Early October 1 October
71°F
Typical afternoon high
21% historical wet-day frequency
Bulgaria · Beach
Varna & the northern Black Sea coast
in October.
Is October a good time?
Mild days.
Fewer overnight stays than September.
October averages 65°F afternoons and 66°F seas, with about 5 rain days. Later October is typically cooler. Check seasonal openings.
- Afternoons
- 65°F
- Sea
- 66°F
- Visitor demand
- 8%of August peak
Historical Severoiztochen regional averages, not a forecast or a measure of queues. Overnight demand compares average stays per day. Covers Varna, Golden Sands and Balchik; conditions vary within the region.
Overall match
6.8/10 · scores & prioritiesWhat matters most?
Weather 50% · Crowds 30% · Cost 20%
#6 of 12 months here · Balanced mix
Weather6.2/10Good
CrowdsOff seasoncheck seasonal openings; overnight stays do not measure queuesFor its size, quieter than most of Europe this month
CostCheapfor Europe; Bulgaria-wide price level
Overall combines weather, overnight demand and cost. It does not include sea temperature.
Plan your October
What to expect.
What should I pack?
Afternoons around 65°F (19°C): light layers; nights around 49°F (9°C): a sweater and a light jacket. About 11 hours of daylight. About 5 rain days in a typical October.
Can I swim in October?
The sea averages 66°F. Our swimming guide: fresh: fine once you are in. Your comfort will vary. This is open water near the coast, not a beach-specific reading.
Monthly coastal averages from NOAA, 2011–2025. Sea temperature is separate from the weather and Overall scores.
A typical day: temperatures & daylightAfternoons, nights, sea temperature & daylight Show detailsHide details
About 11 hours of daylight.
The sun rises about 07:23 and sets about 18:30 (local time, mid-month). Mornings start around 49°F (9°C); afternoons reach about 65°F (19°C). Expect rain on about 5 days in a typical October.
Typical afternoon
65°F (19°C)
average daily high, 15 recent Octobers
Night low
49°F (9°C)
average daily minimum
Sea
66°F (19°C)
fresh; open water near the coast, NOAA satellite record 2011–2025
Daylight
11h 07m
on the 15th, computed from latitude
Early, middle or late?
Early or late October?
Early October is typically warmer. The afternoon high averages 71°F on the 1st, versus 62°F on the 31st. Historical wet-day frequency falls from 21% to 15% between those dates.
Mid October 15 October
65°F
Typical afternoon high
19% historical wet-day frequency
Late October 31 October
62°F
Typical afternoon high
15% historical wet-day frequency
Historical daily averages from 2011–2025, smoothed over two weeks. A seasonal pattern, not a forecast. This does not establish which week has the lowest prices or fewest visitors.
Daily calendar & holiday datesOctober 2026 · historical weather & dated holidays Show calendarHide calendar
October 2026 calendar
Weather shows historical patterns, not a forecast. Holidays and events use the dates shown for 2026.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 171° | 270° | 369° | 469° | |||
| 568° | 668° | 767° | 867° | 967° | 1067° | 1166° |
| 1266° | 1366° | 1465° | 1565° | 1665° | 1766° | 1865° |
| 1965° | 2065° | 2165° | 2264° | 2364° | 2464° | 2563° |
| 2663° | 2763° | 2863° | 2963° | 3062° | 3162° |
Afternoon high rain likely (25%+) local school holidays public holiday event
School-holiday dates for October 2026 aren't available in our data yet. A day without a school marker doesn't mean schools are open.
Afternoons cool from about 69°F (20°C) in the first week to 63°F (17°C) in the last. The chance of a wet day runs 14–24%.
Elsewhere in October 2026, the share of people living where schools are out on a typical day: France 45%, Germany 33%, Netherlands 39%, Switzerland 32%. (School holidays: OpenHolidays, ODbL.)
Crowds and cost
Visitor season
Will it be busy?
Off season. October averages 8% of August's overnight stays per day. Fewer overnight stays than September. Check seasonal accommodation and activity openings.
Overnight stays across Severoiztochen do not measure queues, day visitors or congestion at individual sights. For its size, quieter than most of Europe this month.
Hotel price season
Will it be cheaper?
About usual. Estimated from national hotel prices and local visitor demand; no measured regional room rate is available.
Fewer overnight stays do not automatically mean cheaper rooms. Check actual quotes for your trip.
Bulgaria as a whole
Well below EU average
2024 restaurants and hotels price level: 53 where the EU average is 100. A relative index, not a room rate.
Year-to-year variation
How much does October vary?
Across the recorded years
In the 15 years from 2011 to 2025, the month's afternoons averaged between 60°F (16°C) and 74°F (23°C); in 6 of them they were within 3°F (1.5°C) of the typical 65°F (19°C). Rain days ranged from 1 to 12; half the years had 3–8.
Rain days in each October
Rain days
5
at least 1 mm, typical year; about 9 in a wet year
Mostly sunny days
9 of 31
cloud cover under 30%
Years with a 95°F+ day
0 of 15
no October in the last 15 years had a day at or above 95°F (35°C)
Good weather days
16 of 31
rated very good or better
See every recorded OctoberHistorical monthly averages, year by year Show detailsHide details
| Year | Afternoon high | Rain days |
|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 60°F | 8 |
| 2012 | 71°F | 5 |
| 2013 | 63°F | 5 |
| 2014 | 63°F | 9 |
| 2015 | 62°F | 8 |
| 2016 | 61°F | 8 |
| 2017 | 64°F | 5 |
| 2018 | 67°F | 2 |
| 2019 | 68°F | 4 |
| 2020 | 70°F | 7 |
| 2021 | 61°F | 8 |
| 2022 | 69°F | 1 |
| 2023 | 74°F | 2 |
| 2024 | 67°F | 3 |
| 2025 | 63°F | 12 |
Checked against official climate averages for Varna. How we check
Compare dates
September, October
or November?
| Typical conditions | Sep | Oct | Nov |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 78°F | 65°F | 55°F |
| Sea | 74°F | 66°F | 59°F |
| Rain days | 4 | 5 | 7 |
| Overnight demand | 43% | 8% | 5% |
September: Warmer afternoons and warmer sea than October. More overnight demand. September guide →
November: Cooler afternoons, cooler sea and more rain days than October. Less overnight demand. Check seasonal accommodation and activity openings. November guide →
Overnight demand measures accommodation stays, not queues. Sea temperatures are monthly coastal averages.
Compare any of the 12 monthsChoose another month and compare it with October Show comparisonHide comparison
Yellow marks the top three months on the Balanced mix. October stays as your reference.
May to September have a Weather score at least 1.0 point higher than October, but more overnight stays.
Your comparison
October or September?
Overnight stays are 43% of the busiest month.
National hotel prices and local visitor demand suggest a little above usual. No measured regional room rate is available.
Read the September guide →| Typical conditions | October | September |
|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 65°F | 78°F |
| Nights | 49°F | 59°F |
| Sea | 66°F | 74°F |
| Rain days | 5 | 4 |
| Visitor season | Off season | Moderate season |
| Overall / 10 | 6.8 | 9.0 |
| Month rank | #6 | #1 |
Every month, in detail Show detailsHide details
| Month | Overall | Rank | High | Low | Sea | Rain days | Weather | Visitor season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 3.2 | #12 | 44°F | 30°F | 47°F | 7 | 1.2 | Off season |
| February | 3.6 | #10 | 47°F | 32°F | 45°F | 5 | 1.6 | Off season |
| March | 4.9 | #9 | 54°F | 36°F | 46°F | 7 | 2.9 | Off season |
| April | 6.4 | #7 | 63°F | 43°F | 51°F | 8 | 5.4 | Off season |
| May | 8.6 | #3 | 72°F | 51°F | 60°F | 9 | 7.6 | Low season |
| June | 8.7 | #2 | 80°F | 61°F | 71°F | 8 | 9.5 | Moderate season |
| July | 8.1 | #4 | 86°F | 65°F | 76°F | 5 | 10.0 | Peak season |
| August | 8.0 | #5 | 86°F | 65°F | 78°F | 3 | 10.0 | Peak season |
| September | 9.0 | #1 | 78°F | 59°F | 74°F | 4 | 9.6 | Moderate season |
| October | 6.8 | #6 | 65°F | 49°F | 66°F | 5 | 6.2 | Off season |
| November | 5.0 | #8 | 55°F | 42°F | 59°F | 7 | 3.0 | Off season |
| December | 3.5 | #11 | 47°F | 34°F | 52°F | 9 | 1.5 | Off season |
Near here
Nearby places in October
Nearby regions, nearest first. Distances are centre to centre, as the crow flies; they are not road distances or journey times.
Veliko Tarnovo & north-central Bulgariaabout 60 miles
Balanced Overall 8.1 · Very good weather, 66°F (19°C) · Busy season · Cost cheap
Burgas & the southern Black Sea coastBulgaria · about 70 miles
Balanced Overall 7.9 · Very good weather, 67°F (19°C) · Off season · Cost cheap
BucharestRomania · about 100 miles
Balanced Overall 7.9 · Very good weather, 65°F (18°C) · Steady all year · Cost cheap
Romania's Black Sea coast & Danube DeltaRomania · about 120 miles
Balanced Overall 7.5 · Very good weather, 64°F (18°C) · Off season · Cost cheap
Plovdiv & south-central Bulgariaabout 150 miles
Balanced Overall 8.4 · Very good weather, 67°F (19°C) · Steady all year · Cost cheap
Elsewhere in Europe
Better October weather than Varna & the northern Black Sea coast
Varna & the northern Black Sea coast's weather ranks 46 of 77 beach regions this month. These beach regions outside Bulgaria have clearly better weather on your dates, nearest first, each compared with Varna & the northern Black Sea coast.
Eastern Macedonia & ThraceGreece · about 190 miles
Very good weather (7.7): 5°F warmer afternoons, pricier
Thessaloniki & HalkidikiGreece · about 290 miles
Very good weather (8.1): 6°F warmer afternoons, pricier
North Aegean islandsGreece · about 320 miles
Excellent weather (9.5): 8°F warmer afternoons, pricier
Meteora, Pelion & the SporadesThessaly · Greece · about 370 miles
Very good weather (8.0): 7°F warmer afternoons, pricier
Central Greece & EviaGreece · about 400 miles
Very good weather (8.5): 8°F warmer afternoons, pricier
How we knowSources, regional scope & scoring method Show detailsHide details
It's off season, 8% of the busiest month and 73% below its average month. That means about 5,100 overnight visitors on a typical October night across the region, 45% of them from Bulgaria itself. Rentals booked through Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor add up to 1,100 more: 21 for every 100 counted above. Some are the same properties counted twice.
| Climate suitability (HCI:Beach, 0–100) | 66 |
| How our weather was checked | Official climate averages for Varna from the national weather service, every month: afternoon highs typically within 1°F (0.5°C), night lows within 1°F (0.3°C). |
| Tourist nights per 1,000 residents per day | 6 |
| Busiest month here | August · 77 |
| Visitors as share of people present | 0.6% |
| Rank among Europe's regions this month | 18th percentile |
| Domestic share of nights | 45% |
| Platform rental nights per 100 counted nights | 21 |
| Visitor share if every platform night were extra | 0.7% |
| National hotel-price season | Bulgaria historical 2024–2025 index: About usual (+2% vs its average month). Not a local room quote. |
| Population used | 827,000 |
| Statistical region | BG33 · Severoiztochen |
Crowds: Eurostat nights spent at tourist accommodation, by month and NUTS 2 region, 2024–2025 average. Overnight visitors per night is the month's nights divided by its days; the per-1,000 figure is Eurostat's, against each year's population. Platform rentals: Eurostat nights booked via Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor, 2024–2025 average, shown separately because some properties are in both counts. Weather: Holiday Climate Index computed from ERA5 reanalysis with daily highs, night lows and rain days corrected from open national weather-service station records, 2011–2025, population-weighted to the region; day-by-day figures are the same data averaged by date. Heat and rain odds are counted across those years. Sunrise and sunset: NOAA solar equations, local time. Prices: Eurostat price level index and HICP, national. Full method · this region's data.