |
| 2019 | 76°F | 6 |
| 2020 | 71°F | 5 |
| 2021 | 73°F | 7 |
| 2022 | 78°F | 3 |
| 2023 | 80°F | 3 |
| 2024 | 75°F | 9 |
| 2025 | 74°F | 5 |
Checked against official climate averages for Cagliari Elmas. How we check
Compare dates
| Typical conditions | Sep | Oct | Nov |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 83°F | 75°F | 65°F |
| Sea | 76°F | 72°F | 67°F |
| Rain days | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Overnight demand | 70% | 28% | 4% |
September: Warmer afternoons and warmer sea than October. More overnight demand. September guide →
November: Cooler afternoons, cooler sea and more rain days than October. Less overnight demand. Check seasonal accommodation and activity openings. November guide →
Overnight demand measures accommodation stays, not queues. Sea temperatures are monthly coastal averages.
Yellow marks the top three months on the Balanced mix. October stays as your reference.
June has a Weather score at least 1.0 point higher than October, but more overnight stays.
Your comparison
Overnight stays are 70% of the busiest month.
Historical regional hotel-price season: well above usual. There is no room-rate baseline in euros.
Read the September guide →| Typical conditions | October | September |
|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 75°F | 83°F |
| Nights | 59°F | 64°F |
| Sea | 72°F | 76°F |
| Rain days | 5 | 4 |
| Visitor season | Low season | Busy season |
| Overall / 10 | 8.2 | 7.6 |
| Month rank | #2 | #5 |
| Month | Overall | Rank | High | Low | Sea | Rain days | Weather | Visitor season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 4.9 | #12 | 57°F | 44°F | 59°F | 8 | 4.0 | Off season |
| February | 5.1 | #11 | 59°F | 44°F | 58°F | 7 | 4.5 | Off season |
| March | 5.7 | #9 | 63°F | 46°F | 58°F | 8 | 5.6 | Off season |
| April | 7.8 | #4 | 68°F | 49°F | 60°F | 6 | 7.4 | Low season |
| May | 8.2 | #1 | 75°F | 55°F | 64°F | 4 | 9.0 | Low season |
| June | 7.8 | #3 | 85°F | 63°F | 71°F | 2 | 10.0 | Busy season |
| July | 7.1 | #6 | 91°F | 67°F | 77°F | 1 | 9.9 | Peak season |
| August | 6.6 | #7 | 91°F | 68°F | 79°F | 1 | 9.8 | Peak season |
| September | 7.6 | #5 | 83°F | 64°F | 76°F | 4 | 9.8 | Busy season |
| October | 8.2 | #2 | 75°F | 59°F | 72°F | 5 | 9.0 | Low season |
| November | 5.9 | #8 | 65°F | 52°F | 67°F | 9 | 6.0 | Off season |
| December | 5.4 | #10 | 60°F | 47°F | 62°F | 7 | 4.9 | Off season |
Near here
Nearby regions, nearest first. Distances are centre to centre, as the crow flies; they are not road distances or journey times.
Elsewhere in Europe
Sardinia's weather ranks 15 of 77 beach regions this month. We found no beach regions outside Italy with similar weather and a quieter visitor season.
It's low season, 28% of the busiest month and 19% below its average month. That means about 41,000 overnight visitors on a typical October night across the region, 21% of them from Italy itself. Rentals booked through Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor add up to 19,000 more: 47 for every 100 counted above. Some are the same properties counted twice.
| Climate suitability (HCI:Beach, 0–100) | 80 |
| How our weather was checked | Official climate averages for Cagliari Elmas from the national weather service, every month: afternoon highs typically within 1°F (0.5°C), night lows within 2°F (1.1°C). |
| Tourist nights per 1,000 residents per day | 26 |
| Busiest month here | August · 93 |
| Visitors as share of people present | 2.5% |
| Rank among Europe's regions this month | 86th percentile |
| Domestic share of nights | 21% |
| Platform rental nights per 100 counted nights | 47 |
| Visitor share if every platform night were extra | 3.7% |
| Regional hotel-price season | About usual (−1% vs this region's average month). Historical index from ISTAT, NIC consumer price index for accommodation services (ECOICOP 112), by region; no euro room-rate baseline. |
| Population used | 1.6 million |
| Statistical region | ITG2 · Sardegna |
Crowds: Eurostat nights spent at tourist accommodation, by month and NUTS 2 region, 2024–2025 average. Overnight visitors per night is the month's nights divided by its days; the per-1,000 figure is Eurostat's, against each year's population. Platform rentals: Eurostat nights booked via Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor, 2024–2025 average, shown separately because some properties are in both counts. Weather: Holiday Climate Index computed from ERA5 reanalysis with daily highs, night lows and rain days corrected from open national weather-service station records, 2011–2025, population-weighted to the region; day-by-day figures are the same data averaged by date. Heat and rain odds are counted across those years. Sunrise and sunset: NOAA solar equations, local time. Prices: Eurostat price level index and HICP, national; the first figure is regional (ISTAT, NIC consumer price index for accommodation services (ECOICOP 112), by region). Full method · this region's data.