Early January 1 January
25°F
Typical afternoon high
39% historical wet-day frequency
Sweden · Beach
Is January a good time?
January averages 22°F afternoons and 34°F seas, with about 10 rain days.
Historical Övre Norrland regional averages, not a forecast or a measure of queues. Overnight demand compares average stays per day. Covers Kiruna, Abisko and Luleå; conditions vary within the region.
What matters most?
Weather 50% · Crowds 30% · Cost 20%
#7 of 12 months here · Balanced mix
Overall combines weather, overnight demand and cost. It does not include sea temperature.
Plan your January
Afternoons around 22°F (−5°C): a winter coat, hat and gloves. Bring rain gear: about 10 days with at least 1 mm of rain. About 4 hours of daylight.
The sea averages 34°F. Our swimming guide: very cold: wetsuit weather. Your comfort will vary. This is open water near the coast, not a beach-specific reading.
Monthly coastal averages from NOAA, 2011–2025. Sea temperature is separate from the weather and Overall scores.
The sun rises about 09:42 and sets about 14:01 (local time, mid-month). Afternoons reach about 22°F (−5°C). Expect rain on about 10 days in a typical January.
Early, middle or late?
Early and late January have similar afternoon averages. The afternoon high averages 25°F on the 1st, versus 23°F on the 31st. Historical wet-day frequency falls from 39% to 33% between those dates.
25°F
Typical afternoon high
39% historical wet-day frequency
22°F
Typical afternoon high
32% historical wet-day frequency
23°F
Typical afternoon high
33% historical wet-day frequency
Historical daily averages from 2011–2025, smoothed over two weeks. A seasonal pattern, not a forecast. This does not establish which week has the lowest prices or fewest visitors.
Public holidays · 2027: 1 Jan New Year's Day; 6 Jan Epiphany.
Weather shows historical patterns, not a forecast. Holidays and events use the dates shown for 2027.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 125° | 225° | 324° | ||||
| 424° | 524° | 624° | 723° | 822° | 922° | 1022° |
| 1122° | 1222° | 1322° | 1422° | 1522° | 1622° | 1721° |
| 1821° | 1921° | 2021° | 2122° | 2222° | 2322° | 2422° |
| 2523° | 2623° | 2722° | 2822° | 2922° | 3022° | 3123° |
Afternoon high rain likely (25%+) local school holidays public holiday event
Afternoons cool from about 24°F (−4°C) in the first week to 22°F (−5°C) in the last. The chance of a wet day runs 28–40%.
School-holiday dates for January 2027 aren't available in our data yet. A day without a school marker doesn't mean schools are open. Public holidays: 1 Jan New Year's Day; 6 Jan Epiphany. Elsewhere in January 2027, the share of people living where schools are out on a typical day: Germany 21%, Spain 24%, Italy 20%, Poland 17%. (School holidays: OpenHolidays, ODbL.)
Visitor season
Low season. January averages 30% of July's overnight stays per day. Similar overnight stays to December.
Overnight stays across Övre Norrland do not measure queues, day visitors or congestion at individual sights. For its size, one of Europe's busiest this month.
Hotel price season
Well below usual. Historical regional hotel revenue (2025 annual level, adjusted by the 2024–2025 national hotel index): €43 per guest-night. A seasonal estimate, not a booking quote.
Fewer overnight stays do not automatically mean cheaper rooms. Check actual quotes for your trip.
The historical regional amount comes from Tillväxtverket, Inkvarteringsstatistik 2025, table 1.1: accommodation revenue per guest-night (yearly, moved by the national hotel price swing); the country price level is national. Hotel averages are not live booking quotes.
Year-to-year variation
In the 15 years from 2011 to 2025, the month's afternoons averaged between 15°F (−10°C) and 32°F (0°C); in 6 of them they were within 3°F (1.5°C) of the typical 22°F (−5°C). Rain days ranged from 7 to 17; half the years had 8–13.
Rain days in each January
| Year | Afternoon high | Rain days |
|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 20°F | 9 |
| 2012 | 23°F | 13 |
| 2013 | 22°F | 8 |
| 2014 | 19°F | 8 |
| 2015 | 24°F | 17 |
| 2016 | 15°F | 10 |
| 2017 | 28°F | 8 |
| 2018 | 22°F | 13 |
| 2019 | 18°F | 7 |
| 2020 | 32°F | 13 |
| 2021 | 19°F | 12 |
| 2022 | 26°F | 7 |
| 2023 | 28°F | 12 |
| 2024 | 17°F | 8 |
| 2025 | 24°F | 11 |
Checked against 64 local weather stations. How we check
Compare dates
| Typical conditions | Dec | Jan | Feb |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 28°F | 22°F | 25°F |
| Sea | 37°F | 34°F | 32°F |
| Rain days | 13 | 10 | 8 |
| Overnight demand | 29% | 30% | 40% |
December: Warmer afternoons, warmer sea and more rain days than January. December guide →
February: Warmer afternoons and fewer rain days than January. More overnight demand. February guide →
Overnight demand measures accommodation stays, not queues. Sea temperatures are monthly coastal averages.
Yellow marks the top three months on the Balanced mix. January stays as your reference.
May and September have a Weather score at least 1.0 point higher than January, without a substantially busier visitor season.
Your comparison
Overnight stays are 29% of the busiest month.
Historical regional hotel revenue (2025 annual level, adjusted by the 2024–2025 national hotel index): €45 per guest-night. A seasonal estimate, not a booking quote.
Read the December guide →| Typical conditions | January | December |
|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 22°F | 28°F |
| Nights | — | — |
| Sea | 34°F | 37°F |
| Rain days | 10 | 13 |
| Visitor season | Low season | Low season |
| Overall / 10 | 3.0 | 3.0 |
| Month rank | #7 | #12 |
| Month | Overall | Rank | High | Low | Sea | Rain days | Weather | Visitor season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 3.0 | #7 | 22°F | — | 34°F | 10 | 1.0 | Low season |
| February | 3.0 | #8 | 25°F | — | 32°F | 8 | 1.0 | Moderate season |
| March | 3.0 | #9 | 33°F | — | 33°F | 5 | 1.0 | Moderate season |
| April | 3.2 | #6 | 42°F | — | 34°F | 6 | 1.2 | Low season |
| May | 4.8 | #4 | 53°F | — | 39°F | 5 | 2.8 | Low season |
| June | 5.8 | #2 | 63°F | — | 50°F | 8 | 4.9 | Moderate season |
| July | 5.4 | #3 | 69°F | — | 60°F | 10 | 6.4 | Peak season |
| August | 6.0 | #1 | 65°F | — | 60°F | 11 | 5.4 | Moderate season |
| September | 4.6 | #5 | 57°F | — | 55°F | 10 | 2.6 | Low season |
| October | 3.0 | #10 | 43°F | — | 47°F | 10 | 1.0 | Low season |
| November | 3.0 | #11 | 33°F | — | 41°F | 10 | 1.0 | Low season |
| December | 3.0 | #12 | 28°F | — | 37°F | 13 | 1.0 | Low season |
Near here
Nearby regions, nearest first. Distances are centre to centre, as the crow flies; they are not road distances or journey times.
Elsewhere in Europe
Swedish Lapland's weather ranks 69 of 77 beach regions this month. These beach regions outside Sweden have clearly better weather on your dates, nearest first, each compared with Swedish Lapland.
Liguria & the Cinque TerreItaly · about 1570 miles
Poor weather (2.1): 31°F warmer afternoons, 2 fewer rain days, cheaper
French Riviera & ProvenceFrance · about 1620 miles
Fair weather (3.2): 31°F warmer afternoons, 4 fewer rain days
AbruzzoItaly · about 1670 miles
Poor weather (2.4): 29°F warmer afternoons, 2 fewer rain days, quieter for its season (low season)
Amalfi Coast & NaplesCampania · Italy · about 1760 miles
Poor weather (2.5): 33°F warmer afternoons, 3 more rain days, cheaper
BasilicataItaly · about 1780 miles
Poor weather (2.2): 29°F warmer afternoons, quieter for its season (low season)
It's low season, 30% of the busiest month and 27% below its average month. That means about 9,500 overnight visitors on a typical January night across the region, 65% of them from Sweden itself. Rentals booked through Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor add up to 730 more: 8 for every 100 counted above. Some are the same properties counted twice.
| Climate suitability (HCI:Beach, 0–100) | 32 |
| How our weather was checked | 64 open weather stations in this region, January and July: afternoon highs typically within 1°F (0.5°C), night lows off by more than 4°F (2°C), so not shown. |
| Tourist nights per 1,000 residents per day | 18 |
| Busiest month here | July · 60 |
| Visitors as share of people present | 1.8% |
| Rank among Europe's regions this month | 91st percentile |
| Domestic share of nights | 65% |
| Platform rental nights per 100 counted nights | 8 |
| Visitor share if every platform night were extra | 1.9% |
| Population used | 530,000 |
| Statistical region | SE33 · Övre Norrland |
Crowds: Eurostat nights spent at tourist accommodation, by month and NUTS 2 region, 2024–2025 average. Overnight visitors per night is the month's nights divided by its days; the per-1,000 figure is Eurostat's, against each year's population. Platform rentals: Eurostat nights booked via Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor, 2024–2025 average, shown separately because some properties are in both counts. Weather: Holiday Climate Index computed from ERA5 reanalysis with daily highs, night lows and rain days corrected from open national weather-service station records, 2011–2025, population-weighted to the region; day-by-day figures are the same data averaged by date. Heat and rain odds are counted across those years. Sunrise and sunset: NOAA solar equations, local time. Prices: Eurostat price level index and HICP, national; the first figure is regional (Tillväxtverket, Inkvarteringsstatistik 2025, table 1.1: accommodation revenue per guest-night (yearly, moved by the national hotel price swing)). Full method · this region's data.