Early October 1 October
62°F
Typical afternoon high
37% historical wet-day frequency
Germany · Beach
Is October a good time?
October averages 58°F afternoons and 56°F seas, with about 12 rain days. Later October is typically cooler.
Historical Schleswig-Holstein regional averages, not a forecast or a measure of queues. Overnight demand compares average stays per day. Covers Sylt, Lübeck and Kiel; conditions vary within the region.
What matters most?
Weather 50% · Crowds 30% · Cost 20%
#7 of 12 months here · Balanced mix
Overall combines weather, overnight demand and cost. It does not include sea temperature.
Plan your October
Afternoons around 58°F (15°C): a sweater and a light jacket; nights around 45°F (7°C): a warm coat. Bring rain gear: about 12 days with at least 1 mm of rain. About 11 hours of daylight.
The sea averages 56°F. Our swimming guide: very cold: wetsuit weather. Your comfort will vary. This is open water near the coast, not a beach-specific reading.
Monthly coastal averages from NOAA, 2011–2025. Sea temperature is separate from the weather and Overall scores.
The sun rises about 07:47 and sets about 18:26 (local time, mid-month). Mornings start around 45°F (7°C); afternoons reach about 58°F (15°C). Expect rain on about 12 days in a typical October.
Early, middle or late?
Early October is typically warmer. The afternoon high averages 62°F on the 1st, versus 54°F on the 31st.
62°F
Typical afternoon high
37% historical wet-day frequency
58°F
Typical afternoon high
43% historical wet-day frequency
54°F
Typical afternoon high
37% historical wet-day frequency
Historical daily averages from 2011–2025, smoothed over two weeks. A seasonal pattern, not a forecast. This does not establish which week has the lowest prices or fewest visitors.
Public holidays · 2026: 3 Oct Day of German Unity; 31 Oct Reformation Day.
Weather shows historical patterns, not a forecast. Holidays and events use the dates shown for 2026.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 162° | 262° | 362° | 461° | |||
| 561° | 660° | 760° | 860° | 960° | 1059° | 1159° |
| 1259° | 1359° | 1458° | 1558° | 1658° | 1758° | 1858° |
| 1958° | 2058° | 2158° | 2257° | 2357° | 2457° | 2557° |
| 2656° | 2756° | 2856° | 2955° | 3055° | 3154° |
Afternoon high rain likely (25%+) local school holidays public holiday event
Afternoons cool from about 61°F (16°C) in the first week to 56°F (13°C) in the last. The chance of a wet day runs 36–43%. Local schools are out 5–24 October 2026.
Schools here are off 5–24 October 2026 (autumn holidays). Public holidays: 3 Oct Day of German Unity; 31 Oct Reformation Day. Elsewhere in October 2026, the share of people living where schools are out on a typical day: France 45%, Netherlands 39%, Switzerland 32%, Belgium 15%. (School holidays: OpenHolidays, ODbL.)
Visitor season
Moderate season. October averages 51% of August's overnight stays per day. Fewer overnight stays than September.
Overnight stays across Schleswig-Holstein do not measure queues, day visitors or congestion at individual sights. For its size, busier than most of Europe this month.
Hotel price season
About usual. Estimated from national hotel prices and local visitor demand; no measured regional room rate is available.
Fewer overnight stays do not automatically mean cheaper rooms. Check actual quotes for your trip.
Year-to-year variation
In the 15 years from 2011 to 2025, the month's afternoons averaged between 55°F (13°C) and 62°F (17°C); in 10 of them they were within 3°F (1.5°C) of the typical 58°F (15°C). Rain days ranged from 5 to 20; half the years had 9–14.
Rain days in each October
| Year | Afternoon high | Rain days |
|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 58°F | 6 |
| 2012 | 55°F | 12 |
| 2013 | 59°F | 14 |
| 2014 | 61°F | 11 |
| 2015 | 55°F | 8 |
| 2016 | 55°F | 12 |
| 2017 | 59°F | 16 |
| 2018 | 61°F | 5 |
| 2019 | 58°F | 17 |
| 2020 | 58°F | 13 |
| 2021 | 58°F | 13 |
| 2022 | 62°F | 11 |
| 2023 | 58°F | 20 |
| 2024 | 59°F | 9 |
| 2025 | 57°F | 13 |
Checked against 16 local weather stations. How we check
Compare dates
| Typical conditions | Sep | Oct | Nov |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 67°F | 58°F | 48°F |
| Sea | 62°F | 56°F | 49°F |
| Rain days | 10 | 12 | 11 |
| Overnight demand | 66% | 51% | 23% |
September: Warmer afternoons, warmer sea and fewer rain days than October. More overnight demand. September guide →
November: Cooler afternoons and cooler sea than October. Less overnight demand. November guide →
Overnight demand measures accommodation stays, not queues. Sea temperatures are monthly coastal averages.
Yellow marks the top three months on the Balanced mix. October stays as your reference.
May to September have a Weather score at least 1.0 point higher than October, but more overnight stays.
Your comparison
Overnight stays are 66% of the busiest month.
National hotel prices and local visitor demand suggest a little above usual. No measured regional room rate is available.
Read the September guide →| Typical conditions | October | September |
|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 58°F | 67°F |
| Nights | 45°F | 50°F |
| Sea | 56°F | 62°F |
| Rain days | 12 | 10 |
| Visitor season | Moderate season | Busy season |
| Overall / 10 | 4.8 | 5.9 |
| Month rank | #7 | #2 |
| Month | Overall | Rank | High | Low | Sea | Rain days | Weather | Visitor season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 3.0 | #9 | 41°F | 31°F | 40°F | 14 | 1.0 | Low season |
| February | 3.0 | #10 | 43°F | 31°F | 38°F | 8 | 1.0 | Low season |
| March | 3.4 | #8 | 49°F | 33°F | 40°F | 8 | 1.4 | Low season |
| April | 5.3 | #6 | 57°F | 38°F | 45°F | 7 | 3.6 | Moderate season |
| May | 5.7 | #5 | 65°F | 45°F | 53°F | 9 | 5.3 | Busy season |
| June | 6.2 | #1 | 71°F | 52°F | 60°F | 10 | 6.8 | Busy season |
| July | 5.8 | #4 | 73°F | 55°F | 64°F | 13 | 7.1 | Peak season |
| August | 5.8 | #3 | 74°F | 55°F | 66°F | 10 | 7.5 | Peak season |
| September | 5.9 | #2 | 67°F | 50°F | 62°F | 10 | 6.1 | Busy season |
| October | 4.8 | #7 | 58°F | 45°F | 56°F | 12 | 3.0 | Moderate season |
| November | 3.0 | #11 | 48°F | 38°F | 49°F | 11 | 1.0 | Low season |
| December | 3.0 | #12 | 44°F | 35°F | 43°F | 14 | 1.0 | Low season |
Near here
Nearby regions, nearest first. Distances are centre to centre, as the crow flies; they are not road distances or journey times.
HamburgGermany · about 40 miles
Balanced Overall 6.3 · Good weather, 59°F (15°C) · Steady all year · Cost pricey
LüneburgLower Saxony · Germany · about 70 miles
Balanced Overall 6.2 · Good weather, 59°F (15°C) · Busy season · Cost pricey
Mecklenburg-VorpommernBaltic coast · Germany · about 110 miles
Balanced Overall 4.9 · Fair weather, 58°F (15°C) · Moderate season · Cost pricey
Weser-Ems & the North Sea coastLower Saxony · Germany · about 120 miles
Balanced Overall 6.3 · Good weather, 60°F (15°C) · Busy season · Cost pricey
CopenhagenDenmark · about 160 miles
Balanced Overall 5.8 · Good weather, 57°F (14°C) · Busy season · Cost expensive
Elsewhere in Europe
Schleswig-Holstein's weather ranks 60 of 77 beach regions this month. These beach regions outside Germany have clearly better weather on your dates, nearest first, each compared with Schleswig-Holstein.
Bruges & the Belgian coastWest Flanders · Belgium · about 360 miles
Fair weather (4.0): 3°F warmer afternoons
Lille & the north coastFrance · about 390 miles
Fair weather (4.1): 4°F warmer afternoons
Eastern NormandyFrance · about 500 miles
Fair weather (4.2): 4°F warmer afternoons
Friuli Venezia GiuliaItaly · about 570 miles
Good weather (5.6): 8°F warmer afternoons, 2 fewer rain days, quieter for its season (low season)
Western NormandyFrance · about 570 miles
Fair weather (4.4): 5°F warmer afternoons, quieter for its season (low season)
It's moderate season, 51% of the busiest month and about average for the year. That means about 97,000 overnight visitors on a typical October night across the region, 95% of them from Germany itself. Rentals booked through Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor add up to 16,000 more: 17 for every 100 counted above. Some are the same properties counted twice.
| Climate suitability (HCI:Beach, 0–100) | 50 |
| How our weather was checked | 16 open weather stations in this region, January and July: afternoon highs typically within 1°F (0.5°C), night lows within 1°F (0.5°C). |
| Tourist nights per 1,000 residents per day | 33 |
| Busiest month here | August · 64 |
| Visitors as share of people present | 3.2% |
| Rank among Europe's regions this month | 90th percentile |
| Domestic share of nights | 95% |
| Platform rental nights per 100 counted nights | 17 |
| Visitor share if every platform night were extra | 3.7% |
| National hotel-price season | Germany historical 2024–2025 index: About usual (+2% vs its average month). Not a local room quote. |
| Population used | 3.0 million |
| Statistical region | DEF0 · Schleswig-Holstein |
Crowds: Eurostat nights spent at tourist accommodation, by month and NUTS 2 region, 2024–2025 average. Overnight visitors per night is the month's nights divided by its days; the per-1,000 figure is Eurostat's, against each year's population. Platform rentals: Eurostat nights booked via Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor, 2024–2025 average, shown separately because some properties are in both counts. Weather: Holiday Climate Index computed from ERA5 reanalysis with daily highs, night lows and rain days corrected from open national weather-service station records, 2011–2025, population-weighted to the region; day-by-day figures are the same data averaged by date. Heat and rain odds are counted across those years. Sunrise and sunset: NOAA solar equations, local time. Prices: Eurostat price level index and HICP, national. Full method · this region's data.