Early October 1 October
61°F
Typical afternoon high
26% historical wet-day frequency
Poland · Countryside
Warmia-Masuria
in October.
Is October a good time?
Cool days.
Fewer overnight stays than September.
October averages 55°F afternoons and 57°F seas, with about 8 rain days. Later October is typically cooler.
- Afternoons
- 55°F
- Sea
- 57°F
- Visitor demand
- 27%of August peak
Historical Warmińsko-mazurskie regional averages, not a forecast or a measure of queues. Overnight demand compares average stays per day. Covers Masurian Lakes; conditions vary within the region.
Overall match
7.3/10 · scores & prioritiesWhat matters most?
Weather 50% · Crowds 30% · Cost 20%
#5 of 12 months here · Balanced mix
Weather6.1/10Good
CrowdsLow seasonvs its own year; overnight stays do not measure queuesFor its size, quieter than most of Europe this month
CostModeratefor Europe; Poland-wide price level
Overall combines weather, overnight demand and cost. It does not include sea temperature.
Plan your October
What to expect.
What should I pack?
Afternoons around 55°F (13°C): a sweater and a light jacket; nights around 41°F (5°C): a warm coat. Bring rain gear: about 8 days with at least 1 mm of rain. About 11 hours of daylight.
Can I swim in October?
The sea averages 57°F. Our swimming guide: very cold: wetsuit weather. Your comfort will vary. This is open water near the coast, not a beach-specific reading.
Monthly coastal averages from NOAA, 2011–2025. Sea temperature is separate from the weather and Overall scores.
A typical day: temperatures & daylightAfternoons, nights, sea temperature & daylight Show detailsHide details
About 11 hours of daylight.
The sun rises about 07:02 and sets about 17:42 (local time, mid-month). Mornings start around 41°F (5°C); afternoons reach about 55°F (13°C). Expect rain on about 8 days in a typical October.
Typical afternoon
55°F (13°C)
average daily high, 15 recent Octobers
Night low
41°F (5°C)
average daily minimum
Sea
57°F (14°C)
very cold; open water near the coast, NOAA satellite record 2011–2025
Daylight
10h 40m
on the 15th, computed from latitude
Early, middle or late?
Early or late October?
Early October is typically warmer. The afternoon high averages 61°F on the 1st, versus 51°F on the 31st. Historical wet-day frequency rises from 26% to 32% between those dates.
Mid October 15 October
56°F
Typical afternoon high
32% historical wet-day frequency
Late October 31 October
51°F
Typical afternoon high
32% historical wet-day frequency
Historical daily averages from 2011–2025, smoothed over two weeks. A seasonal pattern, not a forecast. This does not establish which week has the lowest prices or fewest visitors.
Daily calendar & holiday datesOctober 2026 · historical weather & dated holidays Show calendarHide calendar
October 2026 calendar
Weather shows historical patterns, not a forecast. Holidays and events use the dates shown for 2026.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 161° | 260° | 360° | 459° | |||
| 559° | 658° | 758° | 858° | 957° | 1057° | 1157° |
| 1256° | 1356° | 1456° | 1556° | 1655° | 1755° | 1855° |
| 1954° | 2054° | 2154° | 2254° | 2353° | 2453° | 2553° |
| 2653° | 2752° | 2852° | 2952° | 3052° | 3151° |
Afternoon high rain likely (25%+) local school holidays public holiday event
Afternoons cool from about 59°F (15°C) in the first week to 52°F (11°C) in the last. The chance of a wet day runs 26–34%.
No school holidays here in October 2026. Elsewhere in October 2026, the share of people living where schools are out on a typical day: France 45%, Germany 33%, Netherlands 39%, Switzerland 32%. (School holidays: OpenHolidays, ODbL.)
Crowds and cost
Visitor season
Will it be busy?
Low season. October averages 27% of August's overnight stays per day. Fewer overnight stays than September.
Overnight stays across Warmińsko-mazurskie do not measure queues, day visitors or congestion at individual sights. For its size, quieter than most of Europe this month.
Hotel price season
Will it be cheaper?
About usual. Estimated from national hotel prices and local visitor demand; no measured regional room rate is available.
Fewer overnight stays do not automatically mean cheaper rooms. Check actual quotes for your trip.
Poland as a whole
Below EU average
2024 restaurants and hotels price level: 92 where the EU average is 100. A relative index, not a room rate.
Year-to-year variation
How much does October vary?
Across the recorded years
In the 15 years from 2011 to 2025, the month's afternoons averaged between 50°F (10°C) and 59°F (15°C); in 11 of them they were within 3°F (1.5°C) of the typical 55°F (13°C). Rain days ranged from 4 to 20; half the years had 6–13.
Rain days in each October
Rain days
8
at least 1 mm, typical year; about 15 in a wet year
Mostly sunny days
3 of 31
cloud cover under 30%
Years with a 95°F+ day
0 of 15
no October in the last 15 years had a day at or above 95°F (35°C)
Good weather days
11 of 31
rated very good or better
See every recorded OctoberHistorical monthly averages, year by year Show detailsHide details
| Year | Afternoon high | Rain days |
|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 54°F | 6 |
| 2012 | 53°F | 11 |
| 2013 | 56°F | 7 |
| 2014 | 56°F | 5 |
| 2015 | 52°F | 4 |
| 2016 | 50°F | 16 |
| 2017 | 54°F | 20 |
| 2018 | 58°F | 8 |
| 2019 | 58°F | 8 |
| 2020 | 58°F | 11 |
| 2021 | 56°F | 8 |
| 2022 | 59°F | 7 |
| 2023 | 56°F | 13 |
| 2024 | 56°F | 6 |
| 2025 | 54°F | 13 |
Checked against official climate averages for Olsztyn. How we check
Compare dates
September, October
or November?
| Typical conditions | Sep | Oct | Nov |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 67°F | 55°F | 44°F |
| Sea | 63°F | 57°F | 50°F |
| Rain days | 7 | 8 | 9 |
| Overnight demand | 43% | 27% | 25% |
September: Warmer afternoons and warmer sea than October. More overnight demand. September guide →
November: Cooler afternoons and cooler sea than October. November guide →
Overnight demand measures accommodation stays, not queues. Sea temperatures are monthly coastal averages.
Compare any of the 12 monthsChoose another month and compare it with October Show comparisonHide comparison
Yellow marks the top three months on the Balanced mix. October stays as your reference.
May to September have a Weather score at least 1.0 point higher than October, but more overnight stays.
Your comparison
October or September?
Overnight stays are 43% of the busiest month.
National hotel prices and local visitor demand suggest about usual. No measured regional room rate is available.
Read the September guide →| Typical conditions | October | September |
|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 55°F | 67°F |
| Nights | 41°F | 49°F |
| Sea | 57°F | 63°F |
| Rain days | 8 | 7 |
| Visitor season | Low season | Moderate season |
| Overall / 10 | 7.3 | 8.1 |
| Month rank | #5 | #1 |
Every month, in detail Show detailsHide details
| Month | Overall | Rank | High | Low | Sea | Rain days | Weather | Visitor season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 5.4 | #12 | 34°F | 24°F | 40°F | 14 | 3.4 | Low season |
| February | 6.1 | #10 | 37°F | 24°F | 38°F | 9 | 4.1 | Low season |
| March | 7.1 | #6 | 46°F | 29°F | 39°F | 9 | 5.3 | Low season |
| April | 7.8 | #4 | 57°F | 37°F | 43°F | 8 | 6.9 | Low season |
| May | 8.0 | #3 | 66°F | 45°F | 51°F | 9 | 8.2 | Moderate season |
| June | 8.0 | #2 | 74°F | 52°F | 61°F | 10 | 9.1 | Moderate season |
| July | 6.8 | #8 | 76°F | 56°F | 65°F | 12 | 8.7 | Peak season |
| August | 6.9 | #7 | 76°F | 55°F | 67°F | 9 | 9.1 | Peak season |
| September | 8.1 | #1 | 67°F | 49°F | 63°F | 7 | 8.5 | Moderate season |
| October | 7.3 | #5 | 55°F | 41°F | 57°F | 8 | 6.1 | Low season |
| November | 6.4 | #9 | 44°F | 34°F | 50°F | 9 | 4.4 | Low season |
| December | 5.8 | #11 | 38°F | 29°F | 44°F | 11 | 3.8 | Low season |
Near here
Nearby places in October
Nearby regions, nearest first. Distances are centre to centre, as the crow flies; they are not road distances or journey times.
PodlaskiePoland · about 100 miles
Balanced Overall 6.9 · Good weather, 55°F (13°C) · Moderate season · Cost moderate
MasoviaPoland · about 100 miles
Balanced Overall 6.4 · Good weather, 57°F (14°C) · Busy season · Cost moderate
WarsawPoland · about 110 miles
Balanced Overall 6.7 · Good weather, 57°F (14°C) · Steady all year · Cost moderate
Gdańsk & PomeraniaPoland · about 120 miles
Balanced Overall 4.7 · Poor weather, 57°F (14°C) · Low season · Cost moderate
Central & western Lithuaniaabout 160 miles
Balanced Overall 7.1 · Good weather, 53°F (12°C) · Moderate season · Cost moderate
Elsewhere in Europe
Better October weather than Warmia-Masuria
Warmia-Masuria's weather ranks 109 of 117 countryside regions this month. These countryside regions outside Poland have clearly better weather on your dates, nearest first, each compared with Warmia-Masuria.
Western Slovakiaabout 390 miles
Very good weather (7.4): 6°F warmer afternoons, busier for its season (moderate season)
Northern Hungaryabout 400 miles
Very good weather (7.6): 6°F warmer afternoons, busier for its season (moderate season), cheaper
Northern Great PlainHungary · about 430 miles
Very good weather (8.0): 8°F warmer afternoons, 2 fewer rain days, busier for its season (moderate season), cheaper
Lower Austriaabout 440 miles
Very good weather (7.3): 6°F warmer afternoons, busier for its season (busy season), pricier
Around BudapestPest county · Hungary · about 450 miles
Very good weather (7.9): 7°F warmer afternoons, 2 fewer rain days, busier for its season (busy season), cheaper
How we knowSources, regional scope & scoring method Show detailsHide details
It's low season, 27% of the busiest month and 35% below its average month. That means about 6,300 overnight visitors on a typical October night across the region, 94% of them from Poland itself. Rentals booked through Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor add up to 1,400 more: 23 for every 100 counted above. Some are the same properties counted twice.
| Climate suitability (HCI:Urban, 0–100) | 65 |
| How our weather was checked | Official climate averages for Olsztyn from the national weather service, every month: afternoon highs typically within 1°F (0.5°C), night lows within 1°F (0.3°C). |
| Tourist nights per 1,000 residents per day | 5 |
| Busiest month here | August · 18 |
| Visitors as share of people present | 0.5% |
| Rank among Europe's regions this month | 12th percentile |
| Domestic share of nights | 94% |
| Platform rental nights per 100 counted nights | 23 |
| Visitor share if every platform night were extra | 0.6% |
| National hotel-price season | Poland historical 2024–2025 index: About usual (+1% vs its average month). Not a local room quote. |
| Population used | 1.3 million |
| Statistical region | PL62 · Warmińsko-mazurskie |
Crowds: Eurostat nights spent at tourist accommodation, by month and NUTS 2 region, 2024–2025 average. Overnight visitors per night is the month's nights divided by its days; the per-1,000 figure is Eurostat's, against each year's population. Platform rentals: Eurostat nights booked via Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor, 2024–2025 average, shown separately because some properties are in both counts. Weather: Holiday Climate Index computed from ERA5 reanalysis with daily highs, night lows and rain days corrected from open national weather-service station records, 2011–2025, population-weighted to the region; day-by-day figures are the same data averaged by date. Heat and rain odds are counted across those years. Sunrise and sunset: NOAA solar equations, local time. Prices: Eurostat price level index and HICP, national. Full method · this region's data.