Early October 1 October
79°F
Typical afternoon high
16% historical wet-day frequency
Spain · Beach
Is October a good time?
October averages 76°F afternoons and 74°F seas, with about 5 rain days. Later October is typically cooler.
Historical Illes Balears regional averages, not a forecast or a measure of queues. Overnight demand compares average stays per day. Covers Mallorca, Ibiza, Menorca and Formentera; conditions vary within the region.
What matters most?
Weather 50% · Crowds 30% · Cost 20%
#1 of 12 months here · Balanced mix
Overall combines weather, overnight demand and cost. It does not include sea temperature.
Plan your October
Afternoons around 76°F (25°C): T-shirt weather. About 11 hours of daylight. About 5 rain days in a typical October.
The sea averages 74°F. Our swimming guide: comfortable for a swim. Your comfort will vary. This is open water near the coast, not a beach-specific reading.
Monthly coastal averages from NOAA, 2011–2025. Sea temperature is separate from the weather and Overall scores.
The sun rises about 07:57 and sets about 19:11 (local time, mid-month). Afternoons reach about 76°F (25°C). Expect rain on about 5 days in a typical October.
Early, middle or late?
Early October is typically warmer. The afternoon high averages 79°F on the 1st, versus 72°F on the 31st. Historical wet-day frequency rises from 16% to 26% between those dates.
79°F
Typical afternoon high
16% historical wet-day frequency
76°F
Typical afternoon high
21% historical wet-day frequency
72°F
Typical afternoon high
26% historical wet-day frequency
Historical daily averages from 2011–2025, smoothed over two weeks. A seasonal pattern, not a forecast. This does not establish which week has the lowest prices or fewest visitors.
Public holidays · 2026: 12 Oct Spanish National Day.
Weather shows historical patterns, not a forecast. Holidays and events use the dates shown for 2026.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 179° | 279° | 379° | 478° | |||
| 578° | 678° | 778° | 878° | 977° | 1077° | 1177° |
| 1277° | 1377° | 1477° | 1576° | 1676° | 1776° | 1876° |
| 1976° | 2076° | 2175° | 2275° | 2375° | 2475° | 2574° |
| 2674° | 2774° | 2873° | 2973° | 3072° | 3172° |
Afternoon high rain likely (25%+) local school holidays public holiday event
Afternoons cool from about 78°F (26°C) in the first week to 73°F (23°C) in the last. The chance of a wet day runs 15–26%.
No school holidays here in October 2026. Public holidays: 12 Oct Spanish National Day. Elsewhere in October 2026, the share of people living where schools are out on a typical day: France 45%, Germany 33%, Netherlands 39%, Switzerland 32%. (School holidays: official calendar, compiled by Bigfoot Wanders; other countries from OpenHolidays, ODbL.)
Visitor season
Moderate season. October averages 59% of August's overnight stays per day. Fewer overnight stays than September.
Overnight stays across Illes Balears do not measure queues, day visitors or congestion at individual sights. For its size, one of Europe's busiest this month.
Hotel price season
Well below usual.
Price-check Ibiza–Formentera separately from the wider region. The 2024–2025 October hotel averages were €135 in Ibiza–Formentera, versus €114 across the Balearics, per occupied room-night. Hotel mixes differ; VAT is excluded. Historical averages, not booking quotes. Includes provisional figures. Sources and scope.
The historical regional amount comes from INE Spain, EOH/IRSH table 2059: hotel average daily rate per occupied room; the country price level is national. Hotel averages are not live booking quotes.
Year-to-year variation
In the 15 years from 2011 to 2025, the month's afternoons averaged between 73°F (23°C) and 79°F (26°C); in 14 of them they were within 3°F (1.5°C) of the typical 76°F (25°C). Rain days ranged from 4 to 12; half the years had 4–7.
Rain days in each October
| Year | Afternoon high | Rain days |
|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 76°F | 6 |
| 2012 | 75°F | 8 |
| 2013 | 78°F | 4 |
| 2014 | 78°F | 4 |
| 2015 | 74°F | 5 |
| 2016 | 76°F | 7 |
| 2017 | 76°F | 5 |
| 2018 | 74°F | 12 |
| 2019 | 77°F | 5 |
| 2020 | 73°F | 5 |
| 2021 | 74°F | 7 |
| 2022 | 79°F | 4 |
| 2023 | 78°F | 4 |
| 2024 | 77°F | 7 |
| 2025 | 76°F | 6 |
Checked against 33 local weather stations. How we check
Compare dates
| Typical conditions | Sep | Oct | Nov |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 83°F | 76°F | 67°F |
| Sea | 78°F | 74°F | 68°F |
| Rain days | 5 | 5 | 8 |
| Overnight demand | 85% | 59% | 4% |
September: Warmer afternoons and warmer sea than October. More overnight demand. September guide →
November: Cooler afternoons, cooler sea and more rain days than October. Less overnight demand. Check seasonal accommodation and activity openings. November guide →
Overnight demand measures accommodation stays, not queues. Sea temperatures are monthly coastal averages.
Yellow marks the top three months on the Balanced mix. October stays as your reference.
No other scored month has a Weather score at least 1.0 point higher than October.
Your comparison
Overnight stays are 85% of the busiest month.
Historical regional hotel revenue (2024–2025 monthly average): €155 per occupied room-night. An average, not a booking quote. Price-check Ibiza–Formentera separately from the wider region. The 2024–2025 September hotel averages were €190 in Ibiza–Formentera, versus €155 across the Balearics, per occupied room-night. Hotel mixes differ; VAT is excluded. Historical averages, not booking quotes. Includes provisional figures.
Read the September guide →| Typical conditions | October | September |
|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 76°F | 83°F |
| Nights | — | — |
| Sea | 74°F | 78°F |
| Rain days | 5 | 5 |
| Visitor season | Moderate season | Peak season |
| Overall / 10 | 8.0 | 7.3 |
| Month rank | #1 | #6 |
| Month | Overall | Rank | High | Low | Sea | Rain days | Weather | Visitor season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 5.6 | #12 | 60°F | — | 59°F | 6 | 5.4 | Off season |
| February | 5.8 | #11 | 60°F | — | 58°F | 6 | 5.5 | Off season |
| March | 7.5 | #5 | 64°F | — | 58°F | 6 | 6.5 | Low season |
| April | 7.8 | #3 | 69°F | — | 61°F | 5 | 7.8 | Low season |
| May | 7.9 | #2 | 75°F | — | 66°F | 3 | 9.6 | Busy season |
| June | 7.5 | #4 | 84°F | — | 73°F | 2 | 10.0 | Peak season |
| July | 7.0 | #7 | 89°F | — | 78°F | 0 | 10.0 | Peak season |
| August | 6.6 | #8 | 89°F | — | 80°F | 1 | 9.6 | Peak season |
| September | 7.3 | #6 | 83°F | — | 78°F | 5 | 9.7 | Peak season |
| October | 8.0 | #1 | 76°F | — | 74°F | 5 | 9.4 | Moderate season |
| November | 6.3 | #9 | 67°F | — | 68°F | 8 | 6.9 | Off season |
| December | 5.9 | #10 | 62°F | — | 62°F | 5 | 6.3 | Off season |
Near here
Nearby regions, nearest first. Distances are centre to centre, as the crow flies; they are not road distances or journey times.
Elsewhere in Europe
Mallorca & the Balearics' weather ranks 9 of 77 beach regions this month. Mallorca & the Balearics already has excellent weather in October; these beach regions outside Spain are about as good and quieter for their season, nearest first.
SardiniaItaly · about 330 miles
Excellent weather (9.0): about as warm, quieter for its season (low season), pricier
PeloponneseGreece · about 1070 miles
Excellent weather (9.3): about as warm, 2 fewer rain days, quieter for its season (low season)
North Aegean islandsGreece · about 1240 miles
Excellent weather (9.5): 2°F cooler afternoons, quieter for its season (low season), cheaper
Santorini, Mykonos & the Greek islandsGreece · about 1290 miles
Excellent weather (10.0): about as warm, quieter for its season (moderate season)
It's moderate season, 59% of the busiest month and 27% above its average month. That means about 256,000 overnight visitors on a typical October night across the region, 7% of them from Spain itself. Rentals booked through Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor add up to 35,000 more: 14 for every 100 counted above. Some are the same properties counted twice.
| Climate suitability (HCI:Beach, 0–100) | 82 |
| How our weather was checked | 33 open weather stations in this region, January and July: afternoon highs typically within 1°F (0.2°C), night lows off by more than 4°F (2°C), so not shown. |
| Tourist nights per 1,000 residents per day | 206 |
| Busiest month here | August · 351 |
| Visitors as share of people present | 17.1% |
| Rank among Europe's regions this month | 100th percentile |
| Domestic share of nights | 7% |
| Platform rental nights per 100 counted nights | 14 |
| Visitor share if every platform night were extra | 19.0% |
| Population used | 1.2 million |
| Statistical region | ES53 · Illes Balears |
Crowds: Eurostat nights spent at tourist accommodation, by month and NUTS 2 region, 2024–2025 average. Overnight visitors per night is the month's nights divided by its days; the per-1,000 figure is Eurostat's, against each year's population. Platform rentals: Eurostat nights booked via Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor, 2024–2025 average, shown separately because some properties are in both counts. Weather: Holiday Climate Index computed from ERA5 reanalysis with daily highs, night lows and rain days corrected from open national weather-service station records, 2011–2025, population-weighted to the region; day-by-day figures are the same data averaged by date. Heat and rain odds are counted across those years. Sunrise and sunset: NOAA solar equations, local time. Prices: Eurostat price level index and HICP, national; the first figure is regional (INE Spain, EOH/IRSH table 2059: hotel average daily rate per occupied room). Full method · this region's data.