Early October 1 October
72°F
Typical afternoon high
19% historical wet-day frequency
Bulgaria · Countryside
Is October a good time?
October averages 67°F afternoons and 67°F seas, with about 6 rain days. Later October is typically cooler. Check seasonal openings.
Historical Yugoiztochen regional averages, not a forecast or a measure of queues. Overnight demand compares average stays per day. Covers Sunny Beach, Nessebar, Sozopol and Burgas; conditions vary within the region.
Coming for the beach at Sunny Beach and Sozopol? The weather score rates sightseeing conditions. Beach weather rates good (6.7/10).
What matters most?
Weather 50% · Crowds 30% · Cost 20%
#4 of 12 months here · Balanced mix
Overall combines weather, overnight demand and cost. It does not include sea temperature.
Plan your October
Afternoons around 67°F (19°C): light layers; nights around 49°F (9°C): a sweater and a light jacket. About 11 hours of daylight. About 6 rain days in a typical October.
The sea averages 67°F. Our swimming guide: fresh: fine once you are in. Your comfort will vary. This is open water near the coast, not a beach-specific reading.
Monthly coastal averages from NOAA, 2011–2025. Sea temperature is separate from the weather and Overall scores.
The sun rises about 07:25 and sets about 18:34 (local time, mid-month). Mornings start around 49°F (9°C); afternoons reach about 67°F (19°C). Expect rain on about 6 days in a typical October.
Early, middle or late?
Early October is typically warmer. The afternoon high averages 72°F on the 1st, versus 63°F on the 31st. Historical wet-day frequency falls from 19% to 15% between those dates.
72°F
Typical afternoon high
19% historical wet-day frequency
67°F
Typical afternoon high
19% historical wet-day frequency
63°F
Typical afternoon high
15% historical wet-day frequency
Historical daily averages from 2011–2025, smoothed over two weeks. A seasonal pattern, not a forecast. This does not establish which week has the lowest prices or fewest visitors.
Weather shows historical patterns, not a forecast. Holidays and events use the dates shown for 2026.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 172° | 271° | 371° | 470° | |||
| 570° | 669° | 769° | 869° | 969° | 1068° | 1168° |
| 1267° | 1367° | 1467° | 1567° | 1667° | 1767° | 1867° |
| 1967° | 2066° | 2166° | 2266° | 2365° | 2465° | 2565° |
| 2665° | 2764° | 2864° | 2964° | 3064° | 3163° |
Afternoon high rain likely (25%+) local school holidays public holiday event
School-holiday dates for October 2026 aren't available in our data yet. A day without a school marker doesn't mean schools are open.
Afternoons cool from about 70°F (21°C) in the first week to 64°F (18°C) in the last. The chance of a wet day runs 15–23%.
Elsewhere in October 2026, the share of people living where schools are out on a typical day: France 45%, Germany 33%, Netherlands 39%, Switzerland 32%. (School holidays: OpenHolidays, ODbL.)
Visitor season
Off season. October averages 4% of August's overnight stays per day. Fewer overnight stays than September. Check seasonal accommodation and activity openings.
Overnight stays across Yugoiztochen do not measure queues, day visitors or congestion at individual sights. For its size, quieter than most of Europe this month.
Hotel price season
A little below usual. Estimated from national hotel prices and local visitor demand; no measured regional room rate is available.
Fewer overnight stays do not automatically mean cheaper rooms. Check actual quotes for your trip.
Year-to-year variation
In the 15 years from 2011 to 2025, the month's afternoons averaged between 61°F (16°C) and 74°F (24°C); in 4 of them they were within 3°F (1.5°C) of the typical 67°F (19°C). Rain days ranged from 1 to 11; half the years had 2–9.
Rain days in each October
| Year | Afternoon high | Rain days |
|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 61°F | 9 |
| 2012 | 73°F | 4 |
| 2013 | 66°F | 4 |
| 2014 | 63°F | 9 |
| 2015 | 63°F | 9 |
| 2016 | 63°F | 8 |
| 2017 | 66°F | 6 |
| 2018 | 68°F | 2 |
| 2019 | 71°F | 4 |
| 2020 | 72°F | 8 |
| 2021 | 61°F | 9 |
| 2022 | 70°F | 1 |
| 2023 | 74°F | 1 |
| 2024 | 69°F | 2 |
| 2025 | 64°F | 11 |
Checked against official climate averages for Burgas. How we check
Compare dates
| Typical conditions | Sep | Oct | Nov |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 79°F | 67°F | 57°F |
| Sea | 74°F | 67°F | 60°F |
| Rain days | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| Overnight demand | 45% | 4% | 4% |
September: Warmer afternoons, warmer sea and fewer rain days than October. More overnight demand. September guide →
November: Cooler afternoons and cooler sea than October. Less overnight demand. Check seasonal accommodation and activity openings. November guide →
Overnight demand measures accommodation stays, not queues. Sea temperatures are monthly coastal averages.
Yellow marks the top three months on the Balanced mix. October stays as your reference.
No other scored month has a Weather score at least 1.0 point higher than October.
Your comparison
Overnight stays are 45% of the busiest month.
National hotel prices and local visitor demand suggest a little above usual. No measured regional room rate is available.
Read the September guide →| Typical conditions | October | September |
|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 67°F | 79°F |
| Nights | 49°F | 59°F |
| Sea | 67°F | 74°F |
| Rain days | 6 | 3 |
| Visitor season | Off season | Moderate season |
| Overall / 10 | 7.9 | 8.9 |
| Month rank | #4 | #2 |
| Month | Overall | Rank | High | Low | Sea | Rain days | Weather | Visitor season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 6.2 | #12 | 46°F | 30°F | 47°F | 8 | 5.3 | Off season |
| February | 6.4 | #10 | 50°F | 32°F | 45°F | 6 | 5.7 | Off season |
| March | 6.9 | #8 | 57°F | 37°F | 46°F | 7 | 6.7 | Off season |
| April | 7.7 | #5 | 65°F | 44°F | 51°F | 8 | 8.3 | Off season |
| May | 9.3 | #1 | 73°F | 52°F | 61°F | 9 | 9.3 | Low season |
| June | 8.2 | #3 | 82°F | 60°F | 71°F | 9 | 8.6 | Moderate season |
| July | 7.1 | #7 | 87°F | 65°F | 77°F | 4 | 8.1 | Peak season |
| August | 7.2 | #6 | 87°F | 65°F | 78°F | 4 | 8.3 | Peak season |
| September | 8.9 | #2 | 79°F | 59°F | 74°F | 3 | 9.5 | Moderate season |
| October | 7.9 | #4 | 67°F | 49°F | 67°F | 6 | 8.8 | Off season |
| November | 6.9 | #9 | 57°F | 42°F | 60°F | 7 | 6.7 | Off season |
| December | 6.3 | #11 | 49°F | 34°F | 53°F | 9 | 5.5 | Off season |
Near here
Nearby regions, nearest first. Distances are centre to centre, as the crow flies; they are not road distances or journey times.
Veliko Tarnovo & north-central Bulgariaabout 70 miles
Balanced Overall 8.1 · Very good weather, 66°F (19°C) · Busy season · Cost cheap
Varna & the northern Black Sea coastBulgaria · about 70 miles
Balanced Overall 6.8 · Good weather, 65°F (19°C) · Off season · Cost cheap
Eastern Macedonia & ThraceGreece · about 120 miles
Balanced Overall 8.1 · Very good weather, 70°F (21°C) · Low season · Cost moderate
BucharestRomania · about 140 miles
Balanced Overall 7.9 · Very good weather, 65°F (18°C) · Steady all year · Cost cheap
Sofia & the southwestBulgaria · about 160 miles
Balanced Overall 8.2 · Very good weather, 64°F (18°C) · Steady all year · Cost cheap
Elsewhere in Europe
Burgas & the southern Black Sea coast's weather ranks 12 of 117 countryside regions this month. We found no countryside regions outside Bulgaria with a weather score at least 1.0 point higher on these dates.
It's off season, 4% of the busiest month and 85% below its average month. That means about 4,500 overnight visitors on a typical October night across the region, 74% of them from Bulgaria itself. Rentals booked through Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor add up to 780 more: 17 for every 100 counted above. Some are the same properties counted twice.
| Climate suitability (HCI:Urban, 0–100) | 79 |
| How our weather was checked | Official climate averages for Burgas from the national weather service, every month: afternoon highs typically within 2°F (1.3°C), night lows within 1°F (0.5°C). |
| Tourist nights per 1,000 residents per day | 5 |
| Busiest month here | August · 111 |
| Visitors as share of people present | 0.5% |
| Rank among Europe's regions this month | 11th percentile |
| Domestic share of nights | 74% |
| Platform rental nights per 100 counted nights | 17 |
| Visitor share if every platform night were extra | 0.6% |
| National hotel-price season | Bulgaria historical 2024–2025 index: About usual (+2% vs its average month). Not a local room quote. |
| Population used | 952,000 |
| Statistical region | BG34 · Yugoiztochen |
Crowds: Eurostat nights spent at tourist accommodation, by month and NUTS 2 region, 2024–2025 average. Overnight visitors per night is the month's nights divided by its days; the per-1,000 figure is Eurostat's, against each year's population. Platform rentals: Eurostat nights booked via Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor, 2024–2025 average, shown separately because some properties are in both counts. Weather: Holiday Climate Index computed from ERA5 reanalysis with daily highs, night lows and rain days corrected from open national weather-service station records, 2011–2025, population-weighted to the region; day-by-day figures are the same data averaged by date. Heat and rain odds are counted across those years. Sunrise and sunset: NOAA solar equations, local time. Prices: Eurostat price level index and HICP, national. Full method · this region's data.