Early October 1 October
60°F
Typical afternoon high
26% historical wet-day frequency
Poland · Countryside
Is October a good time?
October averages 55°F afternoons, with about 8 rain days. Later October is typically cooler.
Historical Podlaskie regional averages, not a forecast or a measure of queues. Overnight demand compares average stays per day. Covers Białowieża Forest; conditions vary within the region.
What matters most?
Weather 50% · Crowds 30% · Cost 20%
#8 of 12 months here · Balanced mix
Overall combines weather, overnight demand and cost. It does not include sea temperature.
Plan your October
Afternoons around 55°F (13°C): a sweater and a light jacket; nights around 40°F (4°C): a warm coat. About 11 hours of daylight. About 8 rain days in a typical October.
The sun rises about 06:53 and sets about 17:35 (local time, mid-month). Mornings start around 40°F (4°C); afternoons reach about 55°F (13°C). Expect rain on about 8 days in a typical October.
Early, middle or late?
Early October is typically warmer. The afternoon high averages 60°F on the 1st, versus 51°F on the 31st. Historical wet-day frequency rises from 26% to 32% between those dates.
60°F
Typical afternoon high
26% historical wet-day frequency
55°F
Typical afternoon high
29% historical wet-day frequency
51°F
Typical afternoon high
32% historical wet-day frequency
Historical daily averages from 2011–2025, smoothed over two weeks. A seasonal pattern, not a forecast. This does not establish which week has the lowest prices or fewest visitors.
Weather shows historical patterns, not a forecast. Holidays and events use the dates shown for 2026.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 160° | 260° | 359° | 459° | |||
| 558° | 658° | 757° | 857° | 957° | 1057° | 1156° |
| 1256° | 1356° | 1455° | 1555° | 1655° | 1754° | 1854° |
| 1954° | 2054° | 2153° | 2253° | 2353° | 2452° | 2552° |
| 2652° | 2752° | 2851° | 2951° | 3051° | 3151° |
Afternoon high rain likely (25%+) local school holidays public holiday event
Afternoons cool from about 59°F (15°C) in the first week to 51°F (11°C) in the last. The chance of a wet day runs 26–33%.
No school holidays here in October 2026. Elsewhere in October 2026, the share of people living where schools are out on a typical day: France 45%, Germany 33%, Netherlands 39%, Switzerland 32%. (School holidays: OpenHolidays, ODbL.)
Visitor season
Moderate season. October averages 48% of August's overnight stays per day. Fewer overnight stays than September.
Overnight stays across Podlaskie do not measure queues, day visitors or congestion at individual sights. For its size, quieter than most of Europe this month.
Hotel price season
About usual. Estimated from national hotel prices and local visitor demand; no measured regional room rate is available.
Fewer overnight stays do not automatically mean cheaper rooms. Check actual quotes for your trip.
Year-to-year variation
In the 15 years from 2011 to 2025, the month's afternoons averaged between 49°F (10°C) and 58°F (15°C); in 9 of them they were within 3°F (1.5°C) of the typical 55°F (13°C). Rain days ranged from 4 to 20; half the years had 5–13.
Rain days in each October
| Year | Afternoon high | Rain days |
|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 53°F | 5 |
| 2012 | 52°F | 11 |
| 2013 | 56°F | 7 |
| 2014 | 55°F | 4 |
| 2015 | 52°F | 5 |
| 2016 | 49°F | 13 |
| 2017 | 53°F | 20 |
| 2018 | 58°F | 6 |
| 2019 | 58°F | 5 |
| 2020 | 58°F | 12 |
| 2021 | 54°F | 6 |
| 2022 | 58°F | 8 |
| 2023 | 56°F | 15 |
| 2024 | 56°F | 8 |
| 2025 | 53°F | 14 |
Checked against official climate averages for Bialystok. How we check
Compare dates
| Typical conditions | Sep | Oct | Nov |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 67°F | 55°F | 43°F |
| Rain days | 7 | 8 | 10 |
| Overnight demand | 62% | 48% | 40% |
September: Warmer afternoons than October. More overnight demand. September guide →
November: Cooler afternoons and more rain days than October. Less overnight demand. November guide →
Overnight demand measures accommodation stays, not queues.
Yellow marks the top three months on the Balanced mix. October stays as your reference.
May to September have a Weather score at least 1.0 point higher than October, but more overnight stays.
Your comparison
Overnight stays are 62% of the busiest month.
National hotel prices and local visitor demand suggest about usual. No measured regional room rate is available.
Read the September guide →| Typical conditions | October | September |
|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 55°F | 67°F |
| Nights | 40°F | 48°F |
| Rain days | 8 | 7 |
| Visitor season | Moderate season | Busy season |
| Overall / 10 | 6.9 | 7.7 |
| Month rank | #8 | #3 |
| Month | Overall | Rank | High | Low | Rain days | Weather | Visitor season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 5.3 | #12 | 33°F | 23°F | 13 | 3.3 | Low season |
| February | 6.0 | #10 | 36°F | 24°F | 8 | 4.0 | Moderate season |
| March | 7.0 | #7 | 46°F | 29°F | 8 | 5.3 | Low season |
| April | 7.5 | #4 | 57°F | 37°F | 9 | 6.8 | Moderate season |
| May | 7.8 | #2 | 67°F | 46°F | 9 | 8.3 | Moderate season |
| June | 7.8 | #1 | 75°F | 53°F | 9 | 9.0 | Busy season |
| July | 7.0 | #6 | 77°F | 56°F | 12 | 8.6 | Peak season |
| August | 7.0 | #5 | 77°F | 55°F | 8 | 9.0 | Peak season |
| September | 7.7 | #3 | 67°F | 48°F | 7 | 8.4 | Busy season |
| October | 6.9 | #8 | 55°F | 40°F | 8 | 6.0 | Moderate season |
| November | 6.3 | #9 | 43°F | 33°F | 10 | 4.4 | Moderate season |
| December | 5.7 | #11 | 37°F | 28°F | 11 | 3.7 | Moderate season |
Near here
Nearby regions, nearest first. Distances are centre to centre, as the crow flies; they are not road distances or journey times.
Warmia-MasuriaPoland · about 100 miles
Balanced Overall 7.3 · Good weather, 55°F (13°C) · Low season · Cost moderate
MasoviaPoland · about 100 miles
Balanced Overall 6.4 · Good weather, 57°F (14°C) · Busy season · Cost moderate
WarsawPoland · about 100 miles
Balanced Overall 6.7 · Good weather, 57°F (14°C) · Steady all year · Cost moderate
Central & western Lithuaniaabout 150 miles
Balanced Overall 7.1 · Good weather, 53°F (12°C) · Moderate season · Cost moderate
Toruń & Kuyavia-PomeraniaPoland · about 180 miles
Balanced Overall 6.7 · Good weather, 57°F (14°C) · Steady all year · Cost moderate
Elsewhere in Europe
Podlaskie's weather ranks 110 of 117 countryside regions this month. These countryside regions outside Poland have clearly better weather on your dates, nearest first, each compared with Podlaskie.
Northern Hungaryabout 380 miles
Very good weather (7.6): 7°F warmer afternoons, cheaper
Western Slovakiaabout 400 miles
Very good weather (7.4): 6°F warmer afternoons
Northern Great PlainHungary · about 400 miles
Very good weather (8.0): 9°F warmer afternoons, cheaper
Cluj & northwest Romaniaabout 420 miles
Very good weather (7.5): 6°F warmer afternoons, busier for its season (busy season), cheaper
Around BudapestPest county · Hungary · about 430 miles
Very good weather (7.9): 8°F warmer afternoons, 2 fewer rain days, busier for its season (busy season), cheaper
It's moderate season, 48% of the busiest month and 10% below its average month. That means about 3,500 overnight visitors on a typical October night across the region, 89% of them from Poland itself. Rentals booked through Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor add up to 930 more: 27 for every 100 counted above. Some are the same properties counted twice.
| Climate suitability (HCI:Urban, 0–100) | 65 |
| How our weather was checked | Official climate averages for Bialystok from the national weather service, every month: afternoon highs typically within 1°F (0.4°C), night lows within 2°F (0.9°C). |
| Tourist nights per 1,000 residents per day | 3 |
| Busiest month here | August · 7 |
| Visitors as share of people present | 0.3% |
| Rank among Europe's regions this month | 4th percentile |
| Domestic share of nights | 89% |
| Platform rental nights per 100 counted nights | 27 |
| Visitor share if every platform night were extra | 0.4% |
| National hotel-price season | Poland historical 2024–2025 index: About usual (+1% vs its average month). Not a local room quote. |
| Population used | 1.1 million |
| Statistical region | PL84 · Podlaskie |
Crowds: Eurostat nights spent at tourist accommodation, by month and NUTS 2 region, 2024–2025 average. Overnight visitors per night is the month's nights divided by its days; the per-1,000 figure is Eurostat's, against each year's population. Platform rentals: Eurostat nights booked via Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor, 2024–2025 average, shown separately because some properties are in both counts. Weather: Holiday Climate Index computed from ERA5 reanalysis with daily highs, night lows and rain days corrected from open national weather-service station records, 2011–2025, population-weighted to the region; day-by-day figures are the same data averaged by date. Heat and rain odds are counted across those years. Sunrise and sunset: NOAA solar equations, local time. Prices: Eurostat price level index and HICP, national. Full method · this region's data.