Early February 1 February
54°F
Typical afternoon high
24% historical wet-day frequency
France · Beach
Is February a good time?
February averages 56°F afternoons and 56°F seas, with about 6 rain days. Later February is typically warmer.
Historical Provence-Alpes-Côte d’Azur regional averages, not a forecast or a measure of queues. Overnight demand compares average stays per day. Covers Nice, Marseille, Cannes, Avignon and Saint-Tropez; conditions vary within the region.
What matters most?
Weather 50% · Crowds 30% · Cost 20%
#10 of 12 months here · Balanced mix
Overall combines weather, overnight demand and cost. It does not include sea temperature.
Plan your February
Afternoons around 56°F (13°C): a sweater and a light jacket; nights around 40°F (4°C): a warm coat. About 10 hours of daylight. About 6 rain days in a typical February.
The sea averages 56°F. Our swimming guide: very cold: wetsuit weather. Your comfort will vary. This is open water near the coast, not a beach-specific reading.
Monthly coastal averages from NOAA, 2011–2025. Sea temperature is separate from the weather and Overall scores.
The sun rises about 07:36 and sets about 18:04 (local time, mid-month). Mornings start around 40°F (4°C); afternoons reach about 56°F (13°C). Expect rain on about 6 days in a typical February.
Early, middle or late?
Late February is typically warmer. The afternoon high averages 54°F on the 1st, versus 58°F on the 28th.
54°F
Typical afternoon high
24% historical wet-day frequency
56°F
Typical afternoon high
19% historical wet-day frequency
58°F
Typical afternoon high
24% historical wet-day frequency
Historical daily averages from 2011–2025, smoothed over two weeks. A seasonal pattern, not a forecast. This does not establish which week has the lowest prices or fewest visitors.
Weather shows historical patterns, not a forecast. Holidays and events use the dates shown for 2027.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 154° | 254° | 354° | 454° | 554° | 654° | 754° |
| 854° | 955° | 1055° | 1155° | 1255° | 1355° | 1456° |
| 1556° | 1656° | 1756° | 1857° | 1957° | 2057° | 2157° |
| 2257° | 2357° | 2458° | 2558° | 2658° | 2758° | 2858° |
Afternoon high rain likely (25%+) local school holidays public holiday event
Afternoons warm from about 54°F (12°C) in the first week to 58°F (14°C) in the last. The chance of a wet day runs 18–25%. Local schools are out 21–28 February 2027. Nice Carnival: 9–28 February 2027.
Schools here are off 21–28 February 2027 (winter holidays). Elsewhere in February 2027, the share of people living where schools are out on a typical day: Netherlands 46%, Belgium 25%, Czechia 18%, Austria 21%. (School holidays: OpenHolidays, ODbL.)
Visitor season
Low season. February averages 22% of August's overnight stays per day. More overnight stays than January.
Overnight stays across Provence-Alpes-Côte d’Azur do not measure queues, day visitors or congestion at individual sights. For its size, busier than most of Europe this month.
Hotel price season
A little below usual. Estimated from national hotel prices and local visitor demand; no measured regional room rate is available.
Fewer overnight stays do not automatically mean cheaper rooms. Check actual quotes for your trip.
What's on Nice Carnival, 9–28 February 2027: parades draw large crowds to Nice. Official site.
Year-to-year variation
In the 15 years from 2011 to 2025, the month's afternoons averaged between 50°F (10°C) and 60°F (16°C); in 8 of them they were within 3°F (1.5°C) of the typical 56°F (13°C). Rain days ranged from 2 to 12; half the years had 3–9.
Rain days in each February
| Year | Afternoon high | Rain days |
|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 55°F | 6 |
| 2012 | 50°F | 2 |
| 2013 | 50°F | 6 |
| 2014 | 55°F | 12 |
| 2015 | 53°F | 9 |
| 2016 | 57°F | 9 |
| 2017 | 58°F | 7 |
| 2018 | 50°F | 10 |
| 2019 | 59°F | 2 |
| 2020 | 59°F | 3 |
| 2021 | 58°F | 8 |
| 2022 | 58°F | 2 |
| 2023 | 56°F | 5 |
| 2024 | 60°F | 6 |
| 2025 | 57°F | 7 |
Checked against 151 local weather stations. How we check
Compare dates
| Typical conditions | Jan | Feb | Mar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 54°F | 56°F | 61°F |
| Sea | 57°F | 56°F | 57°F |
| Rain days | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| Overnight demand | 17% | 22% | 23% |
January: Cooler afternoons than February. Less overnight demand. January guide →
March: Warmer afternoons than February. March guide →
Overnight demand measures accommodation stays, not queues. Sea temperatures are monthly coastal averages.
Yellow marks the top three months on the Balanced mix. February stays as your reference.
March has a Weather score at least 1.0 point higher than February, without a substantially busier visitor season.
Your comparison
Overnight stays are 17% of the busiest month.
National hotel prices and local visitor demand suggest well below usual. No measured regional room rate is available.
Read the January guide →| Typical conditions | February | January |
|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 56°F | 54°F |
| Nights | 40°F | 40°F |
| Sea | 56°F | 57°F |
| Rain days | 6 | 5 |
| Visitor season | Low season | Low season |
| Overall / 10 | 5.8 | 5.2 |
| Month rank | #10 | #12 |
| Month | Overall | Rank | High | Low | Sea | Rain days | Weather | Visitor season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 5.2 | #12 | 54°F | 40°F | 57°F | 5 | 3.2 | Low season |
| February | 5.8 | #10 | 56°F | 40°F | 56°F | 6 | 3.8 | Low season |
| March | 6.6 | #8 | 61°F | 44°F | 57°F | 5 | 5.1 | Low season |
| April | 7.0 | #7 | 67°F | 48°F | 59°F | 5 | 6.7 | Moderate season |
| May | 7.6 | #3 | 73°F | 54°F | 63°F | 6 | 8.3 | Moderate season |
| June | 7.9 | #1 | 83°F | 62°F | 70°F | 3 | 9.7 | Moderate season |
| July | 7.5 | #4 | 88°F | 66°F | 74°F | 1 | 10.0 | Peak season |
| August | 7.2 | #6 | 87°F | 65°F | 75°F | 2 | 10.0 | Peak season |
| September | 7.9 | #2 | 79°F | 60°F | 72°F | 4 | 9.5 | Moderate season |
| October | 7.3 | #5 | 71°F | 54°F | 68°F | 7 | 7.4 | Low season |
| November | 6.5 | #9 | 61°F | 47°F | 64°F | 8 | 4.6 | Low season |
| December | 5.8 | #11 | 56°F | 41°F | 60°F | 7 | 3.8 | Low season |
Near here
Nearby regions, nearest first. Distances are centre to centre, as the crow flies; they are not road distances or journey times.
Lyon & the French AlpsRhône-Alpes · France · about 110 miles
Balanced Overall 5.6 · Good weather, 50°F (10°C) · Busy season · Cost pricey
PiedmontItaly · about 120 miles
Balanced Overall 7.0 · Good weather, 51°F (10°C) · Moderate season · Cost moderate
Liguria & the Cinque TerreItaly · about 130 miles
Balanced Overall 4.5 · Poor weather, 55°F (13°C) · Low season · Cost moderate
Languedoc-RoussillonFrance · about 140 miles
Balanced Overall 4.6 · Fair weather, 56°F (13°C) · Off season · Cost moderate
Lake Geneva & ValaisSwitzerland · about 170 miles
Balanced Overall 3.8 · Fair weather, 47°F (8°C) · Peak season · Cost expensive
Elsewhere in Europe
French Riviera & Provence's weather ranks 23 of 77 beach regions this month. These beach regions outside France have clearly better weather on your dates, nearest first, each compared with French Riviera & Provence.
Valencia & the Costa BlancaSpain · about 460 miles
Good weather (6.6): 8°F warmer afternoons, 4 fewer rain days, busier for its season (moderate season), cheaper
MurciaSpain · about 570 miles
Very good weather (7.0): 9°F warmer afternoons, 4 fewer rain days, busier for its season (moderate season), cheaper
Maltaabout 710 miles
Good weather (6.2): 6°F warmer afternoons, busier for its season (moderate season), cheaper
AndalusiaSpain · about 710 miles
Good weather (6.2): 7°F warmer afternoons, busier for its season (moderate season), cheaper
MelillaSpain · about 770 miles
Very good weather (7.6): 11°F warmer afternoons, cheaper
It's low season, 22% of the busiest month and 47% below its average month. That means about 82,000 overnight visitors on a typical February night across the region, 81% of them from France itself. Rentals booked through Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor add up to 51,000 more: 62 for every 100 counted above. Some are the same properties counted twice.
| Climate suitability (HCI:Beach, 0–100) | 54 |
| How our weather was checked | 151 open weather stations in this region, January and July: afternoon highs typically within 1°F (0.5°C), night lows within 1°F (0.6°C). |
| Tourist nights per 1,000 residents per day | 16 |
| Busiest month here | August · 70 |
| Visitors as share of people present | 1.5% |
| Rank among Europe's regions this month | 81st percentile |
| Domestic share of nights | 81% |
| Platform rental nights per 100 counted nights | 62 |
| Visitor share if every platform night were extra | 2.5% |
| National hotel-price season | France historical 2024–2025 index: A little below usual (−7% vs its average month). Not a local room quote. |
| Population used | 5.3 million |
| Statistical region | FRL0 · Provence-Alpes-Côte d’Azur |
Crowds: Eurostat nights spent at tourist accommodation, by month and NUTS 2 region, 2024–2025 average. Overnight visitors per night is the month's nights divided by its days; the per-1,000 figure is Eurostat's, against each year's population. Platform rentals: Eurostat nights booked via Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor, 2024–2025 average, shown separately because some properties are in both counts. Weather: Holiday Climate Index computed from ERA5 reanalysis with daily highs, night lows and rain days corrected from open national weather-service station records, 2011–2025, population-weighted to the region; day-by-day figures are the same data averaged by date. Heat and rain odds are counted across those years. Sunrise and sunset: NOAA solar equations, local time. Prices: Eurostat price level index and HICP, national. Full method · this region's data.