Early February 1 February
36°F
Typical afternoon high
41% historical wet-day frequency
Poland · City
Is February a good time?
February averages 39°F afternoons, with about 9 rain days. Later February is typically warmer.
Historical Warszawski stołeczny regional averages, not a forecast or a measure of queues. Overnight demand compares average stays per day.
What matters most?
Weather 50% · Crowds 30% · Cost 20%
#10 of 12 months here · Balanced mix
Overall combines weather, overnight demand and cost. It does not include sea temperature.
Plan your February
Afternoons around 39°F (4°C): a warm coat; nights around 26°F (−4°C): a winter coat, hat and gloves. Bring rain gear: about 9 days with at least 1 mm of rain. About 10 hours of daylight.
The sun rises about 06:53 and sets about 16:46 (local time, mid-month). Mornings start around 26°F (−4°C); afternoons reach about 39°F (4°C). Expect rain on about 9 days in a typical February.
Early, middle or late?
Late February is typically warmer. The afternoon high averages 36°F on the 1st, versus 44°F on the 28th. Historical wet-day frequency falls from 41% to 27% between those dates.
36°F
Typical afternoon high
41% historical wet-day frequency
39°F
Typical afternoon high
30% historical wet-day frequency
44°F
Typical afternoon high
27% historical wet-day frequency
Historical daily averages from 2011–2025, smoothed over two weeks. A seasonal pattern, not a forecast. This does not establish which week has the lowest prices or fewest visitors.
Weather shows historical patterns, not a forecast. Holidays and events use the dates shown for 2027.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 136° | 236° | 336° | 437° | 536° | 637° | 737° |
| 837° | 937° | 1038° | 1138° | 1238° | 1338° | 1439° |
| 1539° | 1640° | 1740° | 1840° | 1941° | 2041° | 2142° |
| 2242° | 2342° | 2442° | 2543° | 2643° | 2743° | 2844° |
Afternoon high rain likely (25%+) local school holidays public holiday event
Afternoons warm from about 36°F (2°C) in the first week to 43°F (6°C) in the last. The chance of a wet day runs 27–41%. Local schools are out 1–14 February 2027.
Schools here are off 1–14 February 2027 (winter holidays). Other school-holiday dates this month may be missing. Elsewhere in February 2027, the share of people living where schools are out on a typical day: France 42%, Netherlands 46%, Belgium 25%, Czechia 18%. (School holidays: OpenHolidays, ODbL.)
Visitor season
Steady all year. February averages 71% of August's overnight stays per day. Overnight demand varies little across the year.
Overnight stays across Warszawski stołeczny do not measure queues, day visitors or congestion at individual sights.
Hotel price season
About usual. Estimated from national hotel prices and local visitor demand; no measured regional room rate is available.
Fewer overnight stays do not automatically mean cheaper rooms. Check actual quotes for your trip.
Year-to-year variation
In the 15 years from 2011 to 2025, the month's afternoons averaged between 27°F (−3°C) and 48°F (9°C); in 4 of them they were within 3°F (1.5°C) of the typical 39°F (4°C). Rain days ranged from 2 to 19; half the years had 5–15.
Rain days in each February
| Year | Afternoon high | Rain days |
|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 31°F | 10 |
| 2012 | 27°F | 9 |
| 2013 | 36°F | 8 |
| 2014 | 44°F | 5 |
| 2015 | 42°F | 4 |
| 2016 | 44°F | 15 |
| 2017 | 37°F | 11 |
| 2018 | 33°F | 3 |
| 2019 | 44°F | 6 |
| 2020 | 46°F | 15 |
| 2021 | 35°F | 7 |
| 2022 | 44°F | 16 |
| 2023 | 40°F | 10 |
| 2024 | 48°F | 19 |
| 2025 | 39°F | 2 |
Checked against official climate averages for Warszawa-Okecie. How we check
Compare dates
| Typical conditions | Jan | Feb | Mar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 36°F | 39°F | 49°F |
| Rain days | 14 | 9 | 8 |
| Overnight demand | 63% | 71% | 74% |
January: Cooler afternoons and more rain days than February. January guide →
March: Warmer afternoons than February. March guide →
Overnight demand measures accommodation stays, not queues.
Yellow marks the top three months on the Balanced mix. February stays as your reference.
Hotel stays vary little through the year. March to October have a Weather score at least 1.0 point higher than February.
Your comparison
Overnight stays vary little through the year.
National hotel prices and local visitor demand suggest about usual. No measured regional room rate is available.
Read the January guide →| Typical conditions | February | January |
|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 39°F | 36°F |
| Nights | 26°F | 26°F |
| Rain days | 9 | 14 |
| Visitor season | Steady all year | Steady all year |
| Overall / 10 | 5.3 | 4.7 |
| Month rank | #10 | #12 |
| Month | Overall | Rank | High | Low | Rain days | Weather | Visitor season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 4.7 | #12 | 36°F | 26°F | 14 | 3.7 | Steady all year |
| February | 5.3 | #10 | 39°F | 26°F | 9 | 4.3 | Steady all year |
| March | 6.3 | #8 | 49°F | 31°F | 8 | 5.6 | Steady all year |
| April | 7.0 | #6 | 59°F | 39°F | 9 | 7.1 | Steady all year |
| May | 7.7 | #5 | 68°F | 47°F | 9 | 8.4 | Steady all year |
| June | 8.0 | #1 | 77°F | 55°F | 8 | 9.0 | Steady all year |
| July | 7.8 | #4 | 79°F | 57°F | 11 | 8.5 | Steady all year |
| August | 8.0 | #2 | 78°F | 57°F | 8 | 8.8 | Steady all year |
| September | 7.8 | #3 | 69°F | 49°F | 8 | 8.7 | Steady all year |
| October | 6.7 | #7 | 57°F | 41°F | 8 | 6.6 | Steady all year |
| November | 5.9 | #9 | 46°F | 35°F | 8 | 4.9 | Steady all year |
| December | 5.0 | #11 | 39°F | 30°F | 11 | 4.0 | Steady all year |
Near here
Nearby regions, nearest first. Distances are centre to centre, as the crow flies; they are not road distances or journey times.
MasoviaPoland · about 10 miles
Balanced Overall 6.2 · Fair weather, 39°F (4°C) · Moderate season · Cost moderate
ŁódźPoland · about 80 miles
Balanced Overall 5.7 · Fair weather, 40°F (4°C) · Steady all year · Cost moderate
SilesiaPoland · about 160 miles
Balanced Overall 5.6 · Fair weather, 41°F (5°C) · Steady all year · Cost moderate
Kraków & Lesser Polandabout 170 miles
Balanced Overall 5.7 · Fair weather, 41°F (5°C) · Steady all year · Cost moderate
Gdańsk & PomeraniaPoland · about 190 miles
Balanced Overall 3.0 · Poor weather, 39°F (4°C) · Low season · Cost moderate
Elsewhere in Europe
Warsaw's weather ranks 35 of 41 city regions this month. These city regions outside Poland have clearly better weather on your dates, nearest first, each compared with Warsaw.
ViennaAustria · about 350 miles
Good weather (5.3): 6°F warmer afternoons, 2 fewer rain days
BelgradeSerbia · about 530 miles
Good weather (5.6): 9°F warmer afternoons, cheaper
BucharestRomania · about 580 miles
Good weather (5.4): 6°F warmer afternoons, 3 fewer rain days, cheaper
Milan, Lake Como & LombardyItaly · about 690 miles
Good weather (5.8): 12°F warmer afternoons, 3 fewer rain days, pricier
Bologna & Emilia-RomagnaItaly · about 700 miles
Good weather (5.9): 14°F warmer afternoons, pricier
Hotel stays are steady all year here: this month is 71% of the busiest and 17% below average. That counts overnight stays, not how busy the sights are.The figures cover the whole Warszawski stołeczny region, suburbs included. That means about 23,000 overnight visitors on a typical February night across the region, 72% of them from Poland itself. Rentals booked through Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor add up to 12,000 more: 53 for every 100 counted above. Some are the same properties counted twice.
| Climate suitability (HCI:Urban, 0–100) | 56 |
| How our weather was checked | Official climate averages for Warszawa-Okecie from the national weather service, every month: afternoon highs typically within 1°F (0.4°C), night lows within 1°F (0.3°C). |
| Tourist nights per 1,000 residents per day | 7 |
| Busiest month here | August · 10 |
| Visitors as share of people present | 0.7% |
| Rank among Europe's regions this month | 41st percentile |
| Domestic share of nights | 72% |
| Platform rental nights per 100 counted nights | 53 |
| Visitor share if every platform night were extra | 1.0% |
| National hotel-price season | Poland historical 2024–2025 index: About usual (−4% vs its average month). Not a local room quote. |
| Population used | 3.3 million |
| Statistical region | PL91 · Warszawski stołeczny |
Crowds: Eurostat nights spent at tourist accommodation, by month and NUTS 2 region, 2024–2025 average. Overnight visitors per night is the month's nights divided by its days; the per-1,000 figure is Eurostat's, against each year's population. Platform rentals: Eurostat nights booked via Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor, 2024–2025 average, shown separately because some properties are in both counts. Weather: Holiday Climate Index computed from ERA5 reanalysis with daily highs, night lows and rain days corrected from open national weather-service station records, 2011–2025, population-weighted to the region; day-by-day figures are the same data averaged by date. Heat and rain odds are counted across those years. Sunrise and sunset: NOAA solar equations, local time. Prices: Eurostat price level index and HICP, national. Full method · this region's data.