Early January 1 January
52°F
Typical afternoon high
29% historical wet-day frequency
France · Countryside
Is January a good time?
January averages 50°F afternoons, with about 11 rain days.
Historical Midi-Pyrénées regional averages, not a forecast or a measure of queues. Overnight demand compares average stays per day. Covers Toulouse and Lourdes; conditions vary within the region.
What matters most?
Weather 50% · Crowds 30% · Cost 20%
#10 of 12 months here · Balanced mix
Overall combines weather, overnight demand and cost. It does not include sea temperature.
Plan your January
Afternoons around 50°F (10°C): a sweater and a light jacket; nights around 36°F (2°C): a winter coat, hat and gloves. Bring rain gear: about 11 days with at least 1 mm of rain. About 9 hours of daylight.
The sun rises about 08:25 and sets about 17:40 (local time, mid-month). Mornings start around 36°F (2°C); afternoons reach about 50°F (10°C). Expect rain on about 11 days in a typical January.
Early, middle or late?
Early and late January have similar afternoon averages. The afternoon high averages 52°F on the 1st, versus 51°F on the 31st. Historical wet-day frequency rises from 29% to 38% between those dates.
52°F
Typical afternoon high
29% historical wet-day frequency
50°F
Typical afternoon high
38% historical wet-day frequency
51°F
Typical afternoon high
38% historical wet-day frequency
Historical daily averages from 2011–2025, smoothed over two weeks. A seasonal pattern, not a forecast. This does not establish which week has the lowest prices or fewest visitors.
Public holidays · 2027: 1 Jan New Year's Day.
Weather shows historical patterns, not a forecast. Holidays and events use the dates shown for 2027.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 152° | 252° | 352° | ||||
| 451° | 551° | 651° | 751° | 851° | 951° | 1050° |
| 1150° | 1250° | 1350° | 1450° | 1550° | 1649° | 1749° |
| 1849° | 1949° | 2049° | 2150° | 2250° | 2350° | 2450° |
| 2550° | 2650° | 2750° | 2850° | 2951° | 3051° | 3151° |
Afternoon high rain likely (25%+) local school holidays public holiday event
Afternoons cool from about 52°F (11°C) in the first week to 50°F (10°C) in the last. The chance of a wet day runs 29–40%. Local schools are out 1–3 January 2027.
Schools here are off 1–3 January 2027 (Christmas holidays). Public holidays: 1 Jan New Year's Day. Elsewhere in January 2027, the share of people living where schools are out on a typical day: Germany 21%, Spain 24%, Italy 20%, Poland 17%. (School holidays: OpenHolidays, ODbL.)
Visitor season
Low season. January averages 19% of August's overnight stays per day. Similar overnight stays to December.
Overnight stays across Midi-Pyrénées do not measure queues, day visitors or congestion at individual sights. For its size, typical for Europe this month.
Hotel price season
A little below usual. Estimated from national hotel prices and local visitor demand; no measured regional room rate is available.
Fewer overnight stays do not automatically mean cheaper rooms. Check actual quotes for your trip.
Year-to-year variation
In the 15 years from 2011 to 2025, the month's afternoons averaged between 46°F (8°C) and 54°F (12°C); in 7 of them they were within 3°F (1.5°C) of the typical 50°F (10°C). Rain days ranged from 4 to 18; half the years had 8–16.
Rain days in each January
| Year | Afternoon high | Rain days |
|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 49°F | 4 |
| 2012 | 50°F | 9 |
| 2013 | 48°F | 16 |
| 2014 | 53°F | 18 |
| 2015 | 49°F | 11 |
| 2016 | 54°F | 16 |
| 2017 | 47°F | 7 |
| 2018 | 53°F | 18 |
| 2019 | 46°F | 11 |
| 2020 | 54°F | 8 |
| 2021 | 47°F | 13 |
| 2022 | 49°F | 7 |
| 2023 | 49°F | 11 |
| 2024 | 53°F | 10 |
| 2025 | 53°F | 12 |
Checked against 163 local weather stations. How we check
Compare dates
| Typical conditions | Dec | Jan | Feb |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 53°F | 50°F | 53°F |
| Rain days | 11 | 11 | 9 |
| Overnight demand | 20% | 19% | 25% |
December: Warmer afternoons than January. December guide →
February: Warmer afternoons and fewer rain days than January. More overnight demand. February guide →
Overnight demand measures accommodation stays, not queues.
Yellow marks the top three months on the Balanced mix. January stays as your reference.
March and November have a Weather score at least 1.0 point higher than January, without a substantially busier visitor season.
Your comparison
Overnight stays are 20% of the busiest month.
National hotel prices and local visitor demand suggest a little below usual. No measured regional room rate is available.
Read the December guide →| Typical conditions | January | December |
|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 50°F | 53°F |
| Nights | 36°F | 39°F |
| Rain days | 11 | 11 |
| Visitor season | Low season | Low season |
| Overall / 10 | 6.8 | 7.0 |
| Month rank | #10 | #9 |
| Month | Overall | Rank | High | Low | Rain days | Weather | Visitor season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 6.8 | #10 | 50°F | 36°F | 11 | 5.1 | Low season |
| February | 7.0 | #8 | 53°F | 37°F | 9 | 5.8 | Low season |
| March | 7.5 | #5 | 60°F | 41°F | 11 | 6.7 | Low season |
| April | 7.8 | #3 | 65°F | 44°F | 9 | 7.8 | Low season |
| May | 7.7 | #4 | 71°F | 50°F | 10 | 8.3 | Moderate season |
| June | 7.4 | #6 | 79°F | 57°F | 8 | 8.2 | Moderate season |
| July | 6.7 | #11 | 84°F | 60°F | 6 | 8.1 | Busy season |
| August | 6.2 | #12 | 85°F | 61°F | 5 | 8.0 | Peak season |
| September | 7.9 | #2 | 77°F | 55°F | 6 | 8.9 | Moderate season |
| October | 8.1 | #1 | 69°F | 51°F | 7 | 8.8 | Low season |
| November | 7.3 | #7 | 58°F | 43°F | 13 | 6.3 | Low season |
| December | 7.0 | #9 | 53°F | 39°F | 11 | 5.7 | Low season |
Near here
Nearby regions, nearest first. Distances are centre to centre, as the crow flies; they are not road distances or journey times.
Languedoc-RoussillonFrance · about 90 miles
Balanced Overall 4.2 · Poor weather, 53°F (12°C) · Off season · Cost moderate
Bordeaux & the Atlantic coastAquitaine · France · about 90 miles
Balanced Overall 3.3 · Poor weather, 52°F (11°C) · Off season · Cost moderate
Barcelona & CataloniaSpain · about 140 miles
Balanced Overall 8.0 · Very good weather, 57°F (14°C) · Low season · Cost moderate
AuvergneFrance · about 150 miles
Balanced Overall 6.5 · Fair weather, 45°F (7°C) · Low season · Cost moderate
Poitou-CharentesFrance · about 180 miles
Balanced Overall 5.4 · Fair weather, 50°F (10°C) · Off season · Cost moderate
Elsewhere in Europe
Toulouse & the Pyrenees' weather ranks 14 of 117 countryside regions this month. These countryside regions outside France have clearly better weather on your dates, nearest first, each compared with Toulouse & the Pyrenees.
Castilla-La ManchaSpain · about 370 miles
Good weather (6.5): 3°F warmer afternoons, 3 fewer rain days, busier for its season (moderate season), cheaper
ExtremaduraSpain · about 510 miles
Good weather (6.8): 6°F warmer afternoons, 3 fewer rain days, cheaper
AlentejoPortugal · about 610 miles
Very good weather (7.2): 9°F warmer afternoons, 4 fewer rain days, cheaper
It's low season, 19% of the busiest month and 52% below its average month. That means about 23,000 overnight visitors on a typical January night across the region, 84% of them from France itself. Rentals booked through Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor add up to 14,000 more: 61 for every 100 counted above. Some are the same properties counted twice.
| Climate suitability (HCI:Urban, 0–100) | 60 |
| How our weather was checked | 163 open weather stations in this region, January and July: afternoon highs typically within 1°F (0.4°C), night lows within 1°F (0.1°C). |
| Tourist nights per 1,000 residents per day | 7 |
| Busiest month here | August · 38 |
| Visitors as share of people present | 0.7% |
| Rank among Europe's regions this month | 58th percentile |
| Domestic share of nights | 84% |
| Platform rental nights per 100 counted nights | 61 |
| Visitor share if every platform night were extra | 1.2% |
| National hotel-price season | France historical 2024–2025 index: A little below usual (−8% vs its average month). Not a local room quote. |
| Population used | 3.2 million |
| Statistical region | FRJ2 · Midi-Pyrénées |
Crowds: Eurostat nights spent at tourist accommodation, by month and NUTS 2 region, 2024–2025 average. Overnight visitors per night is the month's nights divided by its days; the per-1,000 figure is Eurostat's, against each year's population. Platform rentals: Eurostat nights booked via Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor, 2024–2025 average, shown separately because some properties are in both counts. Weather: Holiday Climate Index computed from ERA5 reanalysis with daily highs, night lows and rain days corrected from open national weather-service station records, 2011–2025, population-weighted to the region; day-by-day figures are the same data averaged by date. Heat and rain odds are counted across those years. Sunrise and sunset: NOAA solar equations, local time. Prices: Eurostat price level index and HICP, national. Full method · this region's data.