Early January 1 January
39°F
Typical afternoon high
37% historical wet-day frequency
Poland · Countryside
Is January a good time?
January averages 37°F afternoons, with about 12 rain days.
Historical Małopolskie regional averages, not a forecast or a measure of queues. Overnight demand compares average stays per day. Covers Kraków, Zakopane and Wieliczka; conditions vary within the region.
What matters most?
Weather 50% · Crowds 30% · Cost 20%
#12 of 12 months here · Balanced mix
Overall combines weather, overnight demand and cost. It does not include sea temperature.
Plan your January
Afternoons around 37°F (3°C): a winter coat, hat and gloves. Bring rain gear: about 12 days with at least 1 mm of rain. About 9 hours of daylight.
The sun rises about 07:31 and sets about 16:04 (local time, mid-month). Mornings start around 25°F (−4°C); afternoons reach about 37°F (3°C). Expect rain on about 12 days in a typical January.
Early, middle or late?
Early and late January have similar afternoon averages. The afternoon high averages 39°F on the 1st, versus 37°F on the 31st.
39°F
Typical afternoon high
37% historical wet-day frequency
36°F
Typical afternoon high
44% historical wet-day frequency
37°F
Typical afternoon high
38% historical wet-day frequency
Historical daily averages from 2011–2025, smoothed over two weeks. A seasonal pattern, not a forecast. This does not establish which week has the lowest prices or fewest visitors.
Public holidays · 2027: 1 Jan New Year's Day; 6 Jan Epiphany.
Weather shows historical patterns, not a forecast. Holidays and events use the dates shown for 2027.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 139° | 239° | 339° | ||||
| 438° | 538° | 638° | 738° | 838° | 937° | 1037° |
| 1137° | 1236° | 1336° | 1436° | 1536° | 1636° | 1736° |
| 1836° | 1936° | 2036° | 2136° | 2236° | 2336° | 2436° |
| 2536° | 2636° | 2737° | 2837° | 2937° | 3037° | 3137° |
Afternoon high rain likely (25%+) local school holidays public holiday event
Afternoons cool from about 38°F (4°C) in the first week to 37°F (3°C) in the last. The chance of a wet day runs 36–46%. Christmas market: typically 27 November 2026 – 6 January 2027.
No school holidays here in January 2027. Public holidays: 1 Jan New Year's Day; 6 Jan Epiphany. Elsewhere in January 2027, the share of people living where schools are out on a typical day: Germany 21%, Spain 24%, Italy 20%, Greece 23%. (School holidays: OpenHolidays, ODbL.)
Visitor season
Steady all year. January averages 59% of August's overnight stays per day. Overnight demand varies little across the year.
Overnight stays across Małopolskie do not measure queues, day visitors or congestion at individual sights. For its size, busier than most of Europe this month.
Hotel price season
About usual. Estimated from national hotel prices and local visitor demand; no measured regional room rate is available.
Fewer overnight stays do not automatically mean cheaper rooms. Check actual quotes for your trip.
What's on Christmas market, typically 27 November 2026 – 6 January 2027: Kraków's Main Square is crowded in the evenings. Official site.
Year-to-year variation
In the 15 years from 2011 to 2025, the month's afternoons averaged between 29°F (−2°C) and 42°F (6°C); in 8 of them they were within 3°F (1.5°C) of the typical 37°F (3°C). Rain days ranged from 6 to 20; half the years had 9–15.
Rain days in each January
| Year | Afternoon high | Rain days |
|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 37°F | 9 |
| 2012 | 35°F | 20 |
| 2013 | 31°F | 20 |
| 2014 | 38°F | 12 |
| 2015 | 39°F | 12 |
| 2016 | 36°F | 9 |
| 2017 | 29°F | 6 |
| 2018 | 40°F | 8 |
| 2019 | 33°F | 17 |
| 2020 | 41°F | 7 |
| 2021 | 35°F | 13 |
| 2022 | 38°F | 15 |
| 2023 | 42°F | 14 |
| 2024 | 36°F | 15 |
| 2025 | 42°F | 9 |
Checked against official climate averages for Krakow-Balice. How we check
Compare dates
| Typical conditions | Dec | Jan | Feb |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 40°F | 37°F | 41°F |
| Rain days | 10 | 12 | 10 |
| Overnight demand | 67% | 59% | 70% |
December: Warmer afternoons and fewer rain days than January. December guide →
February: Warmer afternoons and fewer rain days than January. February guide →
Overnight demand measures accommodation stays, not queues.
Yellow marks the top three months on the Balanced mix. January stays as your reference.
Hotel stays vary little through the year. March to November have a Weather score at least 1.0 point higher than January.
Your comparison
Overnight stays vary little through the year.
National hotel prices and local visitor demand suggest a little above usual. No measured regional room rate is available.
Read the December guide →| Typical conditions | January | December |
|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 37°F | 40°F |
| Nights | 25°F | 29°F |
| Rain days | 12 | 10 |
| Visitor season | Steady all year | Steady all year |
| Overall / 10 | 5.5 | 5.6 |
| Month rank | #12 | #11 |
| Month | Overall | Rank | High | Low | Rain days | Weather | Visitor season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 5.5 | #12 | 37°F | 25°F | 12 | 4.0 | Steady all year |
| February | 5.7 | #10 | 41°F | 26°F | 10 | 4.4 | Steady all year |
| March | 6.4 | #8 | 50°F | 31°F | 9 | 5.7 | Steady all year |
| April | 7.0 | #6 | 59°F | 39°F | 10 | 6.9 | Steady all year |
| May | 7.4 | #5 | 67°F | 46°F | 12 | 7.9 | Steady all year |
| June | 7.8 | #1 | 75°F | 55°F | 9 | 8.7 | Steady all year |
| July | 7.7 | #3 | 77°F | 57°F | 12 | 8.3 | Steady all year |
| August | 7.8 | #2 | 78°F | 56°F | 9 | 8.6 | Steady all year |
| September | 7.6 | #4 | 69°F | 50°F | 9 | 8.3 | Steady all year |
| October | 6.8 | #7 | 58°F | 42°F | 8 | 6.7 | Steady all year |
| November | 6.0 | #9 | 47°F | 34°F | 9 | 5.1 | Steady all year |
| December | 5.6 | #11 | 40°F | 29°F | 10 | 4.3 | Steady all year |
Near here
Nearby regions, nearest first. Distances are centre to centre, as the crow flies; they are not road distances or journey times.
SilesiaPoland · about 70 miles
Balanced Overall 5.4 · Fair weather, 37°F (3°C) · Steady all year · Cost moderate
Holy CrossŚwiętokrzyskie · Poland · about 70 miles
Balanced Overall 5.4 · Fair weather, 35°F (2°C) · Steady all year · Cost moderate
Central Slovakiaabout 80 miles
Balanced Overall 5.8 · Fair weather, 36°F (2°C) · Moderate season · Cost moderate
WarsawPoland · about 170 miles
Balanced Overall 4.7 · Fair weather, 36°F (2°C) · Steady all year · Cost moderate
BudapestHungary · about 170 miles
Balanced Overall 5.8 · Fair weather, 41°F (5°C) · Steady all year · Cost moderate
Elsewhere in Europe
Kraków & Lesser Poland's weather ranks 71 of 117 countryside regions this month. These countryside regions outside Poland have clearly better weather on your dates, nearest first, each compared with Kraków & Lesser Poland.
OlteniaRomania · about 400 miles
Good weather (5.0): 5°F warmer afternoons, 5 fewer rain days, cheaper
Northwest Bulgariaabout 480 miles
Good weather (5.2): 6°F warmer afternoons, 5 fewer rain days, cheaper
Veliko Tarnovo & north-central Bulgariaabout 520 miles
Good weather (5.1): 7°F warmer afternoons, 4 fewer rain days, cheaper
North Macedoniaabout 570 miles
Good weather (5.1): 9°F warmer afternoons, 5 fewer rain days, cheaper
Plovdiv & south-central Bulgariaabout 590 miles
Good weather (5.5): 9°F warmer afternoons, 6 fewer rain days, cheaper
Hotel stays are steady all year here: this month is 59% of the busiest and 14% below average. That counts overnight stays, not how busy the sights are. That means about 38,000 overnight visitors on a typical January night across the region, 75% of them from Poland itself. Rentals booked through Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor add up to 24,000 more: 62 for every 100 counted above. Some are the same properties counted twice.
| Climate suitability (HCI:Urban, 0–100) | 55 |
| How our weather was checked | Official climate averages for Krakow-Balice from the national weather service, every month: afternoon highs typically within 1°F (0.5°C), night lows within 2°F (0.8°C). |
| Tourist nights per 1,000 residents per day | 12 |
| Busiest month here | August · 19 |
| Visitors as share of people present | 1.1% |
| Rank among Europe's regions this month | 79th percentile |
| Domestic share of nights | 75% |
| Platform rental nights per 100 counted nights | 62 |
| Visitor share if every platform night were extra | 1.8% |
| National hotel-price season | Poland historical 2024–2025 index: About usual (−4% vs its average month). Not a local room quote. |
| Population used | 3.3 million |
| Statistical region | PL21 · Małopolskie |
Crowds: Eurostat nights spent at tourist accommodation, by month and NUTS 2 region, 2024–2025 average. Overnight visitors per night is the month's nights divided by its days; the per-1,000 figure is Eurostat's, against each year's population. Platform rentals: Eurostat nights booked via Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor, 2024–2025 average, shown separately because some properties are in both counts. Weather: Holiday Climate Index computed from ERA5 reanalysis with daily highs, night lows and rain days corrected from open national weather-service station records, 2011–2025, population-weighted to the region; day-by-day figures are the same data averaged by date. Heat and rain odds are counted across those years. Sunrise and sunset: NOAA solar equations, local time. Prices: Eurostat price level index and HICP, national. Full method · this region's data.