Early January 1 January
55°F
Typical afternoon high
16% historical wet-day frequency
France · Beach
Is January a good time?
January averages 54°F afternoons and 57°F seas, with about 5 rain days.
Historical Provence-Alpes-Côte d’Azur regional averages, not a forecast or a measure of queues. Overnight demand compares average stays per day. Covers Nice, Marseille, Cannes, Avignon and Saint-Tropez; conditions vary within the region.
What matters most?
Weather 50% · Crowds 30% · Cost 20%
#12 of 12 months here · Balanced mix
Overall combines weather, overnight demand and cost. It does not include sea temperature.
Plan your January
Afternoons around 54°F (12°C): a sweater and a light jacket; nights around 40°F (4°C): a warm coat. About 9 hours of daylight. About 5 rain days in a typical January.
The sea averages 57°F. Our swimming guide: very cold: wetsuit weather. Your comfort will vary. This is open water near the coast, not a beach-specific reading.
Monthly coastal averages from NOAA, 2011–2025. Sea temperature is separate from the weather and Overall scores.
The sun rises about 08:07 and sets about 17:22 (local time, mid-month). Mornings start around 40°F (4°C); afternoons reach about 54°F (12°C). Expect rain on about 5 days in a typical January.
Early, middle or late?
Early and late January have similar afternoon averages. The afternoon high averages 55°F on the 1st, versus 54°F on the 31st. Historical wet-day frequency rises from 16% to 23% between those dates.
55°F
Typical afternoon high
16% historical wet-day frequency
53°F
Typical afternoon high
19% historical wet-day frequency
54°F
Typical afternoon high
23% historical wet-day frequency
Historical daily averages from 2011–2025, smoothed over two weeks. A seasonal pattern, not a forecast. This does not establish which week has the lowest prices or fewest visitors.
Public holidays · 2027: 1 Jan New Year's Day.
Weather shows historical patterns, not a forecast. Holidays and events use the dates shown for 2027.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 155° | 255° | 355° | ||||
| 454° | 554° | 654° | 754° | 854° | 954° | 1054° |
| 1154° | 1253° | 1353° | 1453° | 1553° | 1653° | 1753° |
| 1853° | 1953° | 2053° | 2153° | 2253° | 2353° | 2453° |
| 2553° | 2654° | 2754° | 2854° | 2954° | 3054° | 3154° |
Afternoon high rain likely (25%+) local school holidays public holiday event
Afternoons hold at about 54°F (12°C) all month. The chance of a wet day runs 15–24%. Local schools are out 1–3 January 2027.
Schools here are off 1–3 January 2027 (Christmas holidays). Public holidays: 1 Jan New Year's Day. Elsewhere in January 2027, the share of people living where schools are out on a typical day: Germany 21%, Spain 24%, Italy 20%, Poland 17%. (School holidays: OpenHolidays, ODbL.)
Visitor season
Low season. January averages 17% of August's overnight stays per day. Similar overnight stays to December.
Overnight stays across Provence-Alpes-Côte d’Azur do not measure queues, day visitors or congestion at individual sights. For its size, busier than most of Europe this month.
Hotel price season
Well below usual. Estimated from national hotel prices and local visitor demand; no measured regional room rate is available.
Fewer overnight stays do not automatically mean cheaper rooms. Check actual quotes for your trip.
Year-to-year variation
In the 15 years from 2011 to 2025, the month's afternoons averaged between 51°F (10°C) and 57°F (14°C); in 12 of them they were within 3°F (1.5°C) of the typical 54°F (12°C). Rain days ranged from 1 to 12; half the years had 4–7.
Rain days in each January
| Year | Afternoon high | Rain days |
|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 52°F | 6 |
| 2012 | 54°F | 5 |
| 2013 | 52°F | 7 |
| 2014 | 54°F | 12 |
| 2015 | 54°F | 5 |
| 2016 | 55°F | 6 |
| 2017 | 51°F | 5 |
| 2018 | 57°F | 7 |
| 2019 | 51°F | 3 |
| 2020 | 56°F | 5 |
| 2021 | 51°F | 11 |
| 2022 | 54°F | 1 |
| 2023 | 54°F | 4 |
| 2024 | 56°F | 4 |
| 2025 | 56°F | 9 |
Checked against 151 local weather stations. How we check
Compare dates
| Typical conditions | Dec | Jan | Feb |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 56°F | 54°F | 56°F |
| Sea | 60°F | 57°F | 56°F |
| Rain days | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| Overnight demand | 17% | 17% | 22% |
December: Warmer afternoons, warmer sea and more rain days than January. December guide →
February: Warmer afternoons than January. More overnight demand. February guide →
Overnight demand measures accommodation stays, not queues. Sea temperatures are monthly coastal averages.
Yellow marks the top three months on the Balanced mix. January stays as your reference.
November has a Weather score at least 1.0 point higher than January, without a substantially busier visitor season.
Your comparison
Overnight stays are 17% of the busiest month.
National hotel prices and local visitor demand suggest a little below usual. No measured regional room rate is available.
Read the December guide →| Typical conditions | January | December |
|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 54°F | 56°F |
| Nights | 40°F | 41°F |
| Sea | 57°F | 60°F |
| Rain days | 5 | 7 |
| Visitor season | Low season | Low season |
| Overall / 10 | 5.2 | 5.8 |
| Month rank | #12 | #11 |
| Month | Overall | Rank | High | Low | Sea | Rain days | Weather | Visitor season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 5.2 | #12 | 54°F | 40°F | 57°F | 5 | 3.2 | Low season |
| February | 5.8 | #10 | 56°F | 40°F | 56°F | 6 | 3.8 | Low season |
| March | 6.6 | #8 | 61°F | 44°F | 57°F | 5 | 5.1 | Low season |
| April | 7.0 | #7 | 67°F | 48°F | 59°F | 5 | 6.7 | Moderate season |
| May | 7.6 | #3 | 73°F | 54°F | 63°F | 6 | 8.3 | Moderate season |
| June | 7.9 | #1 | 83°F | 62°F | 70°F | 3 | 9.7 | Moderate season |
| July | 7.5 | #4 | 88°F | 66°F | 74°F | 1 | 10.0 | Peak season |
| August | 7.2 | #6 | 87°F | 65°F | 75°F | 2 | 10.0 | Peak season |
| September | 7.9 | #2 | 79°F | 60°F | 72°F | 4 | 9.5 | Moderate season |
| October | 7.3 | #5 | 71°F | 54°F | 68°F | 7 | 7.4 | Low season |
| November | 6.5 | #9 | 61°F | 47°F | 64°F | 8 | 4.6 | Low season |
| December | 5.8 | #11 | 56°F | 41°F | 60°F | 7 | 3.8 | Low season |
Near here
Nearby regions, nearest first. Distances are centre to centre, as the crow flies; they are not road distances or journey times.
Lyon & the French AlpsRhône-Alpes · France · about 110 miles
Balanced Overall 5.4 · Fair weather, 46°F (8°C) · Moderate season · Cost pricey
PiedmontItaly · about 120 miles
Balanced Overall 7.1 · Good weather, 48°F (9°C) · Moderate season · Cost moderate
Liguria & the Cinque TerreItaly · about 130 miles
Balanced Overall 4.1 · Poor weather, 53°F (12°C) · Low season · Cost moderate
Languedoc-RoussillonFrance · about 140 miles
Balanced Overall 4.2 · Poor weather, 53°F (12°C) · Off season · Cost moderate
Lake Geneva & ValaisSwitzerland · about 170 miles
Balanced Overall 4.1 · Fair weather, 43°F (6°C) · Busy season · Cost expensive
Elsewhere in Europe
French Riviera & Provence's weather ranks 24 of 77 beach regions this month. These beach regions outside France have clearly better weather on your dates, nearest first, each compared with French Riviera & Provence.
Valencia & the Costa BlancaSpain · about 460 miles
Good weather (6.0): 8°F warmer afternoons, 2 fewer rain days, busier for its season (low season), cheaper
MurciaSpain · about 570 miles
Good weather (6.3): 9°F warmer afternoons, 3 fewer rain days, busier for its season (moderate season), cheaper
SicilyItaly · about 610 miles
Fair weather (4.6): 5°F warmer afternoons, 3 more rain days, cheaper
Maltaabout 710 miles
Good weather (6.1): 8°F warmer afternoons, busier for its season (moderate season), cheaper
AndalusiaSpain · about 710 miles
Good weather (5.4): 7°F warmer afternoons, cheaper
It's low season, 17% of the busiest month and 60% below its average month. That means about 62,000 overnight visitors on a typical January night across the region, 77% of them from France itself. Rentals booked through Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor add up to 30,000 more: 48 for every 100 counted above. Some are the same properties counted twice.
| Climate suitability (HCI:Beach, 0–100) | 51 |
| How our weather was checked | 151 open weather stations in this region, January and July: afternoon highs typically within 1°F (0.5°C), night lows within 1°F (0.6°C). |
| Tourist nights per 1,000 residents per day | 12 |
| Busiest month here | August · 70 |
| Visitors as share of people present | 1.2% |
| Rank among Europe's regions this month | 79th percentile |
| Domestic share of nights | 77% |
| Platform rental nights per 100 counted nights | 48 |
| Visitor share if every platform night were extra | 1.7% |
| National hotel-price season | France historical 2024–2025 index: A little below usual (−8% vs its average month). Not a local room quote. |
| Population used | 5.3 million |
| Statistical region | FRL0 · Provence-Alpes-Côte d’Azur |
Crowds: Eurostat nights spent at tourist accommodation, by month and NUTS 2 region, 2024–2025 average. Overnight visitors per night is the month's nights divided by its days; the per-1,000 figure is Eurostat's, against each year's population. Platform rentals: Eurostat nights booked via Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor, 2024–2025 average, shown separately because some properties are in both counts. Weather: Holiday Climate Index computed from ERA5 reanalysis with daily highs, night lows and rain days corrected from open national weather-service station records, 2011–2025, population-weighted to the region; day-by-day figures are the same data averaged by date. Heat and rain odds are counted across those years. Sunrise and sunset: NOAA solar equations, local time. Prices: Eurostat price level index and HICP, national. Full method · this region's data.