Early October 1 October
52°F
Typical afternoon high
32% historical wet-day frequency
Sweden · Beach
Is October a good time?
October averages 46°F afternoons and 49°F seas, with about 10 rain days. Later October is typically cooler.
Historical Mellersta Norrland regional averages, not a forecast or a measure of queues. Overnight demand compares average stays per day. Covers Åre and High Coast; conditions vary within the region.
What matters most?
Weather 50% · Crowds 30% · Cost 20%
#10 of 12 months here · Balanced mix
Overall combines weather, overnight demand and cost. It does not include sea temperature.
Plan your October
Afternoons around 46°F (8°C): a warm coat; nights around 35°F (1°C): a winter coat, hat and gloves. Bring rain gear: about 10 days with at least 1 mm of rain. About 10 hours of daylight.
The sea averages 49°F. Our swimming guide: very cold: wetsuit weather. Your comfort will vary. This is open water near the coast, not a beach-specific reading.
Monthly coastal averages from NOAA, 2011–2025. Sea temperature is separate from the weather and Overall scores.
The sun rises about 07:44 and sets about 17:46 (local time, mid-month). Mornings start around 35°F (1°C); afternoons reach about 46°F (8°C). Expect rain on about 10 days in a typical October.
Early, middle or late?
Early October is typically warmer. The afternoon high averages 52°F on the 1st, versus 42°F on the 31st.
52°F
Typical afternoon high
32% historical wet-day frequency
46°F
Typical afternoon high
32% historical wet-day frequency
42°F
Typical afternoon high
34% historical wet-day frequency
Historical daily averages from 2011–2025, smoothed over two weeks. A seasonal pattern, not a forecast. This does not establish which week has the lowest prices or fewest visitors.
Public holidays · 2026: 31 Oct All Saints' Day.
Weather shows historical patterns, not a forecast. Holidays and events use the dates shown for 2026.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 152° | 252° | 352° | 451° | |||
| 551° | 650° | 750° | 849° | 949° | 1048° | 1148° |
| 1247° | 1347° | 1446° | 1546° | 1645° | 1745° | 1845° |
| 1944° | 2044° | 2144° | 2244° | 2343° | 2443° | 2543° |
| 2642° | 2742° | 2842° | 2942° | 3042° | 3142° |
Afternoon high rain likely (25%+) local school holidays public holiday event
Afternoons cool from about 51°F (11°C) in the first week to 42°F (6°C) in the last. The chance of a wet day runs 29–37%.
School-holiday dates for October 2026 aren't available in our data yet. A day without a school marker doesn't mean schools are open. Public holidays: 31 Oct All Saints' Day. Elsewhere in October 2026, the share of people living where schools are out on a typical day: France 45%, Germany 33%, Netherlands 39%, Switzerland 32%. (School holidays: OpenHolidays, ODbL.)
Visitor season
Low season. October averages 27% of July's overnight stays per day. Fewer overnight stays than September.
Overnight stays across Mellersta Norrland do not measure queues, day visitors or congestion at individual sights. For its size, typical for Europe this month.
Hotel price season
A little above usual. Historical regional hotel revenue (2025 annual level, adjusted by the 2024–2025 national hotel index): €42 per guest-night. A seasonal estimate, not a booking quote.
Fewer overnight stays do not automatically mean cheaper rooms. Check actual quotes for your trip.
The historical regional amount comes from Tillväxtverket, Inkvarteringsstatistik 2025, table 1.1: accommodation revenue per guest-night (yearly, moved by the national hotel price swing); the country price level is national. Hotel averages are not live booking quotes.
Year-to-year variation
In the 15 years from 2011 to 2025, the month's afternoons averaged between 42°F (6°C) and 49°F (9°C); in 12 of them they were within 3°F (1.5°C) of the typical 46°F (8°C). Rain days ranged from 4 to 15; half the years had 7–14.
Rain days in each October
| Year | Afternoon high | Rain days |
|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 48°F | 7 |
| 2012 | 43°F | 15 |
| 2013 | 47°F | 8 |
| 2014 | 46°F | 14 |
| 2015 | 46°F | 4 |
| 2016 | 44°F | 5 |
| 2017 | 45°F | 14 |
| 2018 | 47°F | 7 |
| 2019 | 42°F | 11 |
| 2020 | 47°F | 14 |
| 2021 | 48°F | 14 |
| 2022 | 49°F | 8 |
| 2023 | 42°F | 8 |
| 2024 | 48°F | 10 |
| 2025 | 48°F | 13 |
Checked against 35 local weather stations. How we check
Compare dates
| Typical conditions | Sep | Oct | Nov |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 58°F | 46°F | 36°F |
| Sea | 56°F | 49°F | 43°F |
| Rain days | 10 | 10 | 9 |
| Overnight demand | 34% | 27% | 24% |
September: Warmer afternoons and warmer sea than October. More overnight demand. September guide →
November: Cooler afternoons and cooler sea than October. Less overnight demand. November guide →
Overnight demand measures accommodation stays, not queues. Sea temperatures are monthly coastal averages.
Yellow marks the top three months on the Balanced mix. October stays as your reference.
May has a Weather score at least 1.0 point higher than October, without a substantially busier visitor season.
Your comparison
Overnight stays are 34% of the busiest month.
Historical regional hotel revenue (2025 annual level, adjusted by the 2024–2025 national hotel index): €43 per guest-night. A seasonal estimate, not a booking quote.
Read the September guide →| Typical conditions | October | September |
|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 46°F | 58°F |
| Nights | 35°F | 44°F |
| Sea | 49°F | 56°F |
| Rain days | 10 | 10 |
| Visitor season | Low season | Low season |
| Overall / 10 | 3.0 | 5.0 |
| Month rank | #10 | #5 |
| Month | Overall | Rank | High | Low | Sea | Rain days | Weather | Visitor season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 3.0 | #7 | 27°F | 17°F | 36°F | 11 | 1.0 | Low season |
| February | 3.0 | #8 | 30°F | 18°F | 34°F | 7 | 1.0 | Moderate season |
| March | 3.0 | #9 | 38°F | 23°F | 34°F | 6 | 1.0 | Moderate season |
| April | 3.6 | #6 | 47°F | 29°F | 36°F | 5 | 1.6 | Low season |
| May | 5.5 | #4 | 58°F | 39°F | 42°F | 7 | 3.5 | Low season |
| June | 6.3 | #1 | 66°F | 48°F | 52°F | 9 | 5.4 | Moderate season |
| July | 5.6 | #3 | 70°F | 52°F | 60°F | 10 | 6.4 | Peak season |
| August | 6.1 | #2 | 67°F | 50°F | 61°F | 11 | 5.5 | Moderate season |
| September | 5.0 | #5 | 58°F | 44°F | 56°F | 10 | 3.0 | Low season |
| October | 3.0 | #10 | 46°F | 35°F | 49°F | 10 | 1.0 | Low season |
| November | 3.0 | #11 | 36°F | 27°F | 43°F | 9 | 1.0 | Low season |
| December | 3.0 | #12 | 30°F | 21°F | 39°F | 12 | 1.0 | Low season |
Near here
Nearby regions, nearest first. Distances are centre to centre, as the crow flies; they are not road distances or journey times.
Elsewhere in Europe
Central Norrland's weather ranks 75 of 77 beach regions this month. These beach regions outside Sweden have clearly better weather on your dates, nearest first, each compared with Central Norrland.
North JutlandDenmark · about 460 miles
Poor weather (2.1): 10°F warmer afternoons, 4 more rain days, pricier
Aarhus & central JutlandDenmark · about 520 miles
Poor weather (2.2): 10°F warmer afternoons, 4 more rain days, pricier
ZealandDenmark · about 560 miles
Poor weather (2.6): 11°F warmer afternoons, 2 more rain days, pricier
Southern Denmarkabout 580 miles
Poor weather (2.5): 11°F warmer afternoons, 3 more rain days, pricier
Gdańsk & PomeraniaPoland · about 630 miles
Poor weather (2.7): 11°F warmer afternoons, cheaper
It's low season, 27% of the busiest month and 35% below its average month. That means about 5,600 overnight visitors on a typical October night across the region, 85% of them from Sweden itself. Rentals booked through Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor add up to 740 more: 13 for every 100 counted above. Some are the same properties counted twice.
| Climate suitability (HCI:Beach, 0–100) | 37 |
| How our weather was checked | 35 open weather stations in this region, January and July: afternoon highs typically within 1°F (0.3°C), night lows within 1°F (0.5°C). |
| Tourist nights per 1,000 residents per day | 15 |
| Busiest month here | July · 55 |
| Visitors as share of people present | 1.5% |
| Rank among Europe's regions this month | 63rd percentile |
| Domestic share of nights | 85% |
| Platform rental nights per 100 counted nights | 13 |
| Visitor share if every platform night were extra | 1.7% |
| Population used | 374,000 |
| Statistical region | SE32 · Mellersta Norrland |
Crowds: Eurostat nights spent at tourist accommodation, by month and NUTS 2 region, 2024–2025 average. Overnight visitors per night is the month's nights divided by its days; the per-1,000 figure is Eurostat's, against each year's population. Platform rentals: Eurostat nights booked via Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor, 2024–2025 average, shown separately because some properties are in both counts. Weather: Holiday Climate Index computed from ERA5 reanalysis with daily highs, night lows and rain days corrected from open national weather-service station records, 2011–2025, population-weighted to the region; day-by-day figures are the same data averaged by date. Heat and rain odds are counted across those years. Sunrise and sunset: NOAA solar equations, local time. Prices: Eurostat price level index and HICP, national; the first figure is regional (Tillväxtverket, Inkvarteringsstatistik 2025, table 1.1: accommodation revenue per guest-night (yearly, moved by the national hotel price swing)). Full method · this region's data.