Early January 1 January
35°F
Typical afternoon high
38% historical wet-day frequency
Sweden · City
Is January a good time?
January averages 34°F afternoons and 38°F seas, with about 9 rain days.
Historical Stockholm regional averages, not a forecast or a measure of queues. Overnight demand compares average stays per day. Covers Stockholm archipelago; conditions vary within the region.
What matters most?
Weather 50% · Crowds 30% · Cost 20%
#12 of 12 months here · Balanced mix
Overall combines weather, overnight demand and cost. It does not include sea temperature.
Plan your January
Afternoons around 34°F (1°C): a winter coat, hat and gloves. Bring rain gear: about 9 days with at least 1 mm of rain. About 7 hours of daylight.
The sea averages 38°F. Our swimming guide: very cold: wetsuit weather. Your comfort will vary. This is open water near the coast, not a beach-specific reading.
Monthly coastal averages from NOAA, 2011–2025. Sea temperature is separate from the weather and Overall scores.
The sun rises about 08:32 and sets about 15:20 (local time, mid-month). Mornings start around 24°F (−4°C); afternoons reach about 34°F (1°C). Expect rain on about 9 days in a typical January.
Early, middle or late?
Early and late January have similar afternoon averages. The afternoon high averages 35°F on the 1st, versus 34°F on the 31st. Historical wet-day frequency falls from 38% to 30% between those dates.
35°F
Typical afternoon high
38% historical wet-day frequency
33°F
Typical afternoon high
30% historical wet-day frequency
34°F
Typical afternoon high
30% historical wet-day frequency
Historical daily averages from 2011–2025, smoothed over two weeks. A seasonal pattern, not a forecast. This does not establish which week has the lowest prices or fewest visitors.
Public holidays · 2027: 1 Jan New Year's Day; 6 Jan Epiphany.
Weather shows historical patterns, not a forecast. Holidays and events use the dates shown for 2027.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 135° | 235° | 335° | ||||
| 435° | 535° | 635° | 734° | 834° | 933° | 1033° |
| 1133° | 1233° | 1333° | 1433° | 1533° | 1633° | 1733° |
| 1833° | 1933° | 2033° | 2133° | 2233° | 2334° | 2434° |
| 2534° | 2634° | 2734° | 2834° | 2934° | 3034° | 3134° |
Afternoon high rain likely (25%+) local school holidays public holiday event
Afternoons hold at about 34°F (1°C) all month. The chance of a wet day runs 23–40%.
School-holiday dates for January 2027 aren't available in our data yet. A day without a school marker doesn't mean schools are open. Public holidays: 1 Jan New Year's Day; 6 Jan Epiphany. Elsewhere in January 2027, the share of people living where schools are out on a typical day: Germany 21%, Spain 24%, Italy 20%, Poland 17%. (School holidays: OpenHolidays, ODbL.)
Visitor season
Moderate season. January averages 48% of July's overnight stays per day. Fewer overnight stays than December.
Overnight stays across Stockholm do not measure queues, day visitors or congestion at individual sights.
Hotel price season
Well below usual. Historical regional hotel revenue (2025 annual level, adjusted by the 2024–2025 national hotel index): €67 per guest-night. A seasonal estimate, not a booking quote.
Fewer overnight stays do not automatically mean cheaper rooms. Check actual quotes for your trip.
The historical regional amount comes from Tillväxtverket, Inkvarteringsstatistik 2025, table 1.1: accommodation revenue per guest-night (yearly, moved by the national hotel price swing); the country price level is national. Hotel averages are not live booking quotes.
Year-to-year variation
In the 15 years from 2011 to 2025, the month's afternoons averaged between 28°F (−2°C) and 43°F (6°C); in 8 of them they were within 3°F (1.5°C) of the typical 34°F (1°C). Rain days ranged from 5 to 16; half the years had 8–11.
Rain days in each January
| Year | Afternoon high | Rain days |
|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 31°F | 8 |
| 2012 | 34°F | 9 |
| 2013 | 29°F | 7 |
| 2014 | 32°F | 11 |
| 2015 | 37°F | 16 |
| 2016 | 28°F | 8 |
| 2017 | 34°F | 5 |
| 2018 | 35°F | 8 |
| 2019 | 32°F | 9 |
| 2020 | 43°F | 5 |
| 2021 | 33°F | 13 |
| 2022 | 35°F | 10 |
| 2023 | 37°F | 14 |
| 2024 | 29°F | 11 |
| 2025 | 36°F | 11 |
Checked against 9 local weather stations. How we check
Compare dates
| Typical conditions | Dec | Jan | Feb |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 37°F | 34°F | 36°F |
| Sea | 41°F | 38°F | 36°F |
| Rain days | 12 | 9 | 9 |
| Overnight demand | 59% | 48% | 56% |
December: Warmer afternoons, warmer sea and more rain days than January. More overnight demand. December guide →
February: Warmer afternoons and cooler sea than January. More overnight demand. February guide →
Overnight demand measures accommodation stays, not queues. Sea temperatures are monthly coastal averages.
Yellow marks the top three months on the Balanced mix. January stays as your reference.
March to October have a Weather score at least 1.0 point higher than January, but more overnight stays.
Your comparison
Overnight stays are 59% of the busiest month.
Historical regional hotel revenue (2025 annual level, adjusted by the 2024–2025 national hotel index): €71 per guest-night. A seasonal estimate, not a booking quote.
Read the December guide →| Typical conditions | January | December |
|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 34°F | 37°F |
| Nights | 24°F | 29°F |
| Sea | 38°F | 41°F |
| Rain days | 9 | 12 |
| Visitor season | Moderate season | Moderate season |
| Overall / 10 | 4.7 | 5.0 |
| Month rank | #12 | #11 |
| Month | Overall | Rank | High | Low | Sea | Rain days | Weather | Visitor season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 4.7 | #12 | 34°F | 24°F | 38°F | 9 | 3.7 | Moderate season |
| February | 5.2 | #9 | 36°F | 24°F | 36°F | 9 | 4.2 | Moderate season |
| March | 5.6 | #7 | 42°F | 27°F | 36°F | 6 | 5.1 | Busy season |
| April | 5.9 | #6 | 51°F | 33°F | 38°F | 5 | 6.0 | Busy season |
| May | 5.9 | #5 | 61°F | 42°F | 45°F | 9 | 7.5 | Busy season |
| June | 6.6 | #1 | 69°F | 51°F | 54°F | 9 | 8.9 | Busy season |
| July | 6.3 | #2 | 73°F | 55°F | 61°F | 10 | 9.5 | Peak season |
| August | 6.2 | #3 | 71°F | 54°F | 63°F | 10 | 9.2 | Peak season |
| September | 6.2 | #4 | 63°F | 48°F | 58°F | 7 | 7.8 | Busy season |
| October | 5.2 | #8 | 52°F | 40°F | 51°F | 10 | 5.5 | Busy season |
| November | 5.0 | #10 | 43°F | 34°F | 46°F | 9 | 4.5 | Busy season |
| December | 5.0 | #11 | 37°F | 29°F | 41°F | 12 | 4.0 | Moderate season |
Near here
Nearby regions, nearest first. Distances are centre to centre, as the crow flies; they are not road distances or journey times.
East Middle Swedenabout 70 miles
Balanced Overall 3.0 · Poor weather, 33°F (1°C) · Low season · Cost pricey
ÅlandFinland · about 90 miles
Balanced Overall 3.0 · Poor weather, 36°F (2°C) · Off season · Cost pricey
Dalarna & North Middle Swedenabout 150 miles
Balanced Overall 5.5 · Fair weather, 31°F (−1°C) · Low season · Cost moderate
Småland & the islandsSweden · about 180 miles
Balanced Overall 4.9 · Fair weather, 36°F (2°C) · Off season · Cost moderate
Elsewhere in Europe
Stockholm's weather ranks 36 of 41 city regions this month. These city regions outside Sweden have clearly better weather on your dates, nearest first, each compared with Stockholm.
BudapestHungary · about 830 miles
Fair weather (4.8): 7°F warmer afternoons, cheaper
ZagrebCroatia · about 950 miles
Fair weather (4.9): 10°F warmer afternoons, cheaper
Milan, Lake Como & LombardyItaly · about 1020 miles
Good weather (5.7): 14°F warmer afternoons, 3 fewer rain days, cheaper
BelgradeSerbia · about 1030 miles
Fair weather (4.9): 10°F warmer afternoons, 2 more rain days, cheaper
Bologna & Emilia-RomagnaItaly · about 1070 miles
Good weather (5.7): 16°F warmer afternoons, 2 fewer rain days, quieter for its season (low season), cheaper
It's moderate season, 48% of the busiest month and 34% below its average month.The figures cover the whole Stockholm region, suburbs included. That means about 28,000 overnight visitors on a typical January night across the region, 71% of them from Sweden itself. Rentals booked through Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor add up to 2,100 more: 8 for every 100 counted above. Some are the same properties counted twice.
| Climate suitability (HCI:Urban, 0–100) | 54 |
| How our weather was checked | 9 open weather stations in this region, January and July: afternoon highs typically within 1°F (0.5°C), night lows within 1°F (0.6°C). |
| Tourist nights per 1,000 residents per day | 11 |
| Busiest month here | July · 24 |
| Visitors as share of people present | 1.1% |
| Rank among Europe's regions this month | 78th percentile |
| Domestic share of nights | 71% |
| Platform rental nights per 100 counted nights | 8 |
| Visitor share if every platform night were extra | 1.2% |
| Population used | 2.5 million |
| Statistical region | SE11 · Stockholm |
Crowds: Eurostat nights spent at tourist accommodation, by month and NUTS 2 region, 2024–2025 average. Overnight visitors per night is the month's nights divided by its days; the per-1,000 figure is Eurostat's, against each year's population. Platform rentals: Eurostat nights booked via Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor, 2024–2025 average, shown separately because some properties are in both counts. Weather: Holiday Climate Index computed from ERA5 reanalysis with daily highs, night lows and rain days corrected from open national weather-service station records, 2011–2025, population-weighted to the region; day-by-day figures are the same data averaged by date. Heat and rain odds are counted across those years. Sunrise and sunset: NOAA solar equations, local time. Prices: Eurostat price level index and HICP, national; the first figure is regional (Tillväxtverket, Inkvarteringsstatistik 2025, table 1.1: accommodation revenue per guest-night (yearly, moved by the national hotel price swing)). Full method · this region's data.