Early October 1 October
65°F
Typical afternoon high
34% historical wet-day frequency
France · Beach
Is October a good time?
October averages 62°F afternoons and 61°F seas, with about 12 rain days. Later October is typically cooler.
Historical Nord-Pas de Calais regional averages, not a forecast or a measure of queues. Overnight demand compares average stays per day. Covers Lille; conditions vary within the region.
Planning to sightsee in Lille? The weather score rates beach conditions. Sightseeing rates good (6.9/10).
What matters most?
Weather 50% · Crowds 30% · Cost 20%
#7 of 12 months here · Balanced mix
Overall combines weather, overnight demand and cost. It does not include sea temperature.
Plan your October
Afternoons around 62°F (17°C): light layers; nights around 48°F (9°C): a warm coat. Bring rain gear: about 12 days with at least 1 mm of rain. About 11 hours of daylight.
The sea averages 61°F. Our swimming guide: cold: short dips, or a wetsuit. Your comfort will vary. This is open water near the coast, not a beach-specific reading.
Monthly coastal averages from NOAA, 2011–2025. Sea temperature is separate from the weather and Overall scores.
The sun rises about 08:10 and sets about 18:00 (local time, mid-month). Mornings start around 48°F (9°C); afternoons reach about 62°F (17°C). Expect rain on about 12 days in a typical October.
Early, middle or late?
Early October is typically warmer. The afternoon high averages 65°F on the 1st, versus 58°F on the 31st. Historical wet-day frequency rises from 34% to 39% between those dates.
65°F
Typical afternoon high
34% historical wet-day frequency
62°F
Typical afternoon high
39% historical wet-day frequency
58°F
Typical afternoon high
39% historical wet-day frequency
Historical daily averages from 2011–2025, smoothed over two weeks. A seasonal pattern, not a forecast. This does not establish which week has the lowest prices or fewest visitors.
Weather shows historical patterns, not a forecast. Holidays and events use the dates shown for 2026.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 165° | 265° | 365° | 465° | |||
| 564° | 664° | 764° | 863° | 963° | 1063° | 1163° |
| 1263° | 1362° | 1462° | 1562° | 1662° | 1762° | 1862° |
| 1962° | 2062° | 2161° | 2261° | 2361° | 2461° | 2561° |
| 2660° | 2760° | 2859° | 2959° | 3059° | 3158° |
Afternoon high rain likely (25%+) local school holidays public holiday event
Afternoons cool from about 64°F (18°C) in the first week to 59°F (15°C) in the last. The chance of a wet day runs 31–40%. Local schools are out 18–31 October 2026.
Schools here are off 18–31 October 2026 (All Saints holidays). Elsewhere in October 2026, the share of people living where schools are out on a typical day: Germany 33%, Netherlands 39%, Switzerland 32%, Belgium 15%. (School holidays: OpenHolidays, ODbL.)
Visitor season
Moderate season. October averages 57% of August's overnight stays per day. Fewer overnight stays than September.
Overnight stays across Nord-Pas de Calais do not measure queues, day visitors or congestion at individual sights. For its size, quieter than most of Europe this month.
Hotel price season
A little above usual. Estimated from national hotel prices and local visitor demand; no measured regional room rate is available.
Fewer overnight stays do not automatically mean cheaper rooms. Check actual quotes for your trip.
Year-to-year variation
In the 15 years from 2011 to 2025, the month's afternoons averaged between 59°F (15°C) and 66°F (19°C); in 11 of them they were within 3°F (1.5°C) of the typical 62°F (17°C). Rain days ranged from 5 to 19; half the years had 7–14.
Rain days in each October
| Year | Afternoon high | Rain days |
|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 63°F | 5 |
| 2012 | 59°F | 19 |
| 2013 | 63°F | 14 |
| 2014 | 64°F | 11 |
| 2015 | 59°F | 7 |
| 2016 | 60°F | 8 |
| 2017 | 64°F | 6 |
| 2018 | 64°F | 5 |
| 2019 | 61°F | 15 |
| 2020 | 60°F | 17 |
| 2021 | 61°F | 12 |
| 2022 | 66°F | 13 |
| 2023 | 65°F | 14 |
| 2024 | 62°F | 10 |
| 2025 | 61°F | 12 |
Checked against 25 local weather stations. How we check
Compare dates
| Typical conditions | Sep | Oct | Nov |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 70°F | 62°F | 53°F |
| Sea | 64°F | 61°F | 57°F |
| Rain days | 8 | 12 | 12 |
| Overnight demand | 68% | 57% | 47% |
September: Warmer afternoons, warmer sea and fewer rain days than October. More overnight demand. September guide →
November: Cooler afternoons and cooler sea than October. Less overnight demand. November guide →
Overnight demand measures accommodation stays, not queues. Sea temperatures are monthly coastal averages.
Yellow marks the top three months on the Balanced mix. October stays as your reference.
May to September have a Weather score at least 1.0 point higher than October, but more overnight stays.
Your comparison
Overnight stays are 68% of the busiest month.
National hotel prices and local visitor demand suggest a little above usual. No measured regional room rate is available.
Read the September guide →| Typical conditions | October | September |
|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 62°F | 70°F |
| Nights | 48°F | 52°F |
| Sea | 61°F | 64°F |
| Rain days | 12 | 8 |
| Visitor season | Moderate season | Busy season |
| Overall / 10 | 5.4 | 6.5 |
| Month rank | #7 | #2 |
| Month | Overall | Rank | High | Low | Sea | Rain days | Weather | Visitor season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 3.0 | #10 | 46°F | 35°F | 49°F | 13 | 1.0 | Moderate season |
| February | 3.0 | #11 | 48°F | 35°F | 47°F | 10 | 1.0 | Moderate season |
| March | 4.4 | #8 | 54°F | 37°F | 47°F | 10 | 2.4 | Moderate season |
| April | 5.6 | #6 | 60°F | 40°F | 49°F | 7 | 4.4 | Busy season |
| May | 5.9 | #5 | 66°F | 46°F | 53°F | 9 | 5.7 | Busy season |
| June | 6.4 | #4 | 72°F | 52°F | 58°F | 8 | 7.0 | Busy season |
| July | 6.6 | #1 | 75°F | 55°F | 63°F | 9 | 7.8 | Peak season |
| August | 6.4 | #3 | 75°F | 56°F | 65°F | 10 | 7.9 | Peak season |
| September | 6.5 | #2 | 70°F | 52°F | 64°F | 8 | 6.8 | Busy season |
| October | 5.4 | #7 | 62°F | 48°F | 61°F | 12 | 4.1 | Moderate season |
| November | 3.4 | #9 | 53°F | 41°F | 57°F | 12 | 1.4 | Moderate season |
| December | 3.0 | #12 | 48°F | 38°F | 52°F | 14 | 1.0 | Moderate season |
Near here
Nearby regions, nearest first. Distances are centre to centre, as the crow flies; they are not road distances or journey times.
Bruges & the Belgian coastWest Flanders · Belgium · about 40 miles
Balanced Overall 5.3 · Fair weather, 62°F (17°C) · Moderate season · Cost pricey
HainautBelgium · about 60 miles
Balanced Overall 6.4 · Good weather, 61°F (16°C) · Busy season · Cost pricey
Paris & aroundFrance · about 120 miles
Balanced Overall 6.7 · Very good weather, 64°F (18°C) · Steady all year · Cost pricey
Rotterdam, The Hague & South HollandNetherlands · about 130 miles
Balanced Overall 6.3 · Good weather, 61°F (16°C) · Busy season · Cost expensive
Amsterdam & North HollandNetherlands · about 180 miles
Balanced Overall 6.0 · Good weather, 60°F (16°C) · Busy season · Cost expensive
Elsewhere in Europe
Lille & the north coast's weather ranks 53 of 77 beach regions this month. These beach regions outside France have clearly better weather on your dates, nearest first, each compared with Lille & the north coast.
Liguria & the Cinque TerreItaly · about 510 miles
Good weather (6.6): 7°F warmer afternoons, 2 fewer rain days, quieter for its season (moderate season), cheaper
Venice & the VenetoItaly · about 540 miles
Good weather (6.3): 6°F warmer afternoons, 4 fewer rain days, quieter for its season (low season)
Friuli Venezia GiuliaItaly · about 560 miles
Good weather (5.6): 4°F warmer afternoons, 2 fewer rain days, quieter for its season (low season)
CantabriaSpain · about 600 miles
Good weather (6.9): 9°F warmer afternoons, 4 fewer rain days, quieter for its season (low season), cheaper
AsturiasSpain · about 640 miles
Good weather (6.4): 7°F warmer afternoons, 4 fewer rain days, quieter for its season (low season), cheaper
It's moderate season, 57% of the busiest month and about average for the year. That means about 23,000 overnight visitors on a typical October night across the region, 76% of them from France itself. Rentals booked through Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor add up to 14,000 more: 61 for every 100 counted above. Some are the same properties counted twice.
| Climate suitability (HCI:Beach, 0–100) | 55 |
| How our weather was checked | 25 open weather stations in this region, January and July: afternoon highs typically within 1°F (0.3°C), night lows within 1°F (0.8°C). |
| Tourist nights per 1,000 residents per day | 6 |
| Busiest month here | August · 10 |
| Visitors as share of people present | 0.6% |
| Rank among Europe's regions this month | 16th percentile |
| Domestic share of nights | 76% |
| Platform rental nights per 100 counted nights | 61 |
| Visitor share if every platform night were extra | 0.9% |
| National hotel-price season | France historical 2024–2025 index: A little above usual (+5% vs its average month). Not a local room quote. |
| Population used | 4.1 million |
| Statistical region | FRE1 · Nord-Pas de Calais |
Crowds: Eurostat nights spent at tourist accommodation, by month and NUTS 2 region, 2024–2025 average. Overnight visitors per night is the month's nights divided by its days; the per-1,000 figure is Eurostat's, against each year's population. Platform rentals: Eurostat nights booked via Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor, 2024–2025 average, shown separately because some properties are in both counts. Weather: Holiday Climate Index computed from ERA5 reanalysis with daily highs, night lows and rain days corrected from open national weather-service station records, 2011–2025, population-weighted to the region; day-by-day figures are the same data averaged by date. Heat and rain odds are counted across those years. Sunrise and sunset: NOAA solar equations, local time. Prices: Eurostat price level index and HICP, national. Full method · this region's data.