Early January 1 January
32°F
Typical afternoon high
38% historical wet-day frequency
Sweden · Countryside
Dalarna & North Middle Sweden
in January.
Is January a good time?
Cold days.
More overnight stays than December.
January averages 31°F afternoons and 35°F seas, with about 9 rain days.
- Afternoons
- 31°F
- Sea
- 35°F
- Visitor demand
- 34%of July peak
Historical Norra Mellansverige regional averages, not a forecast or a measure of queues. Overnight demand compares average stays per day. Covers Dalarna; conditions vary within the region.
Overall match
5.5/10 · scores & prioritiesWhat matters most?
Weather 50% · Crowds 30% · Cost 20%
#12 of 12 months here · Balanced mix
Weather3.5/10Fair
CrowdsLow seasonvs its own year; overnight stays do not measure queuesFor its size, one of Europe's busiest this month
CostModeratefor Europe
Overall combines weather, overnight demand and cost. It does not include sea temperature.
Plan your January
What to expect.
What should I pack?
Afternoons around 31°F (−1°C): a winter coat, hat and gloves. Bring rain gear: about 9 days with at least 1 mm of rain. About 6 hours of daylight.
Can I swim in January?
The sea averages 35°F. Our swimming guide: very cold: wetsuit weather. Your comfort will vary. This is open water near the coast, not a beach-specific reading.
Monthly coastal averages from NOAA, 2011–2025. Sea temperature is separate from the weather and Overall scores.
A typical day: temperatures & daylightAfternoons, nights, sea temperature & daylight Show detailsHide details
About 6 hours of daylight.
The sun rises about 08:57 and sets about 15:25 (local time, mid-month). Mornings start around 21°F (−6°C); afternoons reach about 31°F (−1°C). Expect rain on about 9 days in a typical January.
Typical afternoon
31°F (−1°C)
average daily high, 15 recent Januarys
Night low
21°F (−6°C)
average daily minimum
Sea
35°F (2°C)
very cold; open water near the coast, NOAA satellite record 2011–2025
Daylight
6h 28m
on the 15th, computed from latitude
Early, middle or late?
Early or late January?
Early and late January have similar afternoon averages. The afternoon high averages 32°F on the 1st, versus 31°F on the 31st. Historical wet-day frequency falls from 38% to 30% between those dates.
Mid January 15 January
30°F
Typical afternoon high
31% historical wet-day frequency
Late January 31 January
31°F
Typical afternoon high
30% historical wet-day frequency
Historical daily averages from 2011–2025, smoothed over two weeks. A seasonal pattern, not a forecast. This does not establish which week has the lowest prices or fewest visitors.
Public holidays · 2027: 1 Jan New Year's Day; 6 Jan Epiphany.
Daily calendar & holiday datesJanuary 2027 · historical weather & dated holidays Show calendarHide calendar
January 2027 calendar
Weather shows historical patterns, not a forecast. Holidays and events use the dates shown for 2027.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 132° | 232° | 332° | ||||
| 432° | 532° | 631° | 731° | 830° | 930° | 1030° |
| 1130° | 1230° | 1330° | 1430° | 1530° | 1630° | 1730° |
| 1830° | 1930° | 2030° | 2130° | 2231° | 2331° | 2431° |
| 2531° | 2631° | 2731° | 2831° | 2931° | 3031° | 3131° |
Afternoon high rain likely (25%+) local school holidays public holiday event
Afternoons hold at about 31°F (−1°C) all month. The chance of a wet day runs 25–40%.
School-holiday dates for January 2027 aren't available in our data yet. A day without a school marker doesn't mean schools are open. Public holidays: 1 Jan New Year's Day; 6 Jan Epiphany. Elsewhere in January 2027, the share of people living where schools are out on a typical day: Germany 21%, Spain 24%, Italy 20%, Poland 17%. (School holidays: OpenHolidays, ODbL.)
Crowds and cost
Visitor season
Will it be busy?
Low season. January averages 34% of July's overnight stays per day. More overnight stays than December.
Overnight stays across Norra Mellansverige do not measure queues, day visitors or congestion at individual sights. For its size, one of Europe's busiest this month.
Hotel price season
Will it be cheaper?
Well below usual. Historical regional hotel revenue (2025 annual level, adjusted by the 2024–2025 national hotel index): €32 per guest-night. A seasonal estimate, not a booking quote.
Fewer overnight stays do not automatically mean cheaper rooms. Check actual quotes for your trip.
Historical hotel average
€32
2025 annual level, adjusted by the 2024–2025 national hotel index; hotel revenue per guest-night; not a current booking quote. −13% vs this region's usual month.
Sweden as a whole
Above EU average
2024 restaurants and hotels price level: 117 where the EU average is 100. A relative index, not a room rate.
The historical regional amount comes from Tillväxtverket, Inkvarteringsstatistik 2025, table 1.1: accommodation revenue per guest-night (yearly, moved by the national hotel price swing); the country price level is national. Hotel averages are not live booking quotes.
Year-to-year variation
How much does January vary?
Across the recorded years
In the 15 years from 2011 to 2025, the month's afternoons averaged between 24°F (−5°C) and 41°F (5°C); in 7 of them they were within 3°F (1.5°C) of the typical 31°F (−1°C). Rain days ranged from 5 to 17; half the years had 8–13.
Rain days in each January
Rain days
9
at least 1 mm, typical year; about 14 in a wet year
Mostly sunny days
2 of 31
cloud cover under 30%
Years with a 95°F+ day
0 of 15
no January in the last 15 years had a day at or above 95°F (35°C)
Good weather days
0 of 31
rated very good or better
See every recorded JanuaryHistorical monthly averages, year by year Show detailsHide details
| Year | Afternoon high | Rain days |
|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 28°F | 8 |
| 2012 | 30°F | 9 |
| 2013 | 27°F | 7 |
| 2014 | 29°F | 14 |
| 2015 | 34°F | 17 |
| 2016 | 24°F | 10 |
| 2017 | 33°F | 5 |
| 2018 | 31°F | 13 |
| 2019 | 29°F | 8 |
| 2020 | 41°F | 10 |
| 2021 | 28°F | 9 |
| 2022 | 34°F | 9 |
| 2023 | 34°F | 14 |
| 2024 | 26°F | 9 |
| 2025 | 33°F | 11 |
Checked against 30 local weather stations. How we check
Compare dates
December, January
or February?
| Typical conditions | Dec | Jan | Feb |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 34°F | 31°F | 34°F |
| Sea | 38°F | 35°F | 34°F |
| Rain days | 12 | 9 | 7 |
| Overnight demand | 26% | 34% | 45% |
December: Warmer afternoons, warmer sea and more rain days than January. Less overnight demand. December guide →
February: Warmer afternoons and fewer rain days than January. More overnight demand. February guide →
Overnight demand measures accommodation stays, not queues. Sea temperatures are monthly coastal averages.
Compare any of the 12 monthsChoose another month and compare it with January Show comparisonHide comparison
Yellow marks the top three months on the Balanced mix. January stays as your reference.
March to May and September to October have a Weather score at least 1.0 point higher than January, without a substantially busier visitor season.
Your comparison
January or December?
Overnight stays are 26% of the busiest month.
Historical regional hotel revenue (2025 annual level, adjusted by the 2024–2025 national hotel index): €35 per guest-night. A seasonal estimate, not a booking quote.
Read the December guide →| Typical conditions | January | December |
|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 31°F | 34°F |
| Nights | 21°F | 25°F |
| Sea | 35°F | 38°F |
| Rain days | 9 | 12 |
| Visitor season | Low season | Low season |
| Overall / 10 | 5.5 | 5.7 |
| Month rank | #12 | #11 |
Every month, in detail Show detailsHide details
| Month | Overall | Rank | High | Low | Sea | Rain days | Weather | Visitor season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 5.5 | #12 | 31°F | 21°F | 35°F | 9 | 3.5 | Low season |
| February | 5.7 | #10 | 34°F | 22°F | 34°F | 7 | 4.0 | Moderate season |
| March | 6.4 | #8 | 42°F | 26°F | 34°F | 7 | 5.1 | Moderate season |
| April | 7.1 | #5 | 51°F | 32°F | 36°F | 5 | 6.0 | Low season |
| May | 7.6 | #3 | 62°F | 41°F | 43°F | 9 | 7.4 | Low season |
| June | 7.8 | #1 | 70°F | 50°F | 52°F | 10 | 8.6 | Moderate season |
| July | 6.8 | #6 | 73°F | 54°F | 60°F | 11 | 8.7 | Peak season |
| August | 7.6 | #2 | 69°F | 52°F | 61°F | 12 | 8.5 | Moderate season |
| September | 7.6 | #4 | 62°F | 45°F | 56°F | 8 | 7.2 | Low season |
| October | 6.7 | #7 | 50°F | 38°F | 48°F | 10 | 5.1 | Low season |
| November | 6.1 | #9 | 40°F | 31°F | 43°F | 9 | 4.1 | Low season |
| December | 5.7 | #11 | 34°F | 25°F | 38°F | 12 | 3.7 | Low season |
Near here
Nearby places in January
Nearby regions, nearest first. Distances are centre to centre, as the crow flies; they are not road distances or journey times.
East Middle Swedenabout 120 miles
Balanced Overall 3.0 · Poor weather, 33°F (1°C) · Low season · Cost pricey
InnlandetNorway · about 140 miles
Balanced Overall 5.2 · Fair weather, 25°F (−4°C) · Low season · Cost expensive
StockholmSweden · about 150 miles
Balanced Overall 4.7 · Fair weather, 34°F (1°C) · Moderate season · Cost expensive
Oslo & aroundNorway · about 160 miles
Balanced Overall 4.4 · Fair weather, 30°F (−1°C) · Moderate season · Cost expensive
Central NorrlandSweden · about 170 miles
Balanced Overall 3.0 · Poor weather, 27°F (−3°C) · Low season · Cost moderate
Elsewhere in Europe
Better January weather than Dalarna & North Middle Sweden
Dalarna & North Middle Sweden's weather ranks 108 of 117 countryside regions this month. These countryside regions outside Sweden have clearly better weather on your dates, nearest first, each compared with Dalarna & North Middle Sweden.
Lower Austriaabout 860 miles
Fair weather (4.5): 10°F warmer afternoons
Northern Hungaryabout 910 miles
Fair weather (4.6): 9°F warmer afternoons, cheaper
BurgenlandAustria · about 910 miles
Fair weather (4.8): 11°F warmer afternoons
Around BudapestPest county · Hungary · about 940 miles
Fair weather (4.8): 10°F warmer afternoons, cheaper
Western TransdanubiaHungary · about 940 miles
Fair weather (4.8): 12°F warmer afternoons, cheaper
How we knowSources, regional scope & scoring method Show detailsHide details
It's low season, 34% of the busiest month and 14% below its average month. That means about 15,000 overnight visitors on a typical January night across the region, 81% of them from Sweden itself. Rentals booked through Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor add up to 2,200 more: 15 for every 100 counted above. Some are the same properties counted twice.
| Climate suitability (HCI:Urban, 0–100) | 53 |
| How our weather was checked | 30 open weather stations in this region, January and July: afternoon highs typically within 1°F (0.1°C), night lows within 1°F (0.6°C). |
| Tourist nights per 1,000 residents per day | 17 |
| Busiest month here | July · 51 |
| Visitors as share of people present | 1.7% |
| Rank among Europe's regions this month | 90th percentile |
| Domestic share of nights | 81% |
| Platform rental nights per 100 counted nights | 15 |
| Visitor share if every platform night were extra | 2.0% |
| Population used | 854,000 |
| Statistical region | SE31 · Norra Mellansverige |
Crowds: Eurostat nights spent at tourist accommodation, by month and NUTS 2 region, 2024–2025 average. Overnight visitors per night is the month's nights divided by its days; the per-1,000 figure is Eurostat's, against each year's population. Platform rentals: Eurostat nights booked via Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor, 2024–2025 average, shown separately because some properties are in both counts. Weather: Holiday Climate Index computed from ERA5 reanalysis with daily highs, night lows and rain days corrected from open national weather-service station records, 2011–2025, population-weighted to the region; day-by-day figures are the same data averaged by date. Heat and rain odds are counted across those years. Sunrise and sunset: NOAA solar equations, local time. Prices: Eurostat price level index and HICP, national; the first figure is regional (Tillväxtverket, Inkvarteringsstatistik 2025, table 1.1: accommodation revenue per guest-night (yearly, moved by the national hotel price swing)). Full method · this region's data.