Early January 1 January
37°F
Typical afternoon high
43% historical wet-day frequency
Poland · Countryside
Warmia-Masuria
in January.
Is January a good time?
Cold days.
Similar overnight stays to December.
January averages 34°F afternoons and 40°F seas, with about 14 rain days. Later January is typically cooler.
- Afternoons
- 34°F
- Sea
- 40°F
- Visitor demand
- 20%of August peak
Historical Warmińsko-mazurskie regional averages, not a forecast or a measure of queues. Overnight demand compares average stays per day. Covers Masurian Lakes; conditions vary within the region.
Overall match
5.4/10 · scores & prioritiesWhat matters most?
Weather 50% · Crowds 30% · Cost 20%
#12 of 12 months here · Balanced mix
Weather3.4/10Fair
CrowdsLow seasonvs its own year; overnight stays do not measure queuesFor its size, quieter than most of Europe this month
CostModeratefor Europe; Poland-wide price level
Overall combines weather, overnight demand and cost. It does not include sea temperature.
Plan your January
What to expect.
What should I pack?
Afternoons around 34°F (1°C): a winter coat, hat and gloves. Bring rain gear: about 14 days with at least 1 mm of rain. About 8 hours of daylight.
Can I swim in January?
The sea averages 40°F. Our swimming guide: very cold: wetsuit weather. Your comfort will vary. This is open water near the coast, not a beach-specific reading.
Monthly coastal averages from NOAA, 2011–2025. Sea temperature is separate from the weather and Overall scores.
A typical day: temperatures & daylightAfternoons, nights, sea temperature & daylight Show detailsHide details
About 8 hours of daylight.
The sun rises about 07:47 and sets about 15:44 (local time, mid-month). Mornings start around 24°F (−4°C); afternoons reach about 34°F (1°C). Expect rain on about 14 days in a typical January.
Typical afternoon
34°F (1°C)
average daily high, 15 recent Januarys
Night low
24°F (−4°C)
average daily minimum
Sea
40°F (5°C)
very cold; open water near the coast, NOAA satellite record 2011–2025
Daylight
7h 56m
on the 15th, computed from latitude
Early, middle or late?
Early or late January?
Early January is typically warmer. The afternoon high averages 37°F on the 1st, versus 34°F on the 31st.
Mid January 15 January
34°F
Typical afternoon high
40% historical wet-day frequency
Late January 31 January
34°F
Typical afternoon high
42% historical wet-day frequency
Historical daily averages from 2011–2025, smoothed over two weeks. A seasonal pattern, not a forecast. This does not establish which week has the lowest prices or fewest visitors.
Public holidays · 2027: 1 Jan New Year's Day; 6 Jan Epiphany.
Daily calendar & holiday datesJanuary 2027 · historical weather & dated holidays Show calendarHide calendar
January 2027 calendar
Weather shows historical patterns, not a forecast. Holidays and events use the dates shown for 2027.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 137° | 237° | 336° | ||||
| 436° | 536° | 636° | 736° | 835° | 935° | 1034° |
| 1134° | 1234° | 1334° | 1434° | 1534° | 1633° | 1733° |
| 1833° | 1933° | 2033° | 2133° | 2233° | 2333° | 2433° |
| 2533° | 2633° | 2733° | 2834° | 2934° | 3034° | 3134° |
Afternoon high rain likely (25%+) local school holidays public holiday event
Afternoons cool from about 36°F (2°C) in the first week to 34°F (1°C) in the last. The chance of a wet day runs 35–49%.
No school holidays here in January 2027. Public holidays: 1 Jan New Year's Day; 6 Jan Epiphany. Elsewhere in January 2027, the share of people living where schools are out on a typical day: Germany 21%, Spain 24%, Italy 20%, Greece 23%. (School holidays: OpenHolidays, ODbL.)
Crowds and cost
Visitor season
Will it be busy?
Low season. January averages 20% of August's overnight stays per day. Similar overnight stays to December.
Overnight stays across Warmińsko-mazurskie do not measure queues, day visitors or congestion at individual sights. For its size, quieter than most of Europe this month.
Hotel price season
Will it be cheaper?
A little below usual. Estimated from national hotel prices and local visitor demand; no measured regional room rate is available.
Fewer overnight stays do not automatically mean cheaper rooms. Check actual quotes for your trip.
Poland as a whole
Below EU average
2024 restaurants and hotels price level: 92 where the EU average is 100. A relative index, not a room rate.
Year-to-year variation
How much does January vary?
Across the recorded years
In the 15 years from 2011 to 2025, the month's afternoons averaged between 28°F (−2°C) and 41°F (5°C); in 6 of them they were within 3°F (1.5°C) of the typical 34°F (1°C). Rain days ranged from 7 to 18; half the years had 12–15.
Rain days in each January
Rain days
14
at least 1 mm, typical year; about 16 in a wet year
Mostly sunny days
1 of 31
cloud cover under 30%
Years with a 95°F+ day
0 of 15
no January in the last 15 years had a day at or above 95°F (35°C)
Good weather days
0 of 31
rated very good or better
See every recorded JanuaryHistorical monthly averages, year by year Show detailsHide details
| Year | Afternoon high | Rain days |
|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 33°F | 13 |
| 2012 | 33°F | 16 |
| 2013 | 28°F | 11 |
| 2014 | 28°F | 14 |
| 2015 | 37°F | 14 |
| 2016 | 29°F | 10 |
| 2017 | 30°F | 7 |
| 2018 | 36°F | 14 |
| 2019 | 32°F | 18 |
| 2020 | 41°F | 12 |
| 2021 | 32°F | 15 |
| 2022 | 37°F | 14 |
| 2023 | 40°F | 14 |
| 2024 | 33°F | 15 |
| 2025 | 40°F | 13 |
Checked against official climate averages for Olsztyn. How we check
Compare dates
December, January
or February?
| Typical conditions | Dec | Jan | Feb |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 38°F | 34°F | 37°F |
| Sea | 44°F | 40°F | 38°F |
| Rain days | 11 | 14 | 9 |
| Overnight demand | 22% | 20% | 26% |
December: Warmer afternoons, warmer sea and fewer rain days than January. More overnight demand. December guide →
February: Warmer afternoons, cooler sea and fewer rain days than January. More overnight demand. February guide →
Overnight demand measures accommodation stays, not queues. Sea temperatures are monthly coastal averages.
Compare any of the 12 monthsChoose another month and compare it with January Show comparisonHide comparison
Yellow marks the top three months on the Balanced mix. January stays as your reference.
March to April have a Weather score at least 1.0 point higher than January, without a substantially busier visitor season.
Your comparison
January or December?
Overnight stays are 22% of the busiest month.
National hotel prices and local visitor demand suggest about usual. No measured regional room rate is available.
Read the December guide →| Typical conditions | January | December |
|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 34°F | 38°F |
| Nights | 24°F | 29°F |
| Sea | 40°F | 44°F |
| Rain days | 14 | 11 |
| Visitor season | Low season | Low season |
| Overall / 10 | 5.4 | 5.8 |
| Month rank | #12 | #11 |
Every month, in detail Show detailsHide details
| Month | Overall | Rank | High | Low | Sea | Rain days | Weather | Visitor season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 5.4 | #12 | 34°F | 24°F | 40°F | 14 | 3.4 | Low season |
| February | 6.1 | #10 | 37°F | 24°F | 38°F | 9 | 4.1 | Low season |
| March | 7.1 | #6 | 46°F | 29°F | 39°F | 9 | 5.3 | Low season |
| April | 7.8 | #4 | 57°F | 37°F | 43°F | 8 | 6.9 | Low season |
| May | 8.0 | #3 | 66°F | 45°F | 51°F | 9 | 8.2 | Moderate season |
| June | 8.0 | #2 | 74°F | 52°F | 61°F | 10 | 9.1 | Moderate season |
| July | 6.8 | #8 | 76°F | 56°F | 65°F | 12 | 8.7 | Peak season |
| August | 6.9 | #7 | 76°F | 55°F | 67°F | 9 | 9.1 | Peak season |
| September | 8.1 | #1 | 67°F | 49°F | 63°F | 7 | 8.5 | Moderate season |
| October | 7.3 | #5 | 55°F | 41°F | 57°F | 8 | 6.1 | Low season |
| November | 6.4 | #9 | 44°F | 34°F | 50°F | 9 | 4.4 | Low season |
| December | 5.8 | #11 | 38°F | 29°F | 44°F | 11 | 3.8 | Low season |
Near here
Nearby places in January
Nearby regions, nearest first. Distances are centre to centre, as the crow flies; they are not road distances or journey times.
PodlaskiePoland · about 100 miles
Balanced Overall 5.3 · Fair weather, 33°F (0°C) · Low season · Cost moderate
MasoviaPoland · about 100 miles
Balanced Overall 5.7 · Fair weather, 35°F (2°C) · Moderate season · Cost moderate
WarsawPoland · about 110 miles
Balanced Overall 4.7 · Fair weather, 36°F (2°C) · Steady all year · Cost moderate
Gdańsk & PomeraniaPoland · about 120 miles
Balanced Overall 3.0 · Poor weather, 37°F (3°C) · Low season · Cost moderate
Central & western Lithuaniaabout 160 miles
Balanced Overall 5.2 · Fair weather, 32°F (0°C) · Moderate season · Cost cheap
Elsewhere in Europe
Better January weather than Warmia-Masuria
Warmia-Masuria's weather ranks 110 of 117 countryside regions this month. These countryside regions outside Poland have clearly better weather on your dates, nearest first, each compared with Warmia-Masuria.
Western Slovakiaabout 390 miles
Fair weather (4.4): 6°F warmer afternoons, 3 fewer rain days
Northern Hungaryabout 400 miles
Fair weather (4.6): 5°F warmer afternoons, 5 fewer rain days, cheaper
Northern Great PlainHungary · about 430 miles
Fair weather (4.5): 6°F warmer afternoons, 4 fewer rain days, cheaper
Lower Austriaabout 440 miles
Fair weather (4.5): 7°F warmer afternoons, 4 fewer rain days, busier for its season (moderate season), pricier
Around BudapestPest county · Hungary · about 450 miles
Fair weather (4.8): 7°F warmer afternoons, 5 fewer rain days, busier for its season (moderate season), cheaper
How we knowSources, regional scope & scoring method Show detailsHide details
It's low season, 20% of the busiest month and 53% below its average month. That means about 4,600 overnight visitors on a typical January night across the region, 96% of them from Poland itself. Rentals booked through Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor add up to 810 more: 18 for every 100 counted above. Some are the same properties counted twice.
| Climate suitability (HCI:Urban, 0–100) | 52 |
| How our weather was checked | Official climate averages for Olsztyn from the national weather service, every month: afternoon highs typically within 1°F (0.5°C), night lows within 1°F (0.3°C). |
| Tourist nights per 1,000 residents per day | 4 |
| Busiest month here | August · 18 |
| Visitors as share of people present | 0.4% |
| Rank among Europe's regions this month | 19th percentile |
| Domestic share of nights | 96% |
| Platform rental nights per 100 counted nights | 18 |
| Visitor share if every platform night were extra | 0.4% |
| National hotel-price season | Poland historical 2024–2025 index: About usual (−4% vs its average month). Not a local room quote. |
| Population used | 1.3 million |
| Statistical region | PL62 · Warmińsko-mazurskie |
Crowds: Eurostat nights spent at tourist accommodation, by month and NUTS 2 region, 2024–2025 average. Overnight visitors per night is the month's nights divided by its days; the per-1,000 figure is Eurostat's, against each year's population. Platform rentals: Eurostat nights booked via Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor, 2024–2025 average, shown separately because some properties are in both counts. Weather: Holiday Climate Index computed from ERA5 reanalysis with daily highs, night lows and rain days corrected from open national weather-service station records, 2011–2025, population-weighted to the region; day-by-day figures are the same data averaged by date. Heat and rain odds are counted across those years. Sunrise and sunset: NOAA solar equations, local time. Prices: Eurostat price level index and HICP, national. Full method · this region's data.