Early October 1 October
73°F
Typical afternoon high
25% historical wet-day frequency
France · Countryside
Is October a good time?
October averages 69°F afternoons, with about 7 rain days. Later October is typically cooler.
Historical Midi-Pyrénées regional averages, not a forecast or a measure of queues. Overnight demand compares average stays per day. Covers Toulouse and Lourdes; conditions vary within the region.
What matters most?
Weather 50% · Crowds 30% · Cost 20%
#1 of 12 months here · Balanced mix
Overall combines weather, overnight demand and cost. It does not include sea temperature.
Plan your October
Afternoons around 69°F (21°C): light layers; nights around 51°F (10°C): a sweater and a light jacket. About 11 hours of daylight. About 7 rain days in a typical October.
The sun rises about 08:07 and sets about 19:13 (local time, mid-month). Mornings start around 51°F (10°C); afternoons reach about 69°F (21°C). Expect rain on about 7 days in a typical October.
Early, middle or late?
Early October is typically warmer. The afternoon high averages 73°F on the 1st, versus 64°F on the 31st. Historical wet-day frequency rises from 25% to 37% between those dates.
73°F
Typical afternoon high
25% historical wet-day frequency
70°F
Typical afternoon high
23% historical wet-day frequency
64°F
Typical afternoon high
37% historical wet-day frequency
Historical daily averages from 2011–2025, smoothed over two weeks. A seasonal pattern, not a forecast. This does not establish which week has the lowest prices or fewest visitors.
Weather shows historical patterns, not a forecast. Holidays and events use the dates shown for 2026.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 173° | 273° | 372° | 472° | |||
| 572° | 672° | 771° | 871° | 971° | 1071° | 1171° |
| 1271° | 1371° | 1470° | 1570° | 1670° | 1770° | 1870° |
| 1969° | 2069° | 2168° | 2268° | 2368° | 2468° | 2567° |
| 2667° | 2766° | 2866° | 2965° | 3065° | 3164° |
Afternoon high rain likely (25%+) local school holidays public holiday event
Afternoons cool from about 72°F (22°C) in the first week to 66°F (19°C) in the last. The chance of a wet day runs 22–37%. Local schools are out 18–31 October 2026.
Schools here are off 18–31 October 2026 (All Saints holidays). Elsewhere in October 2026, the share of people living where schools are out on a typical day: Germany 33%, Netherlands 39%, Switzerland 32%, Belgium 15%. (School holidays: OpenHolidays, ODbL.)
Visitor season
Low season. October averages 32% of August's overnight stays per day. Fewer overnight stays than September.
Overnight stays across Midi-Pyrénées do not measure queues, day visitors or congestion at individual sights. For its size, typical for Europe this month.
Hotel price season
A little above usual. Estimated from national hotel prices and local visitor demand; no measured regional room rate is available.
Fewer overnight stays do not automatically mean cheaper rooms. Check actual quotes for your trip.
Year-to-year variation
In the 15 years from 2011 to 2025, the month's afternoons averaged between 63°F (17°C) and 76°F (24°C); in 10 of them they were within 3°F (1.5°C) of the typical 69°F (21°C). Rain days ranged from 4 to 14; half the years had 5–10.
Rain days in each October
| Year | Afternoon high | Rain days |
|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 71°F | 5 |
| 2012 | 68°F | 10 |
| 2013 | 69°F | 8 |
| 2014 | 73°F | 4 |
| 2015 | 66°F | 6 |
| 2016 | 68°F | 7 |
| 2017 | 70°F | 4 |
| 2018 | 68°F | 10 |
| 2019 | 70°F | 9 |
| 2020 | 63°F | 14 |
| 2021 | 67°F | 5 |
| 2022 | 76°F | 5 |
| 2023 | 75°F | 8 |
| 2024 | 69°F | 12 |
| 2025 | 68°F | 6 |
Checked against 163 local weather stations. How we check
Compare dates
| Typical conditions | Sep | Oct | Nov |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 77°F | 69°F | 58°F |
| Rain days | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| Overnight demand | 45% | 32% | 18% |
September: Warmer afternoons than October. More overnight demand. September guide →
November: Cooler afternoons and more rain days than October. Less overnight demand. November guide →
Overnight demand measures accommodation stays, not queues.
Yellow marks the top three months on the Balanced mix. October stays as your reference.
No other scored month has a Weather score at least 1.0 point higher than October.
Your comparison
Overnight stays are 45% of the busiest month.
National hotel prices and local visitor demand suggest a little above usual. No measured regional room rate is available.
Read the September guide →| Typical conditions | October | September |
|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 69°F | 77°F |
| Nights | 51°F | 55°F |
| Rain days | 7 | 6 |
| Visitor season | Low season | Moderate season |
| Overall / 10 | 8.1 | 7.9 |
| Month rank | #1 | #2 |
| Month | Overall | Rank | High | Low | Rain days | Weather | Visitor season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 6.8 | #10 | 50°F | 36°F | 11 | 5.1 | Low season |
| February | 7.0 | #8 | 53°F | 37°F | 9 | 5.8 | Low season |
| March | 7.5 | #5 | 60°F | 41°F | 11 | 6.7 | Low season |
| April | 7.8 | #3 | 65°F | 44°F | 9 | 7.8 | Low season |
| May | 7.7 | #4 | 71°F | 50°F | 10 | 8.3 | Moderate season |
| June | 7.4 | #6 | 79°F | 57°F | 8 | 8.2 | Moderate season |
| July | 6.7 | #11 | 84°F | 60°F | 6 | 8.1 | Busy season |
| August | 6.2 | #12 | 85°F | 61°F | 5 | 8.0 | Peak season |
| September | 7.9 | #2 | 77°F | 55°F | 6 | 8.9 | Moderate season |
| October | 8.1 | #1 | 69°F | 51°F | 7 | 8.8 | Low season |
| November | 7.3 | #7 | 58°F | 43°F | 13 | 6.3 | Low season |
| December | 7.0 | #9 | 53°F | 39°F | 11 | 5.7 | Low season |
Near here
Nearby regions, nearest first. Distances are centre to centre, as the crow flies; they are not road distances or journey times.
Languedoc-RoussillonFrance · about 90 miles
Balanced Overall 7.5 · Very good weather, 71°F (22°C) · Low season · Cost pricey
Bordeaux & the Atlantic coastAquitaine · France · about 90 miles
Balanced Overall 7.2 · Good weather, 70°F (21°C) · Low season · Cost pricey
Barcelona & CataloniaSpain · about 140 miles
Balanced Overall 8.4 · Excellent weather, 73°F (23°C) · Moderate season · Cost moderate
AuvergneFrance · about 150 miles
Balanced Overall 7.7 · Very good weather, 64°F (18°C) · Low season · Cost pricey
Poitou-CharentesFrance · about 180 miles
Balanced Overall 8.0 · Very good weather, 67°F (19°C) · Low season · Cost pricey
Elsewhere in Europe
Toulouse & the Pyrenees' weather ranks 11 of 117 countryside regions this month. We found no countryside regions outside France with a weather score at least 1.0 point higher on these dates.
It's low season, 32% of the busiest month and 19% below its average month. That means about 40,000 overnight visitors on a typical October night across the region, 75% of them from France itself. Rentals booked through Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor add up to 16,000 more: 40 for every 100 counted above. Some are the same properties counted twice.
| Climate suitability (HCI:Urban, 0–100) | 79 |
| How our weather was checked | 163 open weather stations in this region, January and July: afternoon highs typically within 1°F (0.4°C), night lows within 1°F (0.1°C). |
| Tourist nights per 1,000 residents per day | 12 |
| Busiest month here | August · 38 |
| Visitors as share of people present | 1.2% |
| Rank among Europe's regions this month | 52nd percentile |
| Domestic share of nights | 75% |
| Platform rental nights per 100 counted nights | 40 |
| Visitor share if every platform night were extra | 1.7% |
| National hotel-price season | France historical 2024–2025 index: A little above usual (+5% vs its average month). Not a local room quote. |
| Population used | 3.2 million |
| Statistical region | FRJ2 · Midi-Pyrénées |
Crowds: Eurostat nights spent at tourist accommodation, by month and NUTS 2 region, 2024–2025 average. Overnight visitors per night is the month's nights divided by its days; the per-1,000 figure is Eurostat's, against each year's population. Platform rentals: Eurostat nights booked via Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor, 2024–2025 average, shown separately because some properties are in both counts. Weather: Holiday Climate Index computed from ERA5 reanalysis with daily highs, night lows and rain days corrected from open national weather-service station records, 2011–2025, population-weighted to the region; day-by-day figures are the same data averaged by date. Heat and rain odds are counted across those years. Sunrise and sunset: NOAA solar equations, local time. Prices: Eurostat price level index and HICP, national. Full method · this region's data.