Early October 1 October
64°F
Typical afternoon high
36% historical wet-day frequency
Netherlands · Countryside
Is October a good time?
October averages 61°F afternoons, with about 13 rain days. Later October is typically cooler.
Historical Gelderland regional averages, not a forecast or a measure of queues. Overnight demand compares average stays per day. Covers Hoge Veluwe and Arnhem; conditions vary within the region.
What matters most?
Weather 50% · Crowds 30% · Cost 20%
#9 of 12 months here · Balanced mix
Overall combines weather, overnight demand and cost. It does not include sea temperature.
Plan your October
Afternoons around 61°F (16°C): light layers; nights around 46°F (8°C): a warm coat. Bring rain gear: about 13 days with at least 1 mm of rain. About 11 hours of daylight.
The sun rises about 07:59 and sets about 18:45 (local time, mid-month). Mornings start around 46°F (8°C); afternoons reach about 61°F (16°C). Expect rain on about 13 days in a typical October.
Early, middle or late?
Early October is typically warmer. The afternoon high averages 64°F on the 1st, versus 57°F on the 31st. Historical wet-day frequency rises from 36% to 40% between those dates.
64°F
Typical afternoon high
36% historical wet-day frequency
61°F
Typical afternoon high
40% historical wet-day frequency
57°F
Typical afternoon high
40% historical wet-day frequency
Historical daily averages from 2011–2025, smoothed over two weeks. A seasonal pattern, not a forecast. This does not establish which week has the lowest prices or fewest visitors.
Weather shows historical patterns, not a forecast. Holidays and events use the dates shown for 2026.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 164° | 264° | 364° | 463° | |||
| 563° | 662° | 762° | 862° | 962° | 1061° | 1161° |
| 1261° | 1361° | 1461° | 1561° | 1660° | 1760° | 1860° |
| 1960° | 2060° | 2160° | 2260° | 2360° | 2459° | 2559° |
| 2659° | 2758° | 2858° | 2958° | 3057° | 3157° |
Afternoon high rain likely (25%+) local school holidays public holiday event
Afternoons cool from about 63°F (17°C) in the first week to 58°F (14°C) in the last. The chance of a wet day runs 36–41%. Local schools are out 10–25 October 2026.
Schools here are off 10–25 October 2026 (autumn holidays). Elsewhere in October 2026, the share of people living where schools are out on a typical day: France 45%, Germany 33%, Switzerland 32%, Belgium 15%. (School holidays: OpenHolidays, ODbL.)
Visitor season
Moderate season. October averages 49% of August's overnight stays per day. Fewer overnight stays than September.
Overnight stays across Gelderland do not measure queues, day visitors or congestion at individual sights. For its size, typical for Europe this month.
Hotel price season
A little above usual. Estimated from national hotel prices and local visitor demand; no measured regional room rate is available.
Fewer overnight stays do not automatically mean cheaper rooms. Check actual quotes for your trip.
Year-to-year variation
In the 15 years from 2011 to 2025, the month's afternoons averaged between 57°F (14°C) and 64°F (18°C); in 11 of them they were within 3°F (1.5°C) of the typical 61°F (16°C). Rain days ranged from 3 to 19; half the years had 9–15.
Rain days in each October
| Year | Afternoon high | Rain days |
|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 60°F | 9 |
| 2012 | 58°F | 13 |
| 2013 | 61°F | 15 |
| 2014 | 63°F | 13 |
| 2015 | 57°F | 7 |
| 2016 | 57°F | 9 |
| 2017 | 62°F | 10 |
| 2018 | 63°F | 3 |
| 2019 | 60°F | 17 |
| 2020 | 59°F | 16 |
| 2021 | 60°F | 14 |
| 2022 | 64°F | 10 |
| 2023 | 62°F | 19 |
| 2024 | 61°F | 10 |
| 2025 | 60°F | 13 |
Checked against 3 local weather stations. How we check
Compare dates
| Typical conditions | Sep | Oct | Nov |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 69°F | 61°F | 51°F |
| Rain days | 10 | 13 | 12 |
| Overnight demand | 55% | 49% | 28% |
September: Warmer afternoons and fewer rain days than October. More overnight demand. September guide →
November: Cooler afternoons than October. Less overnight demand. November guide →
Overnight demand measures accommodation stays, not queues.
Yellow marks the top three months on the Balanced mix. October stays as your reference.
May to September have a Weather score at least 1.0 point higher than October, but more overnight stays.
Your comparison
Overnight stays are 55% of the busiest month.
National hotel prices and local visitor demand suggest well above usual. No measured regional room rate is available.
Read the September guide →| Typical conditions | October | September |
|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 61°F | 69°F |
| Nights | 46°F | 50°F |
| Rain days | 13 | 10 |
| Visitor season | Moderate season | Moderate season |
| Overall / 10 | 6.5 | 7.2 |
| Month rank | #9 | #1 |
| Month | Overall | Rank | High | Low | Rain days | Weather | Visitor season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 6.2 | #12 | 44°F | 33°F | 16 | 4.2 | Low season |
| February | 6.6 | #8 | 47°F | 33°F | 9 | 4.7 | Low season |
| March | 7.0 | #2 | 53°F | 35°F | 11 | 5.9 | Low season |
| April | 6.7 | #6 | 60°F | 40°F | 8 | 7.1 | Moderate season |
| May | 6.8 | #5 | 67°F | 47°F | 8 | 8.1 | Busy season |
| June | 6.9 | #3 | 73°F | 53°F | 10 | 8.6 | Busy season |
| July | 6.8 | #4 | 75°F | 55°F | 13 | 8.8 | Busy season |
| August | 6.3 | #10 | 75°F | 55°F | 12 | 8.9 | Peak season |
| September | 7.2 | #1 | 69°F | 50°F | 10 | 8.6 | Moderate season |
| October | 6.5 | #9 | 61°F | 46°F | 13 | 6.6 | Moderate season |
| November | 6.7 | #7 | 51°F | 39°F | 12 | 5.2 | Low season |
| December | 6.3 | #11 | 47°F | 37°F | 14 | 4.3 | Low season |
Near here
Nearby regions, nearest first. Distances are centre to centre, as the crow flies; they are not road distances or journey times.
UtrechtNetherlands · about 30 miles
Balanced Overall 6.4 · Good weather, 61°F (16°C) · Busy season · Cost pricey
OverijsselNetherlands · about 30 miles
Balanced Overall 6.6 · Good weather, 60°F (16°C) · Moderate season · Cost pricey
Amsterdam & North HollandNetherlands · about 60 miles
Balanced Overall 6.0 · Good weather, 60°F (16°C) · Busy season · Cost expensive
Weser-Ems & the North Sea coastLower Saxony · Germany · about 100 miles
Balanced Overall 6.3 · Good weather, 60°F (15°C) · Busy season · Cost pricey
Frankfurt & southern HesseGermany · about 190 miles
Balanced Overall 6.6 · Good weather, 61°F (16°C) · Steady all year · Cost pricey
Elsewhere in Europe
Gelderland's weather ranks 82 of 117 countryside regions this month. These countryside regions outside Netherlands have clearly better weather on your dates, nearest first, each compared with Gelderland.
Loire Valley & CentreFrance · about 370 miles
Very good weather (7.6): 4°F warmer afternoons, 3 fewer rain days, cheaper
Poitou-CharentesFrance · about 490 miles
Very good weather (8.2): 7°F warmer afternoons, 3 fewer rain days, quieter for its season (low season), cheaper
PiedmontItaly · about 490 miles
Very good weather (8.1): 5°F warmer afternoons, 4 fewer rain days, cheaper
BurgenlandAustria · about 570 miles
Very good weather (7.6): about as warm, 5 fewer rain days, cheaper
Western TransdanubiaHungary · about 600 miles
Very good weather (7.8): 2°F warmer afternoons, 5 fewer rain days, busier for its season (busy season), cheaper
It's moderate season, 49% of the busiest month and about average for the year. That means about 42,000 overnight visitors on a typical October night across the region, 76% of them from Netherlands itself. Rentals booked through Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor add up to 3,700 more: 9 for every 100 counted above. Some are the same properties counted twice.
| Climate suitability (HCI:Urban, 0–100) | 68 |
| How our weather was checked | 3 open weather stations in this region, January and July: afternoon highs typically within 1°F (0.3°C), night lows within 1°F (0.2°C). |
| Tourist nights per 1,000 residents per day | 20 |
| Busiest month here | August · 40 |
| Visitors as share of people present | 1.9% |
| Rank among Europe's regions this month | 75th percentile |
| Domestic share of nights | 76% |
| Platform rental nights per 100 counted nights | 9 |
| Visitor share if every platform night were extra | 2.1% |
| National hotel-price season | Netherlands historical 2024–2025 index: A little above usual (+5% vs its average month). Not a local room quote. |
| Population used | 2.2 million |
| Statistical region | NL22 · Gelderland |
Crowds: Eurostat nights spent at tourist accommodation, by month and NUTS 2 region, 2024–2025 average. Overnight visitors per night is the month's nights divided by its days; the per-1,000 figure is Eurostat's, against each year's population. Platform rentals: Eurostat nights booked via Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor, 2024–2025 average, shown separately because some properties are in both counts. Weather: Holiday Climate Index computed from ERA5 reanalysis with daily highs, night lows and rain days corrected from open national weather-service station records, 2011–2025, population-weighted to the region; day-by-day figures are the same data averaged by date. Heat and rain odds are counted across those years. Sunrise and sunset: NOAA solar equations, local time. Prices: Eurostat price level index and HICP, national. Full method · this region's data.