Early July 1 July
72°F
Typical afternoon high
37% historical wet-day frequency
Estonia · Beach
Is July a good time?
July averages 73°F afternoons and 64°F seas, with about 11 rain days. Later July is typically warmer.
Historical Eesti regional averages, not a forecast or a measure of queues. Overnight demand compares average stays per day. Covers Tallinn; conditions vary within the region.
What matters most?
Weather 50% · Crowds 30% · Cost 20%
#5 of 12 months here · Balanced mix
Overall combines weather, overnight demand and cost. It does not include sea temperature.
Plan your July
Afternoons around 73°F (23°C): T-shirt weather; nights around 56°F (14°C): a sweater and a light jacket. Bring rain gear: about 11 days with at least 1 mm of rain. About 18 hours of daylight.
The sea averages 64°F. Our swimming guide: fresh: fine once you are in. Your comfort will vary. This is open water near the coast, not a beach-specific reading.
Monthly coastal averages from NOAA, 2011–2025. Sea temperature is separate from the weather and Overall scores.
The sun rises about 04:31 and sets about 22:16 (local time, mid-month). Mornings start around 56°F (14°C); afternoons reach about 73°F (23°C). Expect rain on about 11 days in a typical July.
Early, middle or late?
Late July is typically warmer. The afternoon high averages 72°F on the 1st, versus 74°F on the 31st.
72°F
Typical afternoon high
37% historical wet-day frequency
73°F
Typical afternoon high
36% historical wet-day frequency
74°F
Typical afternoon high
36% historical wet-day frequency
Historical daily averages from 2011–2025, smoothed over two weeks. A seasonal pattern, not a forecast. This does not establish which week has the lowest prices or fewest visitors.
Weather shows historical patterns, not a forecast. Holidays and events use the dates shown for 2027.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 172° | 272° | 372° | 472° | |||
| 572° | 672° | 772° | 872° | 972° | 1072° | 1172° |
| 1272° | 1372° | 1473° | 1573° | 1673° | 1773° | 1873° |
| 1974° | 2074° | 2174° | 2274° | 2375° | 2475° | 2574° |
| 2674° | 2774° | 2874° | 2974° | 3074° | 3174° |
Afternoon high rain likely (25%+) local school holidays public holiday event
Afternoons warm from about 72°F (22°C) in the first week to 74°F (24°C) in the last. The chance of a wet day runs 31–39%. Local schools are out 1–31 July 2027.
Schools here are on summer holidays all of July 2027. Elsewhere in July 2027, the share of people living where schools are out on a typical day: Italy 100%, Spain 100%, Germany 54%, Netherlands 64%. (School holidays: OpenHolidays, ODbL.)
Visitor season
Peak season. July averages 100% of July's overnight stays per day. More overnight stays than June.
Overnight stays across Eesti do not measure queues, day visitors or congestion at individual sights. For its size, typical for Europe this month.
Hotel price season
Well above usual. Estimated from national hotel prices and local visitor demand; no measured regional room rate is available.
Fewer overnight stays do not automatically mean cheaper rooms. Check actual quotes for your trip.
Year-to-year variation
In the 15 years from 2011 to 2025, the month's afternoons averaged between 69°F (20°C) and 80°F (26°C); in 7 of them they were within 3°F (1.5°C) of the typical 73°F (23°C). Rain days ranged from 7 to 17; half the years had 8–15.
Rain days in each July
| Year | Afternoon high | Rain days |
|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 77°F | 12 |
| 2012 | 72°F | 11 |
| 2013 | 73°F | 8 |
| 2014 | 77°F | 8 |
| 2015 | 69°F | 16 |
| 2016 | 72°F | 11 |
| 2017 | 69°F | 8 |
| 2018 | 77°F | 8 |
| 2019 | 70°F | 10 |
| 2020 | 70°F | 15 |
| 2021 | 80°F | 7 |
| 2022 | 73°F | 12 |
| 2023 | 71°F | 15 |
| 2024 | 74°F | 17 |
| 2025 | 76°F | 13 |
Checked against official climate averages for Tallinn-Harku. How we check
Compare dates
| Typical conditions | Jun | Jul | Aug |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 70°F | 73°F | 71°F |
| Sea | 57°F | 64°F | 65°F |
| Rain days | 10 | 11 | 13 |
| Overnight demand | 76% | 100% | 87% |
June: Cooler afternoons and cooler sea than July. Less overnight demand. June guide →
August: Cooler afternoons and more rain days than July. Less overnight demand. August guide →
Overnight demand measures accommodation stays, not queues. Sea temperatures are monthly coastal averages.
Yellow marks the top three months on the Balanced mix. July stays as your reference.
June has fewer overnight stays than July, with a similar or higher Weather score.
Your comparison
Overnight stays are 76% of the busiest month.
National hotel prices and local visitor demand suggest well above usual. No measured regional room rate is available.
Read the June guide →| Typical conditions | July | June |
|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 73°F | 70°F |
| Nights | 56°F | 51°F |
| Sea | 64°F | 57°F |
| Rain days | 11 | 10 |
| Visitor season | Peak season | Busy season |
| Overall / 10 | 5.9 | 6.3 |
| Month rank | #5 | #1 |
| Month | Overall | Rank | High | Low | Sea | Rain days | Weather | Visitor season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 3.0 | #7 | 30°F | 21°F | 37°F | 13 | 1.0 | Moderate season |
| February | 3.0 | #8 | 32°F | 21°F | 34°F | 9 | 1.0 | Moderate season |
| March | 3.0 | #9 | 39°F | 25°F | 34°F | 7 | 1.0 | Moderate season |
| April | 3.9 | #6 | 50°F | 33°F | 38°F | 9 | 1.9 | Moderate season |
| May | 6.2 | #2 | 61°F | 43°F | 47°F | 9 | 5.1 | Moderate season |
| June | 6.3 | #1 | 70°F | 51°F | 57°F | 10 | 7.0 | Busy season |
| July | 5.9 | #5 | 73°F | 56°F | 64°F | 11 | 7.5 | Peak season |
| August | 6.1 | #3 | 71°F | 55°F | 65°F | 13 | 6.8 | Peak season |
| September | 6.1 | #4 | 63°F | 48°F | 60°F | 10 | 4.7 | Moderate season |
| October | 3.0 | #10 | 50°F | 39°F | 53°F | 11 | 1.0 | Moderate season |
| November | 3.0 | #11 | 41°F | 33°F | 47°F | 13 | 1.0 | Moderate season |
| December | 3.0 | #12 | 35°F | 27°F | 42°F | 14 | 1.0 | Moderate season |
Near here
Nearby regions, nearest first. Distances are centre to centre, as the crow flies; they are not road distances or journey times.
HelsinkiHelsinki-Uusimaa · Finland · about 120 miles
Balanced Overall 7.5 · Excellent weather, 73°F (23°C) · Steady all year · Cost pricey
Latviaabout 130 miles
Balanced Overall 6.2 · Very good weather, 75°F (24°C) · Peak season · Cost moderate
Southern Finlandabout 160 miles
Balanced Overall 5.7 · Very good weather, 73°F (23°C) · Peak season · Cost pricey
Elsewhere in Europe
Estonia's weather ranks 58 of 77 beach regions this month. These beach regions outside Estonia have clearly better weather on your dates, nearest first, each compared with Estonia.
Friuli Venezia GiuliaItaly · about 1010 miles
Very good weather (8.9): 12°F warmer afternoons, 5 fewer rain days
Varna & the northern Black Sea coastBulgaria · about 1060 miles
Excellent weather (10.0): 12°F warmer afternoons, 6 fewer rain days, cheaper
Venice & the VenetoItaly · about 1070 miles
Very good weather (8.7): 13°F warmer afternoons, 3 fewer rain days
Croatia's coastSplit, Dubrovnik · Croatia · about 1080 miles
Excellent weather (9.9): 13°F warmer afternoons, 8 fewer rain days
MarcheItaly · about 1180 miles
Excellent weather (9.9): 14°F warmer afternoons, 8 fewer rain days, quieter for its season (busy season)
It's peak season, 100% of the busiest month and 67% above its average month. That means about 31,000 overnight visitors on a typical July night across the region, 44% of them from Estonia itself. Rentals booked through Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor add up to 12,000 more: 39 for every 100 counted above. Some are the same properties counted twice.
| Climate suitability (HCI:Beach, 0–100) | 73 |
| How our weather was checked | Official climate averages for Tallinn-Harku from the national weather service, every month: afternoon highs typically within 1°F (0.5°C), night lows within 1°F (0.5°C). |
| Tourist nights per 1,000 residents per day | 22 |
| Busiest month here | July · 22 |
| Visitors as share of people present | 2.2% |
| Rank among Europe's regions this month | 49th percentile |
| Domestic share of nights | 44% |
| Platform rental nights per 100 counted nights | 39 |
| Visitor share if every platform night were extra | 3.0% |
| National hotel-price season | Estonia historical 2024–2025 index: Well above usual (+23% vs its average month). Not a local room quote. |
| Population used | 1.4 million |
| Statistical region | EE00 · Eesti |
Crowds: Eurostat nights spent at tourist accommodation, by month and NUTS 2 region, 2024–2025 average. Overnight visitors per night is the month's nights divided by its days; the per-1,000 figure is Eurostat's, against each year's population. Platform rentals: Eurostat nights booked via Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor, 2024–2025 average, shown separately because some properties are in both counts. Weather: Holiday Climate Index computed from ERA5 reanalysis with daily highs, night lows and rain days corrected from open national weather-service station records, 2011–2025, population-weighted to the region; day-by-day figures are the same data averaged by date. Heat and rain odds are counted across those years. Sunrise and sunset: NOAA solar equations, local time. Prices: Eurostat price level index and HICP, national. Full method · this region's data.