Early December 1 December
39°F
Typical afternoon high
32% historical wet-day frequency
Poland · City
Is December a good time?
December averages 39°F afternoons, with about 11 rain days.
Historical Warszawski stołeczny regional averages, not a forecast or a measure of queues. Overnight demand compares average stays per day.
What matters most?
Weather 50% · Crowds 30% · Cost 20%
#11 of 12 months here · Balanced mix
Overall combines weather, overnight demand and cost. It does not include sea temperature.
Plan your December
Afternoons around 39°F (4°C): a warm coat; nights around 30°F (−1°C): a winter coat, hat and gloves. Bring rain gear: about 11 days with at least 1 mm of rain. About 8 hours of daylight.
The sun rises about 07:38 and sets about 15:23 (local time, mid-month). Mornings start around 30°F (−1°C); afternoons reach about 39°F (4°C). Expect rain on about 11 days in a typical December.
Early, middle or late?
Early and late December have similar afternoon averages. The afternoon high averages 39°F on the 1st, versus 39°F on the 31st. Historical wet-day frequency rises from 32% to 37% between those dates.
39°F
Typical afternoon high
32% historical wet-day frequency
39°F
Typical afternoon high
36% historical wet-day frequency
39°F
Typical afternoon high
37% historical wet-day frequency
Historical daily averages from 2011–2025, smoothed over two weeks. A seasonal pattern, not a forecast. This does not establish which week has the lowest prices or fewest visitors.
Public holidays · 2026: 24 Dec Christmas Eve; 25 Dec Christmas Day; 26 Dec 2nd Day of Christmas.
Weather shows historical patterns, not a forecast. Holidays and events use the dates shown for 2026.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 139° | 239° | 339° | 439° | 539° | 639° | |
| 738° | 839° | 939° | 1039° | 1139° | 1239° | 1339° |
| 1439° | 1539° | 1639° | 1739° | 1840° | 1940° | 2040° |
| 2140° | 2240° | 2340° | 2440° | 2540° | 2640° | 2740° |
| 2840° | 2940° | 3040° | 3139° |
Afternoon high rain likely (25%+) local school holidays public holiday event
Afternoons hold at about 39°F (4°C) all month. The chance of a wet day runs 32–39%.
No school holidays here in December 2026. Public holidays: 24 Dec Christmas Eve; 25 Dec Christmas Day; 26 Dec 2nd Day of Christmas. Elsewhere in December 2026, the share of people living where schools are out on a typical day: France 39%, Germany 29%, Italy 35%, Spain 32%. (School holidays: OpenHolidays, ODbL.)
Visitor season
Steady all year. December averages 85% of August's overnight stays per day. Overnight demand varies little across the year.
Overnight stays across Warszawski stołeczny do not measure queues, day visitors or congestion at individual sights.
Hotel price season
A little above usual. Estimated from national hotel prices and local visitor demand; no measured regional room rate is available.
Fewer overnight stays do not automatically mean cheaper rooms. Check actual quotes for your trip.
Year-to-year variation
In the 15 years from 2011 to 2025, the month's afternoons averaged between 31°F (0°C) and 45°F (7°C); in 11 of them they were within 3°F (1.5°C) of the typical 39°F (4°C). Rain days ranged from 4 to 19; half the years had 8–13.
Rain days in each December
| Year | Afternoon high | Rain days |
|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 41°F | 11 |
| 2012 | 31°F | 8 |
| 2013 | 42°F | 12 |
| 2014 | 38°F | 12 |
| 2015 | 45°F | 8 |
| 2016 | 38°F | 14 |
| 2017 | 40°F | 13 |
| 2018 | 39°F | 19 |
| 2019 | 43°F | 10 |
| 2020 | 40°F | 6 |
| 2021 | 35°F | 9 |
| 2022 | 37°F | 13 |
| 2023 | 40°F | 18 |
| 2024 | 41°F | 8 |
| 2025 | 41°F | 4 |
Checked against official climate averages for Warszawa-Okecie. How we check
Compare dates
| Typical conditions | Nov | Dec | Jan |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 46°F | 39°F | 36°F |
| Rain days | 8 | 11 | 14 |
| Overnight demand | 93% | 85% | 63% |
November: Warmer afternoons and fewer rain days than December. November guide →
January: Cooler afternoons and more rain days than December. January guide →
Overnight demand measures accommodation stays, not queues.
Yellow marks the top three months on the Balanced mix. December stays as your reference.
Hotel stays vary little through the year. March to October have a Weather score at least 1.0 point higher than December.
Your comparison
Overnight stays vary little through the year.
National hotel prices and local visitor demand suggest a little above usual. No measured regional room rate is available.
Read the November guide →| Typical conditions | December | November |
|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 39°F | 46°F |
| Nights | 30°F | 35°F |
| Rain days | 11 | 8 |
| Visitor season | Steady all year | Steady all year |
| Overall / 10 | 5.0 | 5.9 |
| Month rank | #11 | #9 |
| Month | Overall | Rank | High | Low | Rain days | Weather | Visitor season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 4.7 | #12 | 36°F | 26°F | 14 | 3.7 | Steady all year |
| February | 5.3 | #10 | 39°F | 26°F | 9 | 4.3 | Steady all year |
| March | 6.3 | #8 | 49°F | 31°F | 8 | 5.6 | Steady all year |
| April | 7.0 | #6 | 59°F | 39°F | 9 | 7.1 | Steady all year |
| May | 7.7 | #5 | 68°F | 47°F | 9 | 8.4 | Steady all year |
| June | 8.0 | #1 | 77°F | 55°F | 8 | 9.0 | Steady all year |
| July | 7.8 | #4 | 79°F | 57°F | 11 | 8.5 | Steady all year |
| August | 8.0 | #2 | 78°F | 57°F | 8 | 8.8 | Steady all year |
| September | 7.8 | #3 | 69°F | 49°F | 8 | 8.7 | Steady all year |
| October | 6.7 | #7 | 57°F | 41°F | 8 | 6.6 | Steady all year |
| November | 5.9 | #9 | 46°F | 35°F | 8 | 4.9 | Steady all year |
| December | 5.0 | #11 | 39°F | 30°F | 11 | 4.0 | Steady all year |
Near here
Nearby regions, nearest first. Distances are centre to centre, as the crow flies; they are not road distances or journey times.
MasoviaPoland · about 10 miles
Balanced Overall 5.7 · Fair weather, 39°F (4°C) · Busy season · Cost moderate
ŁódźPoland · about 80 miles
Balanced Overall 5.5 · Fair weather, 40°F (4°C) · Steady all year · Cost moderate
SilesiaPoland · about 160 miles
Balanced Overall 5.5 · Fair weather, 40°F (5°C) · Steady all year · Cost moderate
Kraków & Lesser Polandabout 170 miles
Balanced Overall 5.6 · Fair weather, 40°F (4°C) · Steady all year · Cost moderate
Gdańsk & PomeraniaPoland · about 190 miles
Balanced Overall 3.0 · Poor weather, 40°F (5°C) · Low season · Cost moderate
Elsewhere in Europe
Warsaw's weather ranks 34 of 41 city regions this month. These city regions outside Poland have clearly better weather on your dates, nearest first, each compared with Warsaw.
BelgradeSerbia · about 530 miles
Good weather (5.1): 7°F warmer afternoons, 2 fewer rain days, cheaper
BucharestRomania · about 580 miles
Good weather (5.0): 5°F warmer afternoons, 4 fewer rain days, cheaper
Milan, Lake Como & LombardyItaly · about 690 miles
Good weather (5.8): 9°F warmer afternoons, 5 fewer rain days
Bologna & Emilia-RomagnaItaly · about 700 miles
Good weather (6.0): 12°F warmer afternoons, 4 fewer rain days
Rome & LazioItaly · about 810 miles
Good weather (6.6): 18°F warmer afternoons
Hotel stays are steady all year here: this month is 85% of the busiest and about average. That counts overnight stays, not how busy the sights are.The figures cover the whole Warszawski stołeczny region, suburbs included. That means about 27,000 overnight visitors on a typical December night across the region, 66% of them from Poland itself. Rentals booked through Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor add up to 16,000 more: 59 for every 100 counted above. Some are the same properties counted twice.
| Climate suitability (HCI:Urban, 0–100) | 55 |
| How our weather was checked | Official climate averages for Warszawa-Okecie from the national weather service, every month: afternoon highs typically within 1°F (0.4°C), night lows within 1°F (0.3°C). |
| Tourist nights per 1,000 residents per day | 8 |
| Busiest month here | August · 10 |
| Visitors as share of people present | 0.8% |
| Rank among Europe's regions this month | 53rd percentile |
| Domestic share of nights | 66% |
| Platform rental nights per 100 counted nights | 59 |
| Visitor share if every platform night were extra | 1.3% |
| National hotel-price season | Poland historical 2024–2025 index: About usual (+1% vs its average month). Not a local room quote. |
| Population used | 3.3 million |
| Statistical region | PL91 · Warszawski stołeczny |
Crowds: Eurostat nights spent at tourist accommodation, by month and NUTS 2 region, 2024–2025 average. Overnight visitors per night is the month's nights divided by its days; the per-1,000 figure is Eurostat's, against each year's population. Platform rentals: Eurostat nights booked via Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor, 2024–2025 average, shown separately because some properties are in both counts. Weather: Holiday Climate Index computed from ERA5 reanalysis with daily highs, night lows and rain days corrected from open national weather-service station records, 2011–2025, population-weighted to the region; day-by-day figures are the same data averaged by date. Heat and rain odds are counted across those years. Sunrise and sunset: NOAA solar equations, local time. Prices: Eurostat price level index and HICP, national. Full method · this region's data.