Early October 1 October
74°F
Typical afternoon high
29% historical wet-day frequency
Italy · Countryside
Tuscany
in October.
Is October a good time?
Mild days.
Fewer overnight stays than September.
October averages 70°F afternoons and 71°F seas, with about 9 rain days. Later October is typically cooler.
- Afternoons
- 70°F
- Sea
- 71°F
- Visitor demand
- 38%of August peak
Historical Toscana regional averages, not a forecast or a measure of queues. Overnight demand compares average stays per day. Covers Florence, Siena, Pisa, Chianti and Lucca; conditions vary within the region.
Overall match
8.1/10 · scores & prioritiesWhat matters most?
Weather 50% · Crowds 30% · Cost 20%
#1 of 12 months here · Balanced mix
Weather9.0/10Excellent
CrowdsModerate seasonvs its own year; overnight stays do not measure queuesFor its size, busier than most of Europe this month
CostPriceyfor Europe; Italy-wide price level
Overall combines weather, overnight demand and cost. It does not include sea temperature.
Plan your October
What to expect.
What should I pack?
Afternoons around 70°F (21°C): T-shirt weather; nights around 53°F (12°C): a sweater and a light jacket. Bring rain gear: about 9 days with at least 1 mm of rain. About 11 hours of daylight.
Can I swim in October?
The sea averages 71°F. Our swimming guide: comfortable for a swim. Your comfort will vary. This is open water near the coast, not a beach-specific reading.
Monthly coastal averages from NOAA, 2011–2025. Sea temperature is separate from the weather and Overall scores.
A typical day: temperatures & daylightAfternoons, nights, sea temperature & daylight Show detailsHide details
About 11 hours of daylight.
The sun rises about 07:28 and sets about 18:34 (local time, mid-month). Mornings start around 53°F (12°C); afternoons reach about 70°F (21°C). Expect rain on about 9 days in a typical October.
Typical afternoon
70°F (21°C)
average daily high, 15 recent Octobers
Night low
53°F (12°C)
average daily minimum
Sea
71°F (21°C)
comfortable; open water near the coast, NOAA satellite record 2011–2025
Daylight
11h 06m
on the 15th, computed from latitude
Early, middle or late?
Early or late October?
Early October is typically warmer. The afternoon high averages 74°F on the 1st, versus 67°F on the 31st. Historical wet-day frequency rises from 29% to 37% between those dates.
Mid October 15 October
70°F
Typical afternoon high
27% historical wet-day frequency
Late October 31 October
67°F
Typical afternoon high
37% historical wet-day frequency
Historical daily averages from 2011–2025, smoothed over two weeks. A seasonal pattern, not a forecast. This does not establish which week has the lowest prices or fewest visitors.
Daily calendar & holiday datesOctober 2026 · historical weather & dated holidays Show calendarHide calendar
October 2026 calendar
Weather shows historical patterns, not a forecast. Holidays and events use the dates shown for 2026.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 174° | 274° | 373° | 473° | |||
| 573° | 672° | 772° | 872° | 971° | 1071° | 1171° |
| 1271° | 1371° | 1471° | 1570° | 1670° | 1770° | 1870° |
| 1970° | 2070° | 2169° | 2269° | 2369° | 2469° | 2569° |
| 2668° | 2768° | 2868° | 2967° | 3067° | 3167° |
Afternoon high rain likely (25%+) local school holidays public holiday event
Afternoons cool from about 73°F (23°C) in the first week to 68°F (20°C) in the last. The chance of a wet day runs 27–37%.
No school holidays here in October 2026. Elsewhere in October 2026, the share of people living where schools are out on a typical day: France 45%, Germany 33%, Netherlands 39%, Switzerland 32%. (School holidays: official calendar, compiled by Bigfoot Wanders; other countries from OpenHolidays, ODbL.)
Crowds and cost
Visitor season
Will it be busy?
Moderate season. October averages 38% of August's overnight stays per day. Fewer overnight stays than September.
Overnight stays across Toscana do not measure queues, day visitors or congestion at individual sights. For its size, busier than most of Europe this month.
Hotel price season
Will it be cheaper?
About usual. The regional index has no room-rate baseline in euros.
Fewer overnight stays do not automatically mean cheaper rooms. Check actual quotes for your trip.
Italy as a whole
Above EU average
2024 restaurants and hotels price level: 107 where the EU average is 100. A relative index, not a room rate.
The hotel-season index is regional (ISTAT, NIC consumer price index for accommodation services (ECOICOP 112), by region); the country price level is national. Neither is a room quote.
Year-to-year variation
How much does October vary?
Across the recorded years
In the 15 years from 2011 to 2025, the month's afternoons averaged between 66°F (19°C) and 75°F (24°C); in 11 of them they were within 3°F (1.5°C) of the typical 70°F (21°C). Rain days ranged from 2 to 14; half the years had 6–14.
Rain days in each October
Rain days
9
at least 1 mm, typical year; about 14 in a wet year
Mostly sunny days
7 of 31
cloud cover under 30%
Years with a 95°F+ day
0 of 15
no October in the last 15 years had a day at or above 95°F (35°C)
Good weather days
25 of 31
rated very good or better
See every recorded OctoberHistorical monthly averages, year by year Show detailsHide details
| Year | Afternoon high | Rain days |
|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 69°F | 4 |
| 2012 | 69°F | 10 |
| 2013 | 70°F | 14 |
| 2014 | 71°F | 8 |
| 2015 | 67°F | 14 |
| 2016 | 68°F | 14 |
| 2017 | 71°F | 3 |
| 2018 | 72°F | 9 |
| 2019 | 72°F | 9 |
| 2020 | 66°F | 13 |
| 2021 | 68°F | 6 |
| 2022 | 74°F | 2 |
| 2023 | 75°F | 11 |
| 2024 | 71°F | 14 |
| 2025 | 69°F | 8 |
Checked against official climate averages for Firenze Peretola. How we check
Compare dates
September, October
or November?
| Typical conditions | Sep | Oct | Nov |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 79°F | 70°F | 60°F |
| Sea | 75°F | 71°F | 66°F |
| Rain days | 6 | 9 | 12 |
| Overnight demand | 64% | 38% | 19% |
September: Warmer afternoons, warmer sea and fewer rain days than October. More overnight demand. September guide →
November: Cooler afternoons, cooler sea and more rain days than October. Less overnight demand. November guide →
Overnight demand measures accommodation stays, not queues. Sea temperatures are monthly coastal averages.
Compare any of the 12 monthsChoose another month and compare it with October Show comparisonHide comparison
Yellow marks the top three months on the Balanced mix. October stays as your reference.
No other scored month has a Weather score at least 1.0 point higher than October.
Your comparison
October or September?
Overnight stays are 64% of the busiest month.
Historical regional hotel-price season: well above usual. There is no room-rate baseline in euros.
Read the September guide →| Typical conditions | October | September |
|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 70°F | 79°F |
| Nights | 53°F | 60°F |
| Sea | 71°F | 75°F |
| Rain days | 9 | 6 |
| Visitor season | Moderate season | Busy season |
| Overall / 10 | 8.1 | 7.4 |
| Month rank | #1 | #5 |
Every month, in detail Show detailsHide details
| Month | Overall | Rank | High | Low | Sea | Rain days | Weather | Visitor season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 7.2 | #9 | 52°F | 38°F | 59°F | 10 | 5.6 | Low season |
| February | 7.3 | #7 | 55°F | 39°F | 58°F | 10 | 5.8 | Low season |
| March | 7.7 | #4 | 61°F | 42°F | 57°F | 9 | 7.0 | Low season |
| April | 8.0 | #3 | 67°F | 47°F | 60°F | 8 | 8.6 | Moderate season |
| May | 8.0 | #2 | 73°F | 53°F | 65°F | 7 | 9.4 | Moderate season |
| June | 7.1 | #10 | 83°F | 61°F | 72°F | 5 | 8.7 | Busy season |
| July | 6.2 | #11 | 88°F | 66°F | 78°F | 2 | 7.7 | Peak season |
| August | 5.8 | #12 | 88°F | 66°F | 79°F | 4 | 7.4 | Peak season |
| September | 7.4 | #5 | 79°F | 60°F | 75°F | 6 | 9.0 | Busy season |
| October | 8.1 | #1 | 70°F | 53°F | 71°F | 9 | 9.0 | Moderate season |
| November | 7.4 | #6 | 60°F | 46°F | 66°F | 12 | 6.5 | Low season |
| December | 7.2 | #8 | 54°F | 40°F | 62°F | 10 | 5.9 | Low season |
Near here
Nearby places in October
Nearby regions, nearest first. Distances are centre to centre, as the crow flies; they are not road distances or journey times.
Bologna & Emilia-RomagnaItaly · about 70 miles
Balanced Overall 8.4 · Excellent weather, 69°F (21°C) · Low season · Cost pricey
UmbriaItaly · about 80 miles
Balanced Overall 8.0 · Excellent weather, 70°F (21°C) · Moderate season · Cost pricey
Rome & LazioItaly · about 130 miles
Balanced Overall 7.8 · Excellent weather, 72°F (22°C) · Steady all year · Cost pricey
Venice & the VenetoItaly · about 160 miles
Balanced Overall 6.9 · Good weather, 67°F (20°C) · Low season · Cost pricey
Milan, Lake Como & LombardyItaly · about 160 miles
Balanced Overall 7.5 · Very good weather, 66°F (19°C) · Busy season · Cost pricey
Elsewhere in Europe
As good as Tuscany in October, but quieter
Tuscany's weather ranks 7 of 117 countryside regions this month. Tuscany already has excellent weather in October; these countryside regions outside Italy are about as good and quieter for their season, nearest first.
How we knowSources, regional scope & scoring method Show detailsHide details
It's moderate season, 38% of the busiest month and 16% below its average month. That means about 116,000 overnight visitors on a typical October night across the region, 25% of them from Italy itself. Rentals booked through Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor add up to 46,000 more: 40 for every 100 counted above. Some are the same properties counted twice.
| Climate suitability (HCI:Urban, 0–100) | 80 |
| How our weather was checked | Official climate averages for Firenze Peretola from the national weather service, every month: afternoon highs typically within 2°F (1.0°C), night lows within 2°F (1.0°C). |
| Tourist nights per 1,000 residents per day | 32 |
| Busiest month here | August · 85 |
| Visitors as share of people present | 3.1% |
| Rank among Europe's regions this month | 89th percentile |
| Domestic share of nights | 25% |
| Platform rental nights per 100 counted nights | 40 |
| Visitor share if every platform night were extra | 4.3% |
| Regional hotel-price season | About usual (+3% vs this region's average month). Historical index from ISTAT, NIC consumer price index for accommodation services (ECOICOP 112), by region; no euro room-rate baseline. |
| Population used | 3.7 million |
| Statistical region | ITI1 · Toscana |
Crowds: Eurostat nights spent at tourist accommodation, by month and NUTS 2 region, 2024–2025 average. Overnight visitors per night is the month's nights divided by its days; the per-1,000 figure is Eurostat's, against each year's population. Platform rentals: Eurostat nights booked via Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor, 2024–2025 average, shown separately because some properties are in both counts. Weather: Holiday Climate Index computed from ERA5 reanalysis with daily highs, night lows and rain days corrected from open national weather-service station records, 2011–2025, population-weighted to the region; day-by-day figures are the same data averaged by date. Heat and rain odds are counted across those years. Sunrise and sunset: NOAA solar equations, local time. Prices: Eurostat price level index and HICP, national; the first figure is regional (ISTAT, NIC consumer price index for accommodation services (ECOICOP 112), by region). Full method · this region's data.