Early March 1 March
35°F
Typical afternoon high
27% historical wet-day frequency
Estonia · Beach
Is March a good time?
March averages 39°F afternoons and 34°F seas, with about 7 rain days. Later March is typically warmer.
Historical Eesti regional averages, not a forecast or a measure of queues. Overnight demand compares average stays per day. Covers Tallinn; conditions vary within the region.
What matters most?
Weather 50% · Crowds 30% · Cost 20%
#9 of 12 months here · Balanced mix
Overall combines weather, overnight demand and cost. It does not include sea temperature.
Plan your March
Afternoons around 39°F (4°C): a warm coat; nights around 25°F (−4°C): a winter coat, hat and gloves. About 12 hours of daylight. About 7 rain days in a typical March.
The sea averages 34°F. Our swimming guide: very cold: wetsuit weather. Your comfort will vary. This is open water near the coast, not a beach-specific reading.
Monthly coastal averages from NOAA, 2011–2025. Sea temperature is separate from the weather and Overall scores.
The sun rises about 06:37 and sets about 18:18 (local time, mid-month). Mornings start around 25°F (−4°C); afternoons reach about 39°F (4°C). Expect rain on about 7 days in a typical March.
Early, middle or late?
Late March is typically warmer. The afternoon high averages 35°F on the 1st, versus 44°F on the 31st.
35°F
Typical afternoon high
27% historical wet-day frequency
38°F
Typical afternoon high
26% historical wet-day frequency
44°F
Typical afternoon high
26% historical wet-day frequency
Historical daily averages from 2011–2025, smoothed over two weeks. A seasonal pattern, not a forecast. This does not establish which week has the lowest prices or fewest visitors.
Public holidays · 2027: 26 Mar Good Friday; 28 Mar Easter Sunday.
Weather shows historical patterns, not a forecast. Holidays and events use the dates shown for 2027.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 135° | 235° | 335° | 436° | 536° | 636° | 737° |
| 837° | 937° | 1037° | 1137° | 1238° | 1338° | 1438° |
| 1538° | 1639° | 1739° | 1840° | 1940° | 2040° | 2141° |
| 2241° | 2341° | 2441° | 2542° | 2642° | 2742° | 2842° |
| 2943° | 3043° | 3144° |
Afternoon high rain likely (25%+) local school holidays public holiday event
Afternoons warm from about 36°F (2°C) in the first week to 42°F (6°C) in the last. The chance of a wet day runs 24–27%.
No school holidays here in March 2027. Public holidays: 26 Mar Good Friday; 28 Mar Easter Sunday. Elsewhere in March 2027, the share of people living where schools are out on a typical day: Germany 27%, Spain 30%, Italy 19%, France 10%. (School holidays: OpenHolidays, ODbL.)
Visitor season
Moderate season. March averages 44% of July's overnight stays per day. Similar overnight stays to February.
Overnight stays across Eesti do not measure queues, day visitors or congestion at individual sights. For its size, typical for Europe this month.
Hotel price season
Well below usual. Estimated from national hotel prices and local visitor demand; no measured regional room rate is available.
Fewer overnight stays do not automatically mean cheaper rooms. Check actual quotes for your trip.
Year-to-year variation
In the 15 years from 2011 to 2025, the month's afternoons averaged between 28°F (−2°C) and 45°F (7°C); in 7 of them they were within 3°F (1.5°C) of the typical 39°F (4°C). Rain days ranged from 3 to 16; half the years had 5–9.
Rain days in each March
| Year | Afternoon high | Rain days |
|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 35°F | 5 |
| 2012 | 38°F | 9 |
| 2013 | 28°F | 3 |
| 2014 | 43°F | 7 |
| 2015 | 43°F | 9 |
| 2016 | 38°F | 5 |
| 2017 | 40°F | 10 |
| 2018 | 33°F | 3 |
| 2019 | 40°F | 16 |
| 2020 | 43°F | 9 |
| 2021 | 39°F | 8 |
| 2022 | 41°F | 3 |
| 2023 | 38°F | 13 |
| 2024 | 43°F | 7 |
| 2025 | 45°F | 6 |
Checked against official climate averages for Tallinn-Harku. How we check
Compare dates
| Typical conditions | Feb | Mar | Apr |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 32°F | 39°F | 50°F |
| Sea | 34°F | 34°F | 38°F |
| Rain days | 9 | 7 | 9 |
| Overnight demand | 47% | 44% | 49% |
February: Cooler afternoons and more rain days than March. February guide →
April: Warmer afternoons, warmer sea and more rain days than March. More overnight demand. April guide →
Overnight demand measures accommodation stays, not queues. Sea temperatures are monthly coastal averages.
Yellow marks the top three months on the Balanced mix. March stays as your reference.
May to September have a Weather score at least 1.0 point higher than March, but more overnight stays.
Your comparison
Overnight stays are 47% of the busiest month.
National hotel prices and local visitor demand suggest well below usual. No measured regional room rate is available.
Read the February guide →| Typical conditions | March | February |
|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 39°F | 32°F |
| Nights | 25°F | 21°F |
| Sea | 34°F | 34°F |
| Rain days | 7 | 9 |
| Visitor season | Moderate season | Moderate season |
| Overall / 10 | 3.0 | 3.0 |
| Month rank | #9 | #8 |
| Month | Overall | Rank | High | Low | Sea | Rain days | Weather | Visitor season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 3.0 | #7 | 30°F | 21°F | 37°F | 13 | 1.0 | Moderate season |
| February | 3.0 | #8 | 32°F | 21°F | 34°F | 9 | 1.0 | Moderate season |
| March | 3.0 | #9 | 39°F | 25°F | 34°F | 7 | 1.0 | Moderate season |
| April | 3.9 | #6 | 50°F | 33°F | 38°F | 9 | 1.9 | Moderate season |
| May | 6.2 | #2 | 61°F | 43°F | 47°F | 9 | 5.1 | Moderate season |
| June | 6.3 | #1 | 70°F | 51°F | 57°F | 10 | 7.0 | Busy season |
| July | 5.9 | #5 | 73°F | 56°F | 64°F | 11 | 7.5 | Peak season |
| August | 6.1 | #3 | 71°F | 55°F | 65°F | 13 | 6.8 | Peak season |
| September | 6.1 | #4 | 63°F | 48°F | 60°F | 10 | 4.7 | Moderate season |
| October | 3.0 | #10 | 50°F | 39°F | 53°F | 11 | 1.0 | Moderate season |
| November | 3.0 | #11 | 41°F | 33°F | 47°F | 13 | 1.0 | Moderate season |
| December | 3.0 | #12 | 35°F | 27°F | 42°F | 14 | 1.0 | Moderate season |
Near here
Nearby regions, nearest first. Distances are centre to centre, as the crow flies; they are not road distances or journey times.
HelsinkiHelsinki-Uusimaa · Finland · about 120 miles
Balanced Overall 5.3 · Fair weather, 37°F (3°C) · Steady all year · Cost pricey
Latviaabout 130 miles
Balanced Overall 3.0 · Poor weather, 42°F (6°C) · Moderate season · Cost cheap
Southern Finlandabout 160 miles
Balanced Overall 3.0 · Poor weather, 37°F (3°C) · Moderate season · Cost pricey
Elsewhere in Europe
Estonia's weather ranks 74 of 77 beach regions this month. These beach regions outside Estonia have clearly better weather on your dates, nearest first, each compared with Estonia.
ZeelandNetherlands · about 990 miles
Poor weather (2.2): 14°F warmer afternoons, 3 more rain days, quieter for its season (low season), pricier
Friuli Venezia GiuliaItaly · about 1010 miles
Fair weather (3.5): 19°F warmer afternoons, quieter for its season (low season), pricier
Bruges & the Belgian coastWest Flanders · Belgium · about 1030 miles
Poor weather (2.2): 14°F warmer afternoons, 3 more rain days, pricier
Venice & the VenetoItaly · about 1070 miles
Fair weather (4.2): 20°F warmer afternoons, 2 fewer rain days, quieter for its season (low season), pricier
Lille & the north coastFrance · about 1070 miles
Poor weather (2.4): 15°F warmer afternoons, 3 more rain days, pricier
It's moderate season, 44% of the busiest month and 27% below its average month. That means about 13,000 overnight visitors on a typical March night across the region, 46% of them from Estonia itself. Rentals booked through Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor add up to 2,800 more: 21 for every 100 counted above. Some are the same properties counted twice.
| Climate suitability (HCI:Beach, 0–100) | 39 |
| How our weather was checked | Official climate averages for Tallinn-Harku from the national weather service, every month: afternoon highs typically within 1°F (0.5°C), night lows within 1°F (0.5°C). |
| Tourist nights per 1,000 residents per day | 10 |
| Busiest month here | July · 22 |
| Visitors as share of people present | 1.0% |
| Rank among Europe's regions this month | 58th percentile |
| Domestic share of nights | 46% |
| Platform rental nights per 100 counted nights | 21 |
| Visitor share if every platform night were extra | 1.2% |
| National hotel-price season | Estonia historical 2024–2025 index: Well below usual (−15% vs its average month). Not a local room quote. |
| Population used | 1.4 million |
| Statistical region | EE00 · Eesti |
Crowds: Eurostat nights spent at tourist accommodation, by month and NUTS 2 region, 2024–2025 average. Overnight visitors per night is the month's nights divided by its days; the per-1,000 figure is Eurostat's, against each year's population. Platform rentals: Eurostat nights booked via Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor, 2024–2025 average, shown separately because some properties are in both counts. Weather: Holiday Climate Index computed from ERA5 reanalysis with daily highs, night lows and rain days corrected from open national weather-service station records, 2011–2025, population-weighted to the region; day-by-day figures are the same data averaged by date. Heat and rain odds are counted across those years. Sunrise and sunset: NOAA solar equations, local time. Prices: Eurostat price level index and HICP, national. Full method · this region's data.