Early October 1 October
62°F
Typical afternoon high
29% historical wet-day frequency
Poland · City
Warsaw
in October.
Is October a good time?
Cool days.
A steady visitor season.
October averages 57°F afternoons, with about 8 rain days. Later October is typically cooler.
- Afternoons
- 57°F
- Rain days
- 8
- Visitor demand
- 96%of August peak
Historical Warszawski stołeczny regional averages, not a forecast or a measure of queues. Overnight demand compares average stays per day.
Overall match
6.7/10 · scores & prioritiesWhat matters most?
Weather 50% · Crowds 30% · Cost 20%
#7 of 12 months here · Balanced mix
Weather6.6/10Good
CrowdsSteady all yearsimilar all year; overnight stays do not measure queues
CostModeratefor Europe; Poland-wide price level
Overall combines weather, overnight demand and cost. It does not include sea temperature.
Plan your October
What to expect.
What should I pack?
Afternoons around 57°F (14°C): a sweater and a light jacket; nights around 41°F (5°C): a warm coat. About 11 hours of daylight. About 8 rain days in a typical October.
A typical day: temperatures & daylightAfternoons, nights & daylight Show detailsHide details
About 11 hours of daylight.
The sun rises about 06:58 and sets about 17:44 (local time, mid-month). Mornings start around 41°F (5°C); afternoons reach about 57°F (14°C). Expect rain on about 8 days in a typical October.
Typical afternoon
57°F (14°C)
average daily high, 15 recent Octobers
Night low
41°F (5°C)
average daily minimum
Daylight
10h 45m
on the 15th, computed from latitude
Early, middle or late?
Early or late October?
Early October is typically warmer. The afternoon high averages 62°F on the 1st, versus 53°F on the 31st.
Mid October 15 October
57°F
Typical afternoon high
31% historical wet-day frequency
Late October 31 October
53°F
Typical afternoon high
29% historical wet-day frequency
Historical daily averages from 2011–2025, smoothed over two weeks. A seasonal pattern, not a forecast. This does not establish which week has the lowest prices or fewest visitors.
Daily calendar & holiday datesOctober 2026 · historical weather & dated holidays Show calendarHide calendar
October 2026 calendar
Weather shows historical patterns, not a forecast. Holidays and events use the dates shown for 2026.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 162° | 262° | 361° | 461° | |||
| 560° | 660° | 759° | 859° | 959° | 1059° | 1158° |
| 1258° | 1358° | 1457° | 1557° | 1657° | 1757° | 1857° |
| 1956° | 2056° | 2156° | 2256° | 2355° | 2455° | 2555° |
| 2654° | 2754° | 2854° | 2954° | 3053° | 3153° |
Afternoon high rain likely (25%+) local school holidays public holiday event
Afternoons cool from about 61°F (16°C) in the first week to 54°F (12°C) in the last. The chance of a wet day runs 28–33%.
No school holidays here in October 2026. Elsewhere in October 2026, the share of people living where schools are out on a typical day: France 45%, Germany 33%, Netherlands 39%, Switzerland 32%. (School holidays: OpenHolidays, ODbL.)
Crowds, cost and getting there
Visitor season
Will it be busy?
Steady all year. October averages 96% of August's overnight stays per day. Overnight demand varies little across the year.
Overnight stays across Warszawski stołeczny do not measure queues, day visitors or congestion at individual sights.
Hotel price season
Will it be cheaper?
A little above usual. Estimated from national hotel prices and local visitor demand; no measured regional room rate is available.
Fewer overnight stays do not automatically mean cheaper rooms. Check actual quotes for your trip.
Poland as a whole
Below EU average
2024 restaurants and hotels price level: 92 where the EU average is 100. A relative index, not a room rate.
Recorded US nonstop flights · 2024
Recorded this month
from New York JFK, Chicago, Los Angeles and Newark and 1 more; 2024 schedule, Eurostat
Year-to-year variation
How much does October vary?
Across the recorded years
In the 15 years from 2011 to 2025, the month's afternoons averaged between 51°F (11°C) and 61°F (16°C); in 9 of them they were within 3°F (1.5°C) of the typical 57°F (14°C). Rain days ranged from 4 to 20; half the years had 6–13.
Rain days in each October
Rain days
8
at least 1 mm, typical year; about 15 in a wet year
Mostly sunny days
4 of 31
cloud cover under 30%
Years with a 95°F+ day
0 of 15
no October in the last 15 years had a day at or above 95°F (35°C)
Good weather days
14 of 31
rated very good or better
See every recorded OctoberHistorical monthly averages, year by year Show detailsHide details
| Year | Afternoon high | Rain days |
|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 55°F | 6 |
| 2012 | 54°F | 8 |
| 2013 | 58°F | 5 |
| 2014 | 58°F | 4 |
| 2015 | 53°F | 7 |
| 2016 | 51°F | 20 |
| 2017 | 56°F | 15 |
| 2018 | 60°F | 7 |
| 2019 | 61°F | 5 |
| 2020 | 59°F | 15 |
| 2021 | 57°F | 8 |
| 2022 | 61°F | 10 |
| 2023 | 60°F | 13 |
| 2024 | 58°F | 6 |
| 2025 | 55°F | 12 |
Checked against official climate averages for Warszawa-Okecie. How we check
Compare dates
September, October
or November?
| Typical conditions | Sep | Oct | Nov |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 69°F | 57°F | 46°F |
| Rain days | 8 | 8 | 8 |
| Overnight demand | 98% | 96% | 93% |
September: Warmer afternoons than October. September guide →
November: Cooler afternoons than October. November guide →
Overnight demand measures accommodation stays, not queues.
Compare any of the 12 monthsChoose another month and compare it with October Show comparisonHide comparison
Yellow marks the top three months on the Balanced mix. October stays as your reference.
Hotel stays vary little through the year. May to September have a Weather score at least 1.0 point higher than October.
Your comparison
October or September?
Overnight stays vary little through the year.
National hotel prices and local visitor demand suggest about usual. No measured regional room rate is available.
Read the September guide →| Typical conditions | October | September |
|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 57°F | 69°F |
| Nights | 41°F | 49°F |
| Rain days | 8 | 8 |
| Visitor season | Steady all year | Steady all year |
| Overall / 10 | 6.7 | 7.8 |
| Month rank | #7 | #3 |
Every month, in detail Show detailsHide details
| Month | Overall | Rank | High | Low | Rain days | Weather | Visitor season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 4.7 | #12 | 36°F | 26°F | 14 | 3.7 | Steady all year |
| February | 5.3 | #10 | 39°F | 26°F | 9 | 4.3 | Steady all year |
| March | 6.3 | #8 | 49°F | 31°F | 8 | 5.6 | Steady all year |
| April | 7.0 | #6 | 59°F | 39°F | 9 | 7.1 | Steady all year |
| May | 7.7 | #5 | 68°F | 47°F | 9 | 8.4 | Steady all year |
| June | 8.0 | #1 | 77°F | 55°F | 8 | 9.0 | Steady all year |
| July | 7.8 | #4 | 79°F | 57°F | 11 | 8.5 | Steady all year |
| August | 8.0 | #2 | 78°F | 57°F | 8 | 8.8 | Steady all year |
| September | 7.8 | #3 | 69°F | 49°F | 8 | 8.7 | Steady all year |
| October | 6.7 | #7 | 57°F | 41°F | 8 | 6.6 | Steady all year |
| November | 5.9 | #9 | 46°F | 35°F | 8 | 4.9 | Steady all year |
| December | 5.0 | #11 | 39°F | 30°F | 11 | 4.0 | Steady all year |
Near here
Nearby places in October
Nearby regions, nearest first. Distances are centre to centre, as the crow flies; they are not road distances or journey times.
MasoviaPoland · about 10 miles
Balanced Overall 6.4 · Good weather, 57°F (14°C) · Busy season · Cost moderate
ŁódźPoland · about 80 miles
Balanced Overall 6.7 · Good weather, 58°F (14°C) · Steady all year · Cost moderate
SilesiaPoland · about 160 miles
Balanced Overall 6.8 · Good weather, 58°F (15°C) · Steady all year · Cost moderate
Kraków & Lesser Polandabout 170 miles
Balanced Overall 6.8 · Good weather, 58°F (14°C) · Steady all year · Cost moderate
Gdańsk & PomeraniaPoland · about 190 miles
Balanced Overall 4.7 · Poor weather, 57°F (14°C) · Low season · Cost moderate
Elsewhere in Europe
Better October weather than Warsaw
Warsaw's weather ranks 31 of 41 city regions this month. These city regions outside Poland have clearly better weather on your dates, nearest first, each compared with Warsaw.
BudapestHungary · about 340 miles
Very good weather (7.9): 5°F warmer afternoons, 2 fewer rain days
ZagrebCroatia · about 500 miles
Very good weather (8.0): 8°F warmer afternoons, pricier
BelgradeSerbia · about 530 miles
Very good weather (8.7): 9°F warmer afternoons, 2 fewer rain days, cheaper
BucharestRomania · about 580 miles
Very good weather (8.4): 8°F warmer afternoons, 2 fewer rain days, cheaper
Milan, Lake Como & LombardyItaly · about 690 miles
Very good weather (8.1): 9°F warmer afternoons, pricier
How we knowSources, regional scope & scoring method Show detailsHide details
Hotel stays are steady all year here: this month is 96% of the busiest and 12% above average. That counts overnight stays, not how busy the sights are.The figures cover the whole Warszawski stołeczny region, suburbs included. That means about 31,000 overnight visitors on a typical October night across the region, 70% of them from Poland itself. Rentals booked through Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor add up to 15,000 more: 48 for every 100 counted above. Some are the same properties counted twice.
| Climate suitability (HCI:Urban, 0–100) | 68 |
| How our weather was checked | Official climate averages for Warszawa-Okecie from the national weather service, every month: afternoon highs typically within 1°F (0.4°C), night lows within 1°F (0.3°C). |
| Tourist nights per 1,000 residents per day | 9 |
| Busiest month here | August · 10 |
| Visitors as share of people present | 0.9% |
| Rank among Europe's regions this month | 38th percentile |
| Domestic share of nights | 70% |
| Platform rental nights per 100 counted nights | 48 |
| Visitor share if every platform night were extra | 1.4% |
| National hotel-price season | Poland historical 2024–2025 index: About usual (+1% vs its average month). Not a local room quote. |
| Population used | 3.3 million |
| Statistical region | PL91 · Warszawski stołeczny |
Crowds: Eurostat nights spent at tourist accommodation, by month and NUTS 2 region, 2024–2025 average. Overnight visitors per night is the month's nights divided by its days; the per-1,000 figure is Eurostat's, against each year's population. Platform rentals: Eurostat nights booked via Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor, 2024–2025 average, shown separately because some properties are in both counts. Weather: Holiday Climate Index computed from ERA5 reanalysis with daily highs, night lows and rain days corrected from open national weather-service station records, 2011–2025, population-weighted to the region; day-by-day figures are the same data averaged by date. Heat and rain odds are counted across those years. Sunrise and sunset: NOAA solar equations, local time. Prices: Eurostat price level index and HICP, national. Full method · this region's data.