Early March 1 March
38°F
Typical afternoon high
29% historical wet-day frequency
Lithuania · City
Is March a good time?
March averages 43°F afternoons, with about 8 rain days. Later March is typically warmer.
Historical Sostinės regionas regional averages, not a forecast or a measure of queues. Overnight demand compares average stays per day. Covers Vilnius and Trakai; conditions vary within the region.
What matters most?
Weather 50% · Crowds 30% · Cost 20%
#8 of 12 months here · Balanced mix
Overall combines weather, overnight demand and cost. It does not include sea temperature.
Plan your March
Afternoons around 43°F (6°C): a warm coat; nights around 27°F (−3°C): a winter coat, hat and gloves. About 12 hours of daylight. About 8 rain days in a typical March.
The sun rises about 06:37 and sets about 18:21 (local time, mid-month). Mornings start around 27°F (−3°C); afternoons reach about 43°F (6°C). Expect rain on about 8 days in a typical March.
Early, middle or late?
Late March is typically warmer. The afternoon high averages 38°F on the 1st, versus 49°F on the 31st.
38°F
Typical afternoon high
29% historical wet-day frequency
43°F
Typical afternoon high
26% historical wet-day frequency
49°F
Typical afternoon high
29% historical wet-day frequency
Historical daily averages from 2011–2025, smoothed over two weeks. A seasonal pattern, not a forecast. This does not establish which week has the lowest prices or fewest visitors.
Public holidays · 2027: 11 Mar Day of Restoration of Independence of Lithuania; 28 Mar Easter Sunday; 29 Mar Easter Monday.
Weather shows historical patterns, not a forecast. Holidays and events use the dates shown for 2027.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 138° | 238° | 339° | 439° | 540° | 640° | 740° |
| 841° | 941° | 1041° | 1142° | 1242° | 1342° | 1443° |
| 1543° | 1643° | 1744° | 1844° | 1944° | 2045° | 2145° |
| 2245° | 2346° | 2446° | 2547° | 2647° | 2747° | 2847° |
| 2948° | 3048° | 3149° |
Afternoon high rain likely (25%+) local school holidays public holiday event
Afternoons warm from about 39°F (4°C) in the first week to 48°F (9°C) in the last. The chance of a wet day runs 23–30%. Local schools are out 22–31 March 2027.
Schools here are off 22–31 March 2027 (spring holidays). Public holidays: 11 Mar Day of Restoration of Independence of Lithuania; 28 Mar Easter Sunday; 29 Mar Easter Monday. Elsewhere in March 2027, the share of people living where schools are out on a typical day: Germany 27%, Spain 30%, Italy 19%, France 10%. (School holidays: OpenHolidays, ODbL.)
Visitor season
Busy season. March averages 60% of August's overnight stays per day. More overnight stays than February.
Overnight stays across Sostinės regionas do not measure queues, day visitors or congestion at individual sights.
Hotel price season
Well below usual. Estimated from national hotel prices and local visitor demand; no measured regional room rate is available.
Fewer overnight stays do not automatically mean cheaper rooms. Check actual quotes for your trip.
Year-to-year variation
In the 15 years from 2011 to 2025, the month's afternoons averaged between 29°F (−2°C) and 49°F (10°C); in 8 of them they were within 3°F (1.5°C) of the typical 43°F (6°C). Rain days ranged from 1 to 15; half the years had 6–10.
Rain days in each March
| Year | Afternoon high | Rain days |
|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 39°F | 4 |
| 2012 | 43°F | 11 |
| 2013 | 29°F | 6 |
| 2014 | 49°F | 9 |
| 2015 | 48°F | 8 |
| 2016 | 43°F | 10 |
| 2017 | 46°F | 15 |
| 2018 | 36°F | 8 |
| 2019 | 45°F | 10 |
| 2020 | 46°F | 7 |
| 2021 | 43°F | 8 |
| 2022 | 43°F | 1 |
| 2023 | 44°F | 13 |
| 2024 | 48°F | 5 |
| 2025 | 49°F | 7 |
Checked against official climate averages for Vilnius. How we check
Compare dates
| Typical conditions | Feb | Mar | Apr |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 33°F | 43°F | 55°F |
| Rain days | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| Overnight demand | 54% | 60% | 65% |
February: Cooler afternoons than March. Less overnight demand. February guide →
April: Warmer afternoons than March. April guide →
Overnight demand measures accommodation stays, not queues.
Yellow marks the top three months on the Balanced mix. March stays as your reference.
April has a Weather score at least 1.0 point higher than March, without a substantially busier visitor season.
Your comparison
Overnight stays are 54% of the busiest month.
National hotel prices and local visitor demand suggest well below usual. No measured regional room rate is available.
Read the February guide →| Typical conditions | March | February |
|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 43°F | 33°F |
| Nights | 27°F | 22°F |
| Rain days | 8 | 9 |
| Visitor season | Busy season | Moderate season |
| Overall / 10 | 6.0 | 4.7 |
| Month rank | #8 | #10 |
| Month | Overall | Rank | High | Low | Rain days | Weather | Visitor season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 4.1 | #12 | 30°F | 21°F | 14 | 3.1 | Moderate season |
| February | 4.7 | #10 | 33°F | 22°F | 9 | 3.7 | Moderate season |
| March | 6.0 | #8 | 43°F | 27°F | 8 | 5.0 | Busy season |
| April | 7.1 | #5 | 55°F | 36°F | 8 | 6.4 | Busy season |
| May | 7.4 | #2 | 65°F | 45°F | 10 | 8.1 | Busy season |
| June | 7.6 | #1 | 73°F | 53°F | 9 | 9.0 | Busy season |
| July | 7.0 | #6 | 75°F | 56°F | 12 | 8.6 | Peak season |
| August | 7.1 | #4 | 74°F | 55°F | 11 | 9.1 | Peak season |
| September | 7.2 | #3 | 65°F | 48°F | 7 | 8.1 | Busy season |
| October | 6.3 | #7 | 52°F | 39°F | 10 | 5.4 | Busy season |
| November | 4.9 | #9 | 42°F | 32°F | 12 | 3.9 | Busy season |
| December | 4.3 | #11 | 35°F | 26°F | 13 | 3.3 | Busy season |
Near here
Nearby regions, nearest first. Distances are centre to centre, as the crow flies; they are not road distances or journey times.
Central & western Lithuaniaabout 70 miles
Balanced Overall 6.9 · Good weather, 44°F (7°C) · Moderate season · Cost cheap
Latviaabout 140 miles
Balanced Overall 3.0 · Poor weather, 42°F (6°C) · Moderate season · Cost cheap
PodlaskiePoland · about 140 miles
Balanced Overall 7.0 · Good weather, 46°F (8°C) · Low season · Cost moderate
Elsewhere in Europe
Vilnius region's weather ranks 40 of 41 city regions this month. These city regions outside Lithuania have clearly better weather on your dates, nearest first, each compared with Vilnius region.
PragueCzechia · about 560 miles
Good weather (6.1): 9°F warmer afternoons
BratislavaSlovakia · about 570 miles
Good weather (6.7): 11°F warmer afternoons, 2 fewer rain days, pricier
BudapestHungary · about 570 miles
Good weather (6.6): 12°F warmer afternoons, 2 fewer rain days, pricier
ViennaAustria · about 590 miles
Good weather (6.6): 11°F warmer afternoons, 2 fewer rain days, pricier
BucharestRomania · about 710 miles
Good weather (6.6): 12°F warmer afternoons
It's busy season, 60% of the busiest month and 17% below its average month.The figures cover the whole Sostinės regionas region, suburbs included. That means about 6,500 overnight visitors on a typical March night across the region, 32% of them from Lithuania itself. Rentals booked through Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor add up to 1,500 more: 23 for every 100 counted above. Some are the same properties counted twice.
| Climate suitability (HCI:Urban, 0–100) | 60 |
| How our weather was checked | Official climate averages for Vilnius from the national weather service, every month: afternoon highs typically within 1°F (0.6°C), night lows within 1°F (0.3°C). |
| Tourist nights per 1,000 residents per day | 7 |
| Busiest month here | August · 12 |
| Visitors as share of people present | 0.7% |
| Rank among Europe's regions this month | 41st percentile |
| Domestic share of nights | 32% |
| Platform rental nights per 100 counted nights | 23 |
| Visitor share if every platform night were extra | 0.9% |
| National hotel-price season | Lithuania historical 2024–2025 index: Well below usual (−11% vs its average month). Not a local room quote. |
| Population used | 877,000 |
| Statistical region | LT01 · Sostinės regionas |
Crowds: Eurostat nights spent at tourist accommodation, by month and NUTS 2 region, 2024–2025 average. Overnight visitors per night is the month's nights divided by its days; the per-1,000 figure is Eurostat's, against each year's population. Platform rentals: Eurostat nights booked via Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor, 2024–2025 average, shown separately because some properties are in both counts. Weather: Holiday Climate Index computed from ERA5 reanalysis with daily highs, night lows and rain days corrected from open national weather-service station records, 2011–2025, population-weighted to the region; day-by-day figures are the same data averaged by date. Heat and rain odds are counted across those years. Sunrise and sunset: NOAA solar equations, local time. Prices: Eurostat price level index and HICP, national. Full method · this region's data.