Early December 1 December
38°F
Typical afternoon high
35% historical wet-day frequency
Poland · Countryside
Is December a good time?
December averages 38°F afternoons and 44°F seas, with about 11 rain days.
Historical Warmińsko-mazurskie regional averages, not a forecast or a measure of queues. Overnight demand compares average stays per day. Covers Masurian Lakes; conditions vary within the region.
What matters most?
Weather 50% · Crowds 30% · Cost 20%
#11 of 12 months here · Balanced mix
Overall combines weather, overnight demand and cost. It does not include sea temperature.
Plan your December
Afternoons around 38°F (3°C): a warm coat; nights around 29°F (−2°C): a winter coat, hat and gloves. Bring rain gear: about 11 days with at least 1 mm of rain. About 7 hours of daylight.
The sea averages 44°F. Our swimming guide: very cold: wetsuit weather. Your comfort will vary. This is open water near the coast, not a beach-specific reading.
Monthly coastal averages from NOAA, 2011–2025. Sea temperature is separate from the weather and Overall scores.
The sun rises about 07:48 and sets about 15:15 (local time, mid-month). Mornings start around 29°F (−2°C); afternoons reach about 38°F (3°C). Expect rain on about 11 days in a typical December.
Early, middle or late?
Early and late December have similar afternoon averages. The afternoon high averages 38°F on the 1st, versus 38°F on the 31st. Historical wet-day frequency rises from 35% to 44% between those dates.
38°F
Typical afternoon high
35% historical wet-day frequency
38°F
Typical afternoon high
37% historical wet-day frequency
38°F
Typical afternoon high
44% historical wet-day frequency
Historical daily averages from 2011–2025, smoothed over two weeks. A seasonal pattern, not a forecast. This does not establish which week has the lowest prices or fewest visitors.
Public holidays · 2026: 24 Dec Christmas Eve; 25 Dec Christmas Day; 26 Dec 2nd Day of Christmas.
Weather shows historical patterns, not a forecast. Holidays and events use the dates shown for 2026.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 138° | 238° | 338° | 438° | 537° | 637° | |
| 737° | 837° | 938° | 1038° | 1138° | 1238° | 1338° |
| 1438° | 1538° | 1638° | 1738° | 1838° | 1938° | 2039° |
| 2139° | 2239° | 2339° | 2439° | 2539° | 2639° | 2739° |
| 2839° | 2938° | 3038° | 3138° |
Afternoon high rain likely (25%+) local school holidays public holiday event
Afternoons hold at about 38°F (3°C) all month. The chance of a wet day runs 34–46%.
No school holidays here in December 2026. Public holidays: 24 Dec Christmas Eve; 25 Dec Christmas Day; 26 Dec 2nd Day of Christmas. Elsewhere in December 2026, the share of people living where schools are out on a typical day: France 39%, Germany 29%, Italy 35%, Spain 32%. (School holidays: OpenHolidays, ODbL.)
Visitor season
Low season. December averages 22% of August's overnight stays per day. Fewer overnight stays than November.
Overnight stays across Warmińsko-mazurskie do not measure queues, day visitors or congestion at individual sights. For its size, quieter than most of Europe this month.
Hotel price season
About usual. Estimated from national hotel prices and local visitor demand; no measured regional room rate is available.
Fewer overnight stays do not automatically mean cheaper rooms. Check actual quotes for your trip.
Year-to-year variation
In the 15 years from 2011 to 2025, the month's afternoons averaged between 31°F (−1°C) and 43°F (6°C); in 10 of them they were within 3°F (1.5°C) of the typical 38°F (3°C). Rain days ranged from 6 to 17; half the years had 9–14.
Rain days in each December
| Year | Afternoon high | Rain days |
|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 40°F | 13 |
| 2012 | 31°F | 9 |
| 2013 | 40°F | 11 |
| 2014 | 36°F | 11 |
| 2015 | 43°F | 10 |
| 2016 | 38°F | 11 |
| 2017 | 40°F | 14 |
| 2018 | 38°F | 17 |
| 2019 | 42°F | 13 |
| 2020 | 39°F | 6 |
| 2021 | 33°F | 8 |
| 2022 | 35°F | 15 |
| 2023 | 38°F | 17 |
| 2024 | 41°F | 11 |
| 2025 | 40°F | 8 |
Checked against official climate averages for Olsztyn. How we check
Compare dates
| Typical conditions | Nov | Dec | Jan |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 44°F | 38°F | 34°F |
| Sea | 50°F | 44°F | 40°F |
| Rain days | 9 | 11 | 14 |
| Overnight demand | 25% | 22% | 20% |
November: Warmer afternoons, warmer sea and fewer rain days than December. More overnight demand. November guide →
January: Cooler afternoons, cooler sea and more rain days than December. January guide →
Overnight demand measures accommodation stays, not queues. Sea temperatures are monthly coastal averages.
Yellow marks the top three months on the Balanced mix. December stays as your reference.
March to April have a Weather score at least 1.0 point higher than December, without a substantially busier visitor season.
Your comparison
Overnight stays are 25% of the busiest month.
National hotel prices and local visitor demand suggest about usual. No measured regional room rate is available.
Read the November guide →| Typical conditions | December | November |
|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 38°F | 44°F |
| Nights | 29°F | 34°F |
| Sea | 44°F | 50°F |
| Rain days | 11 | 9 |
| Visitor season | Low season | Low season |
| Overall / 10 | 5.8 | 6.4 |
| Month rank | #11 | #9 |
| Month | Overall | Rank | High | Low | Sea | Rain days | Weather | Visitor season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 5.4 | #12 | 34°F | 24°F | 40°F | 14 | 3.4 | Low season |
| February | 6.1 | #10 | 37°F | 24°F | 38°F | 9 | 4.1 | Low season |
| March | 7.1 | #6 | 46°F | 29°F | 39°F | 9 | 5.3 | Low season |
| April | 7.8 | #4 | 57°F | 37°F | 43°F | 8 | 6.9 | Low season |
| May | 8.0 | #3 | 66°F | 45°F | 51°F | 9 | 8.2 | Moderate season |
| June | 8.0 | #2 | 74°F | 52°F | 61°F | 10 | 9.1 | Moderate season |
| July | 6.8 | #8 | 76°F | 56°F | 65°F | 12 | 8.7 | Peak season |
| August | 6.9 | #7 | 76°F | 55°F | 67°F | 9 | 9.1 | Peak season |
| September | 8.1 | #1 | 67°F | 49°F | 63°F | 7 | 8.5 | Moderate season |
| October | 7.3 | #5 | 55°F | 41°F | 57°F | 8 | 6.1 | Low season |
| November | 6.4 | #9 | 44°F | 34°F | 50°F | 9 | 4.4 | Low season |
| December | 5.8 | #11 | 38°F | 29°F | 44°F | 11 | 3.8 | Low season |
Near here
Nearby regions, nearest first. Distances are centre to centre, as the crow flies; they are not road distances or journey times.
PodlaskiePoland · about 100 miles
Balanced Overall 5.7 · Fair weather, 37°F (3°C) · Moderate season · Cost moderate
MasoviaPoland · about 100 miles
Balanced Overall 5.7 · Fair weather, 39°F (4°C) · Busy season · Cost moderate
WarsawPoland · about 110 miles
Balanced Overall 5.0 · Fair weather, 39°F (4°C) · Steady all year · Cost moderate
Gdańsk & PomeraniaPoland · about 120 miles
Balanced Overall 3.0 · Poor weather, 40°F (5°C) · Low season · Cost moderate
Central & western Lithuaniaabout 160 miles
Balanced Overall 5.5 · Fair weather, 37°F (3°C) · Moderate season · Cost moderate
Elsewhere in Europe
Warmia-Masuria's weather ranks 106 of 117 countryside regions this month. These countryside regions outside Poland have clearly better weather on your dates, nearest first, each compared with Warmia-Masuria.
Lower Austriaabout 440 miles
Fair weather (4.8): 5°F warmer afternoons, 2 fewer rain days, busier for its season (moderate season), pricier
BurgenlandAustria · about 480 miles
Good weather (5.0): 5°F warmer afternoons, 4 fewer rain days, pricier
Western TransdanubiaHungary · about 490 miles
Fair weather (4.9): 6°F warmer afternoons, 3 fewer rain days, busier for its season (moderate season), cheaper
Southern Great PlainHungary · about 500 miles
Fair weather (4.8): 6°F warmer afternoons, busier for its season (moderate season), cheaper
Bucovina & northeast Romaniaabout 530 miles
Fair weather (4.8): 3°F warmer afternoons, 6 fewer rain days, busier for its season (moderate season), cheaper
It's low season, 22% of the busiest month and 48% below its average month. That means about 5,000 overnight visitors on a typical December night across the region, 94% of them from Poland itself. Rentals booked through Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor add up to 1,800 more: 35 for every 100 counted above. Some are the same properties counted twice.
| Climate suitability (HCI:Urban, 0–100) | 54 |
| How our weather was checked | Official climate averages for Olsztyn from the national weather service, every month: afternoon highs typically within 1°F (0.5°C), night lows within 1°F (0.3°C). |
| Tourist nights per 1,000 residents per day | 4 |
| Busiest month here | August · 18 |
| Visitors as share of people present | 0.4% |
| Rank among Europe's regions this month | 17th percentile |
| Domestic share of nights | 94% |
| Platform rental nights per 100 counted nights | 35 |
| Visitor share if every platform night were extra | 0.5% |
| National hotel-price season | Poland historical 2024–2025 index: About usual (+1% vs its average month). Not a local room quote. |
| Population used | 1.3 million |
| Statistical region | PL62 · Warmińsko-mazurskie |
Crowds: Eurostat nights spent at tourist accommodation, by month and NUTS 2 region, 2024–2025 average. Overnight visitors per night is the month's nights divided by its days; the per-1,000 figure is Eurostat's, against each year's population. Platform rentals: Eurostat nights booked via Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor, 2024–2025 average, shown separately because some properties are in both counts. Weather: Holiday Climate Index computed from ERA5 reanalysis with daily highs, night lows and rain days corrected from open national weather-service station records, 2011–2025, population-weighted to the region; day-by-day figures are the same data averaged by date. Heat and rain odds are counted across those years. Sunrise and sunset: NOAA solar equations, local time. Prices: Eurostat price level index and HICP, national. Full method · this region's data.