Early October 1 October
71°F
Typical afternoon high
22% historical wet-day frequency
Bulgaria · Countryside
Is October a good time?
October averages 66°F afternoons, with about 6 rain days. Later October is typically cooler.
Historical Severozapaden regional averages, not a forecast or a measure of queues. Overnight demand compares average stays per day. Covers Vidin; conditions vary within the region.
What matters most?
Weather 50% · Crowds 30% · Cost 20%
#3 of 12 months here · Balanced mix
Overall combines weather, overnight demand and cost. It does not include sea temperature.
Plan your October
Afternoons around 66°F (19°C): light layers; nights around 46°F (8°C): a warm coat. About 11 hours of daylight. About 6 rain days in a typical October.
The sun rises about 07:37 and sets about 18:43 (local time, mid-month). Mornings start around 46°F (8°C); afternoons reach about 66°F (19°C). Expect rain on about 6 days in a typical October.
Early, middle or late?
Early October is typically warmer. The afternoon high averages 71°F on the 1st, versus 62°F on the 31st. Historical wet-day frequency falls from 22% to 12% between those dates.
71°F
Typical afternoon high
22% historical wet-day frequency
66°F
Typical afternoon high
20% historical wet-day frequency
62°F
Typical afternoon high
12% historical wet-day frequency
Historical daily averages from 2011–2025, smoothed over two weeks. A seasonal pattern, not a forecast. This does not establish which week has the lowest prices or fewest visitors.
Weather shows historical patterns, not a forecast. Holidays and events use the dates shown for 2026.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 171° | 270° | 369° | 469° | |||
| 568° | 668° | 768° | 867° | 967° | 1067° | 1166° |
| 1266° | 1366° | 1466° | 1566° | 1666° | 1766° | 1866° |
| 1966° | 2065° | 2165° | 2265° | 2365° | 2464° | 2564° |
| 2664° | 2764° | 2864° | 2963° | 3063° | 3162° |
Afternoon high rain likely (25%+) local school holidays public holiday event
School-holiday dates for October 2026 aren't available in our data yet. A day without a school marker doesn't mean schools are open.
Afternoons cool from about 69°F (21°C) in the first week to 63°F (17°C) in the last. The chance of a wet day runs 12–24%.
Elsewhere in October 2026, the share of people living where schools are out on a typical day: France 45%, Germany 33%, Netherlands 39%, Switzerland 32%. (School holidays: OpenHolidays, ODbL.)
Visitor season
Busy season. October averages 67% of August's overnight stays per day. Fewer overnight stays than September.
Overnight stays across Severozapaden do not measure queues, day visitors or congestion at individual sights. For its size, quieter than most of Europe this month.
Hotel price season
Well above usual. Estimated from national hotel prices and local visitor demand; no measured regional room rate is available.
Fewer overnight stays do not automatically mean cheaper rooms. Check actual quotes for your trip.
Year-to-year variation
In the 15 years from 2011 to 2025, the month's afternoons averaged between 59°F (15°C) and 75°F (24°C); in 4 of them they were within 3°F (1.5°C) of the typical 66°F (19°C). Rain days ranged from 1 to 10; half the years had 3–9.
Rain days in each October
| Year | Afternoon high | Rain days |
|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 62°F | 6 |
| 2012 | 71°F | 4 |
| 2013 | 65°F | 6 |
| 2014 | 62°F | 8 |
| 2015 | 62°F | 9 |
| 2016 | 59°F | 10 |
| 2017 | 65°F | 7 |
| 2018 | 68°F | 3 |
| 2019 | 71°F | 3 |
| 2020 | 68°F | 8 |
| 2021 | 59°F | 9 |
| 2022 | 69°F | 3 |
| 2023 | 75°F | 1 |
| 2024 | 69°F | 2 |
| 2025 | 61°F | 9 |
Checked against official climate averages for Lovech and Vidin. How we check
Compare dates
| Typical conditions | Sep | Oct | Nov |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 79°F | 66°F | 54°F |
| Rain days | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| Overnight demand | 77% | 67% | 61% |
September: Warmer afternoons and fewer rain days than October. More overnight demand. September guide →
November: Cooler afternoons than October. Less overnight demand. November guide →
Overnight demand measures accommodation stays, not queues.
Yellow marks the top three months on the Balanced mix. October stays as your reference.
No other scored month has a Weather score at least 1.0 point higher than October.
Your comparison
Overnight stays are 77% of the busiest month.
National hotel prices and local visitor demand suggest about usual. No measured regional room rate is available.
Read the September guide →| Typical conditions | October | September |
|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 66°F | 79°F |
| Nights | 46°F | 57°F |
| Rain days | 6 | 4 |
| Visitor season | Busy season | Busy season |
| Overall / 10 | 8.5 | 8.6 |
| Month rank | #3 | #1 |
| Month | Overall | Rank | High | Low | Rain days | Weather | Visitor season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 7.2 | #12 | 43°F | 27°F | 8 | 5.2 | Moderate season |
| February | 7.4 | #9 | 48°F | 30°F | 6 | 5.7 | Moderate season |
| March | 7.8 | #6 | 57°F | 37°F | 9 | 6.7 | Moderate season |
| April | 8.3 | #4 | 67°F | 45°F | 7 | 8.3 | Busy season |
| May | 8.5 | #2 | 74°F | 52°F | 9 | 9.0 | Busy season |
| June | 7.9 | #5 | 83°F | 60°F | 8 | 8.2 | Busy season |
| July | 7.4 | #8 | 88°F | 64°F | 4 | 7.7 | Peak season |
| August | 7.3 | #10 | 88°F | 64°F | 4 | 8.2 | Peak season |
| September | 8.6 | #1 | 79°F | 57°F | 4 | 9.3 | Busy season |
| October | 8.5 | #3 | 66°F | 46°F | 6 | 8.6 | Busy season |
| November | 7.6 | #7 | 54°F | 39°F | 6 | 6.3 | Busy season |
| December | 7.2 | #11 | 46°F | 31°F | 7 | 5.4 | Moderate season |
Near here
Nearby regions, nearest first. Distances are centre to centre, as the crow flies; they are not road distances or journey times.
Sofia & the southwestBulgaria · about 80 miles
Balanced Overall 8.2 · Very good weather, 64°F (18°C) · Steady all year · Cost cheap
OlteniaRomania · about 80 miles
Balanced Overall 8.1 · Very good weather, 65°F (18°C) · Busy season · Cost cheap
Burgas & the southern Black Sea coastBulgaria · about 150 miles
Balanced Overall 7.9 · Very good weather, 67°F (19°C) · Off season · Cost cheap
Varna & the northern Black Sea coastBulgaria · about 170 miles
Balanced Overall 6.8 · Good weather, 65°F (19°C) · Off season · Cost cheap
Šumadija & western Serbiaabout 180 miles
Balanced Overall 8.7 · Very good weather, 66°F (19°C) · Moderate season · Cost cheap
Elsewhere in Europe
Northwest Bulgaria's weather ranks 15 of 117 countryside regions this month. These countryside regions outside Bulgaria have clearly better weather on your dates, nearest first, each compared with Northwest Bulgaria.
It's busy season, 67% of the busiest month and about average for the year. That means about 2,000 overnight visitors on a typical October night across the region, 89% of them from Bulgaria itself. Rentals booked through Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor add up to 170 more: 8 for every 100 counted above. Some are the same properties counted twice.
| Climate suitability (HCI:Urban, 0–100) | 78 |
| How our weather was checked | Official climate averages for Lovech and Vidin from the national weather service, every month: afternoon highs typically within 1°F (0.5°C), night lows within 2°F (1.2°C). |
| Tourist nights per 1,000 residents per day | 3 |
| Busiest month here | August · 4 |
| Visitors as share of people present | 0.3% |
| Rank among Europe's regions this month | 3rd percentile |
| Domestic share of nights | 89% |
| Platform rental nights per 100 counted nights | 8 |
| Visitor share if every platform night were extra | 0.3% |
| National hotel-price season | Bulgaria historical 2024–2025 index: About usual (+2% vs its average month). Not a local room quote. |
| Population used | 655,000 |
| Statistical region | BG31 · Severozapaden |
Crowds: Eurostat nights spent at tourist accommodation, by month and NUTS 2 region, 2024–2025 average. Overnight visitors per night is the month's nights divided by its days; the per-1,000 figure is Eurostat's, against each year's population. Platform rentals: Eurostat nights booked via Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor, 2024–2025 average, shown separately because some properties are in both counts. Weather: Holiday Climate Index computed from ERA5 reanalysis with daily highs, night lows and rain days corrected from open national weather-service station records, 2011–2025, population-weighted to the region; day-by-day figures are the same data averaged by date. Heat and rain odds are counted across those years. Sunrise and sunset: NOAA solar equations, local time. Prices: Eurostat price level index and HICP, national. Full method · this region's data.