Early January 1 January
33°F
Typical afternoon high
49% historical wet-day frequency
Lithuania · City
Is January a good time?
January averages 30°F afternoons, with about 14 rain days. Later January is typically cooler.
Historical Sostinės regionas regional averages, not a forecast or a measure of queues. Overnight demand compares average stays per day. Covers Vilnius and Trakai; conditions vary within the region.
What matters most?
Weather 50% · Crowds 30% · Cost 20%
#12 of 12 months here · Balanced mix
Overall combines weather, overnight demand and cost. It does not include sea temperature.
Plan your January
Afternoons around 30°F (−1°C): a winter coat, hat and gloves. Bring rain gear: about 14 days with at least 1 mm of rain. About 8 hours of daylight.
The sun rises about 08:34 and sets about 16:21 (local time, mid-month). Mornings start around 21°F (−6°C); afternoons reach about 30°F (−1°C). Expect rain on about 14 days in a typical January.
Early, middle or late?
Early January is typically warmer. The afternoon high averages 33°F on the 1st, versus 31°F on the 31st. Historical wet-day frequency falls from 49% to 43% between those dates.
33°F
Typical afternoon high
49% historical wet-day frequency
30°F
Typical afternoon high
40% historical wet-day frequency
31°F
Typical afternoon high
43% historical wet-day frequency
Historical daily averages from 2011–2025, smoothed over two weeks. A seasonal pattern, not a forecast. This does not establish which week has the lowest prices or fewest visitors.
Public holidays · 2027: 1 Jan New Year's Day.
Weather shows historical patterns, not a forecast. Holidays and events use the dates shown for 2027.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 133° | 233° | 332° | ||||
| 432° | 532° | 632° | 731° | 831° | 931° | 1030° |
| 1130° | 1230° | 1329° | 1430° | 1530° | 1630° | 1729° |
| 1829° | 1929° | 2029° | 2129° | 2229° | 2329° | 2429° |
| 2529° | 2630° | 2730° | 2830° | 2930° | 3030° | 3131° |
Afternoon high rain likely (25%+) local school holidays public holiday event
Afternoons cool from about 32°F (0°C) in the first week to 30°F (−1°C) in the last. The chance of a wet day runs 36–51%. Local schools are out 1–3 January 2027.
Schools here are off 1–3 January 2027 (Christmas holidays). Public holidays: 1 Jan New Year's Day. Elsewhere in January 2027, the share of people living where schools are out on a typical day: Germany 21%, Spain 24%, Italy 20%, Poland 17%. (School holidays: OpenHolidays, ODbL.)
Visitor season
Moderate season. January averages 45% of August's overnight stays per day. Fewer overnight stays than December.
Overnight stays across Sostinės regionas do not measure queues, day visitors or congestion at individual sights.
Hotel price season
Well below usual. Estimated from national hotel prices and local visitor demand; no measured regional room rate is available.
Fewer overnight stays do not automatically mean cheaper rooms. Check actual quotes for your trip.
Year-to-year variation
In the 15 years from 2011 to 2025, the month's afternoons averaged between 23°F (−5°C) and 39°F (4°C); in 5 of them they were within 3°F (1.5°C) of the typical 30°F (−1°C). Rain days ranged from 8 to 19; half the years had 11–16.
Rain days in each January
| Year | Afternoon high | Rain days |
|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 30°F | 13 |
| 2012 | 29°F | 16 |
| 2013 | 24°F | 10 |
| 2014 | 24°F | 11 |
| 2015 | 34°F | 15 |
| 2016 | 23°F | 8 |
| 2017 | 28°F | 8 |
| 2018 | 33°F | 14 |
| 2019 | 27°F | 17 |
| 2020 | 39°F | 13 |
| 2021 | 28°F | 14 |
| 2022 | 33°F | 16 |
| 2023 | 35°F | 19 |
| 2024 | 28°F | 14 |
| 2025 | 38°F | 13 |
Checked against official climate averages for Vilnius. How we check
Compare dates
| Typical conditions | Dec | Jan | Feb |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 35°F | 30°F | 33°F |
| Rain days | 13 | 14 | 9 |
| Overnight demand | 67% | 45% | 54% |
December: Warmer afternoons than January. More overnight demand. December guide →
February: Warmer afternoons and fewer rain days than January. More overnight demand. February guide →
Overnight demand measures accommodation stays, not queues.
Yellow marks the top three months on the Balanced mix. January stays as your reference.
March to October have a Weather score at least 1.0 point higher than January, but more overnight stays.
Your comparison
Overnight stays are 67% of the busiest month.
National hotel prices and local visitor demand suggest about usual. No measured regional room rate is available.
Read the December guide →| Typical conditions | January | December |
|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 30°F | 35°F |
| Nights | 21°F | 26°F |
| Rain days | 14 | 13 |
| Visitor season | Moderate season | Busy season |
| Overall / 10 | 4.1 | 4.3 |
| Month rank | #12 | #11 |
| Month | Overall | Rank | High | Low | Rain days | Weather | Visitor season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 4.1 | #12 | 30°F | 21°F | 14 | 3.1 | Moderate season |
| February | 4.7 | #10 | 33°F | 22°F | 9 | 3.7 | Moderate season |
| March | 6.0 | #8 | 43°F | 27°F | 8 | 5.0 | Busy season |
| April | 7.1 | #5 | 55°F | 36°F | 8 | 6.4 | Busy season |
| May | 7.4 | #2 | 65°F | 45°F | 10 | 8.1 | Busy season |
| June | 7.6 | #1 | 73°F | 53°F | 9 | 9.0 | Busy season |
| July | 7.0 | #6 | 75°F | 56°F | 12 | 8.6 | Peak season |
| August | 7.1 | #4 | 74°F | 55°F | 11 | 9.1 | Peak season |
| September | 7.2 | #3 | 65°F | 48°F | 7 | 8.1 | Busy season |
| October | 6.3 | #7 | 52°F | 39°F | 10 | 5.4 | Busy season |
| November | 4.9 | #9 | 42°F | 32°F | 12 | 3.9 | Busy season |
| December | 4.3 | #11 | 35°F | 26°F | 13 | 3.3 | Busy season |
Near here
Nearby regions, nearest first. Distances are centre to centre, as the crow flies; they are not road distances or journey times.
Central & western Lithuaniaabout 70 miles
Balanced Overall 5.2 · Fair weather, 32°F (0°C) · Moderate season · Cost cheap
Latviaabout 140 miles
Balanced Overall 3.0 · Poor weather, 32°F (0°C) · Low season · Cost cheap
PodlaskiePoland · about 140 miles
Balanced Overall 5.3 · Fair weather, 33°F (0°C) · Low season · Cost moderate
Elsewhere in Europe
Vilnius region's weather ranks 40 of 41 city regions this month. These city regions outside Lithuania have clearly better weather on your dates, nearest first, each compared with Vilnius region.
PragueCzechia · about 560 miles
Fair weather (4.4): 10°F warmer afternoons, 3 fewer rain days
BratislavaSlovakia · about 570 miles
Fair weather (4.6): 11°F warmer afternoons, 3 fewer rain days, pricier
BudapestHungary · about 570 miles
Fair weather (4.8): 11°F warmer afternoons, 5 fewer rain days, pricier
LeipzigSaxony · Germany · about 570 miles
Fair weather (4.2): 11°F warmer afternoons, pricier
ViennaAustria · about 590 miles
Fair weather (4.6): 11°F warmer afternoons, 5 fewer rain days, pricier
It's moderate season, 45% of the busiest month and 37% below its average month.The figures cover the whole Sostinės regionas region, suburbs included. That means about 4,900 overnight visitors on a typical January night across the region, 38% of them from Lithuania itself. Rentals booked through Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor add up to 1,300 more: 26 for every 100 counted above. Some are the same properties counted twice.
| Climate suitability (HCI:Urban, 0–100) | 50 |
| How our weather was checked | Official climate averages for Vilnius from the national weather service, every month: afternoon highs typically within 1°F (0.6°C), night lows within 1°F (0.3°C). |
| Tourist nights per 1,000 residents per day | 6 |
| Busiest month here | August · 12 |
| Visitors as share of people present | 0.6% |
| Rank among Europe's regions this month | 41st percentile |
| Domestic share of nights | 38% |
| Platform rental nights per 100 counted nights | 26 |
| Visitor share if every platform night were extra | 0.7% |
| National hotel-price season | Lithuania historical 2024–2025 index: Well below usual (−13% vs its average month). Not a local room quote. |
| Population used | 877,000 |
| Statistical region | LT01 · Sostinės regionas |
Crowds: Eurostat nights spent at tourist accommodation, by month and NUTS 2 region, 2024–2025 average. Overnight visitors per night is the month's nights divided by its days; the per-1,000 figure is Eurostat's, against each year's population. Platform rentals: Eurostat nights booked via Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor, 2024–2025 average, shown separately because some properties are in both counts. Weather: Holiday Climate Index computed from ERA5 reanalysis with daily highs, night lows and rain days corrected from open national weather-service station records, 2011–2025, population-weighted to the region; day-by-day figures are the same data averaged by date. Heat and rain odds are counted across those years. Sunrise and sunset: NOAA solar equations, local time. Prices: Eurostat price level index and HICP, national. Full method · this region's data.