Early October 1 October
56°F
Typical afternoon high
29% historical wet-day frequency
Sweden · Countryside
Dalarna & North Middle Sweden
in October.
Is October a good time?
Cool days.
Fewer overnight stays than September.
October averages 50°F afternoons and 48°F seas, with about 10 rain days. Later October is typically cooler.
- Afternoons
- 50°F
- Sea
- 48°F
- Visitor demand
- 23%of July peak
Historical Norra Mellansverige regional averages, not a forecast or a measure of queues. Overnight demand compares average stays per day. Covers Dalarna; conditions vary within the region.
Overall match
6.7/10 · scores & prioritiesWhat matters most?
Weather 50% · Crowds 30% · Cost 20%
#7 of 12 months here · Balanced mix
Weather5.1/10Good
CrowdsLow seasonvs its own year; overnight stays do not measure queuesFor its size, typical for Europe this month
CostModeratefor Europe
Overall combines weather, overnight demand and cost. It does not include sea temperature.
Plan your October
What to expect.
What should I pack?
Afternoons around 50°F (10°C): a sweater and a light jacket; nights around 38°F (3°C): a warm coat. Bring rain gear: about 10 days with at least 1 mm of rain. About 10 hours of daylight.
Can I swim in October?
The sea averages 48°F. Our swimming guide: very cold: wetsuit weather. Your comfort will vary. This is open water near the coast, not a beach-specific reading.
Monthly coastal averages from NOAA, 2011–2025. Sea temperature is separate from the weather and Overall scores.
A typical day: temperatures & daylightAfternoons, nights, sea temperature & daylight Show detailsHide details
About 10 hours of daylight.
The sun rises about 07:40 and sets about 17:55 (local time, mid-month). Mornings start around 38°F (3°C); afternoons reach about 50°F (10°C). Expect rain on about 10 days in a typical October.
Typical afternoon
50°F (10°C)
average daily high, 15 recent Octobers
Night low
38°F (3°C)
average daily minimum
Sea
48°F (9°C)
very cold; open water near the coast, NOAA satellite record 2011–2025
Daylight
10h 15m
on the 15th, computed from latitude
Early, middle or late?
Early or late October?
Early October is typically warmer. The afternoon high averages 56°F on the 1st, versus 46°F on the 31st. Historical wet-day frequency rises from 29% to 33% between those dates.
Mid October 15 October
49°F
Typical afternoon high
32% historical wet-day frequency
Late October 31 October
46°F
Typical afternoon high
33% historical wet-day frequency
Historical daily averages from 2011–2025, smoothed over two weeks. A seasonal pattern, not a forecast. This does not establish which week has the lowest prices or fewest visitors.
Public holidays · 2026: 31 Oct All Saints' Day.
Daily calendar & holiday datesOctober 2026 · historical weather & dated holidays Show calendarHide calendar
October 2026 calendar
Weather shows historical patterns, not a forecast. Holidays and events use the dates shown for 2026.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 156° | 255° | 355° | 454° | |||
| 554° | 653° | 753° | 853° | 952° | 1051° | 1151° |
| 1251° | 1350° | 1450° | 1549° | 1649° | 1749° | 1848° |
| 1948° | 2048° | 2148° | 2247° | 2347° | 2447° | 2547° |
| 2647° | 2746° | 2846° | 2946° | 3046° | 3146° |
Afternoon high rain likely (25%+) local school holidays public holiday event
Afternoons cool from about 54°F (12°C) in the first week to 46°F (8°C) in the last. The chance of a wet day runs 29–35%.
School-holiday dates for October 2026 aren't available in our data yet. A day without a school marker doesn't mean schools are open. Public holidays: 31 Oct All Saints' Day. Elsewhere in October 2026, the share of people living where schools are out on a typical day: France 45%, Germany 33%, Netherlands 39%, Switzerland 32%. (School holidays: OpenHolidays, ODbL.)
Crowds and cost
Visitor season
Will it be busy?
Low season. October averages 23% of July's overnight stays per day. Fewer overnight stays than September.
Overnight stays across Norra Mellansverige do not measure queues, day visitors or congestion at individual sights. For its size, typical for Europe this month.
Hotel price season
Will it be cheaper?
A little above usual. Historical regional hotel revenue (2025 annual level, adjusted by the 2024–2025 national hotel index): €39 per guest-night. A seasonal estimate, not a booking quote.
Fewer overnight stays do not automatically mean cheaper rooms. Check actual quotes for your trip.
Historical hotel average
€39
2025 annual level, adjusted by the 2024–2025 national hotel index; hotel revenue per guest-night; not a current booking quote. +6% vs this region's usual month.
Sweden as a whole
Above EU average
2024 restaurants and hotels price level: 117 where the EU average is 100. A relative index, not a room rate.
The historical regional amount comes from Tillväxtverket, Inkvarteringsstatistik 2025, table 1.1: accommodation revenue per guest-night (yearly, moved by the national hotel price swing); the country price level is national. Hotel averages are not live booking quotes.
Year-to-year variation
How much does October vary?
Across the recorded years
In the 15 years from 2011 to 2025, the month's afternoons averaged between 46°F (8°C) and 52°F (11°C); in 12 of them they were within 3°F (1.5°C) of the typical 50°F (10°C). Rain days ranged from 1 to 17; half the years had 6–13.
Rain days in each October
Rain days
10
at least 1 mm, typical year; about 15 in a wet year
Mostly sunny days
4 of 31
cloud cover under 30%
Years with a 95°F+ day
0 of 15
no October in the last 15 years had a day at or above 95°F (35°C)
Good weather days
7 of 31
rated very good or better
See every recorded OctoberHistorical monthly averages, year by year Show detailsHide details
| Year | Afternoon high | Rain days |
|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 51°F | 6 |
| 2012 | 46°F | 13 |
| 2013 | 50°F | 10 |
| 2014 | 50°F | 17 |
| 2015 | 50°F | 1 |
| 2016 | 47°F | 6 |
| 2017 | 49°F | 11 |
| 2018 | 51°F | 6 |
| 2019 | 46°F | 12 |
| 2020 | 51°F | 16 |
| 2021 | 52°F | 13 |
| 2022 | 52°F | 9 |
| 2023 | 46°F | 9 |
| 2024 | 52°F | 7 |
| 2025 | 51°F | 11 |
Checked against 30 local weather stations. How we check
Compare dates
September, October
or November?
| Typical conditions | Sep | Oct | Nov |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 62°F | 50°F | 40°F |
| Sea | 56°F | 48°F | 43°F |
| Rain days | 8 | 10 | 9 |
| Overnight demand | 28% | 23% | 20% |
September: Warmer afternoons, warmer sea and fewer rain days than October. More overnight demand. September guide →
November: Cooler afternoons and cooler sea than October. Less overnight demand. November guide →
Overnight demand measures accommodation stays, not queues. Sea temperatures are monthly coastal averages.
Compare any of the 12 monthsChoose another month and compare it with October Show comparisonHide comparison
Yellow marks the top three months on the Balanced mix. October stays as your reference.
May to September have a Weather score at least 1.0 point higher than October, but more overnight stays.
Your comparison
October or September?
Overnight stays are 28% of the busiest month.
Historical regional hotel revenue (2025 annual level, adjusted by the 2024–2025 national hotel index): €40 per guest-night. A seasonal estimate, not a booking quote.
Read the September guide →| Typical conditions | October | September |
|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 50°F | 62°F |
| Nights | 38°F | 45°F |
| Sea | 48°F | 56°F |
| Rain days | 10 | 8 |
| Visitor season | Low season | Low season |
| Overall / 10 | 6.7 | 7.6 |
| Month rank | #7 | #4 |
Every month, in detail Show detailsHide details
| Month | Overall | Rank | High | Low | Sea | Rain days | Weather | Visitor season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 5.5 | #12 | 31°F | 21°F | 35°F | 9 | 3.5 | Low season |
| February | 5.7 | #10 | 34°F | 22°F | 34°F | 7 | 4.0 | Moderate season |
| March | 6.4 | #8 | 42°F | 26°F | 34°F | 7 | 5.1 | Moderate season |
| April | 7.1 | #5 | 51°F | 32°F | 36°F | 5 | 6.0 | Low season |
| May | 7.6 | #3 | 62°F | 41°F | 43°F | 9 | 7.4 | Low season |
| June | 7.8 | #1 | 70°F | 50°F | 52°F | 10 | 8.6 | Moderate season |
| July | 6.8 | #6 | 73°F | 54°F | 60°F | 11 | 8.7 | Peak season |
| August | 7.6 | #2 | 69°F | 52°F | 61°F | 12 | 8.5 | Moderate season |
| September | 7.6 | #4 | 62°F | 45°F | 56°F | 8 | 7.2 | Low season |
| October | 6.7 | #7 | 50°F | 38°F | 48°F | 10 | 5.1 | Low season |
| November | 6.1 | #9 | 40°F | 31°F | 43°F | 9 | 4.1 | Low season |
| December | 5.7 | #11 | 34°F | 25°F | 38°F | 12 | 3.7 | Low season |
Near here
Nearby places in October
Nearby regions, nearest first. Distances are centre to centre, as the crow flies; they are not road distances or journey times.
East Middle Swedenabout 120 miles
Balanced Overall 3.5 · Poor weather, 52°F (11°C) · Moderate season · Cost pricey
InnlandetNorway · about 140 miles
Balanced Overall 6.0 · Fair weather, 47°F (8°C) · Low season · Cost pricey
StockholmSweden · about 150 miles
Balanced Overall 5.2 · Good weather, 52°F (11°C) · Busy season · Cost expensive
Oslo & aroundNorway · about 160 miles
Balanced Overall 5.6 · Fair weather, 50°F (10°C) · Busy season · Cost expensive
Central NorrlandSweden · about 170 miles
Balanced Overall 3.0 · Poor weather, 46°F (8°C) · Low season · Cost pricey
Elsewhere in Europe
Better October weather than Dalarna & North Middle Sweden
Dalarna & North Middle Sweden's weather ranks 113 of 117 countryside regions this month. These countryside regions outside Sweden have clearly better weather on your dates, nearest first, each compared with Dalarna & North Middle Sweden.
Warmia-MasuriaPoland · about 530 miles
Good weather (6.1): 6°F warmer afternoons, 2 fewer rain days, cheaper
Toruń & Kuyavia-PomeraniaPoland · about 550 miles
Good weather (6.5): 8°F warmer afternoons, 2 fewer rain days
LüneburgLower Saxony · Germany · about 550 miles
Good weather (6.4): 10°F warmer afternoons, busier for its season (busy season), pricier
BrandenburgGermany · about 570 miles
Good weather (6.8): 10°F warmer afternoons, busier for its season (busy season), pricier
Poznań & Greater Polandabout 590 miles
Good weather (6.7): 9°F warmer afternoons, 2 fewer rain days, busier for its season (busy season)
How we knowSources, regional scope & scoring method Show detailsHide details
It's low season, 23% of the busiest month and 44% below its average month. That means about 9,800 overnight visitors on a typical October night across the region, 87% of them from Sweden itself. Rentals booked through Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor add up to 1,300 more: 14 for every 100 counted above. Some are the same properties counted twice.
| Climate suitability (HCI:Urban, 0–100) | 61 |
| How our weather was checked | 30 open weather stations in this region, January and July: afternoon highs typically within 1°F (0.1°C), night lows within 1°F (0.6°C). |
| Tourist nights per 1,000 residents per day | 11 |
| Busiest month here | July · 51 |
| Visitors as share of people present | 1.1% |
| Rank among Europe's regions this month | 47th percentile |
| Domestic share of nights | 87% |
| Platform rental nights per 100 counted nights | 14 |
| Visitor share if every platform night were extra | 1.3% |
| Population used | 854,000 |
| Statistical region | SE31 · Norra Mellansverige |
Crowds: Eurostat nights spent at tourist accommodation, by month and NUTS 2 region, 2024–2025 average. Overnight visitors per night is the month's nights divided by its days; the per-1,000 figure is Eurostat's, against each year's population. Platform rentals: Eurostat nights booked via Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor, 2024–2025 average, shown separately because some properties are in both counts. Weather: Holiday Climate Index computed from ERA5 reanalysis with daily highs, night lows and rain days corrected from open national weather-service station records, 2011–2025, population-weighted to the region; day-by-day figures are the same data averaged by date. Heat and rain odds are counted across those years. Sunrise and sunset: NOAA solar equations, local time. Prices: Eurostat price level index and HICP, national; the first figure is regional (Tillväxtverket, Inkvarteringsstatistik 2025, table 1.1: accommodation revenue per guest-night (yearly, moved by the national hotel price swing)). Full method · this region's data.