Early January 1 January
33°F
Typical afternoon high
45% historical wet-day frequency
Estonia · Beach
Estonia
in January.
Is January a good time?
Cold days.
Fewer overnight stays than December.
January averages 30°F afternoons and 37°F seas, with about 13 rain days.
- Afternoons
- 30°F
- Sea
- 37°F
- Visitor demand
- 38%of July peak
Historical Eesti regional averages, not a forecast or a measure of queues. Overnight demand compares average stays per day. Covers Tallinn; conditions vary within the region.
Overall match
3.0/10 · scores & prioritiesWhat matters most?
Weather 50% · Crowds 30% · Cost 20%
#7 of 12 months here · Balanced mix
Weather1.0/10Poor
CrowdsModerate seasonvs its own year; overnight stays do not measure queuesFor its size, typical for Europe this month
CostModeratefor Europe; Estonia-wide price level
Overall combines weather, overnight demand and cost. It does not include sea temperature.
Plan your January
What to expect.
What should I pack?
Afternoons around 30°F (−1°C): a winter coat, hat and gloves. Bring rain gear: about 13 days with at least 1 mm of rain. About 7 hours of daylight.
Can I swim in January?
The sea averages 37°F. Our swimming guide: very cold: wetsuit weather. Your comfort will vary. This is open water near the coast, not a beach-specific reading.
Monthly coastal averages from NOAA, 2011–2025. Sea temperature is separate from the weather and Overall scores.
A typical day: temperatures & daylightAfternoons, nights, sea temperature & daylight Show detailsHide details
About 7 hours of daylight.
The sun rises about 08:57 and sets about 15:56 (local time, mid-month). Mornings start around 21°F (−6°C); afternoons reach about 30°F (−1°C). Expect rain on about 13 days in a typical January.
Typical afternoon
30°F (−1°C)
average daily high, 15 recent Januarys
Night low
21°F (−6°C)
average daily minimum
Sea
37°F (3°C)
very cold; open water near the coast, NOAA satellite record 2011–2025
Daylight
7h 00m
on the 15th, computed from latitude
Early, middle or late?
Early or late January?
Early and late January have similar afternoon averages. The afternoon high averages 33°F on the 1st, versus 31°F on the 31st.
Mid January 15 January
30°F
Typical afternoon high
41% historical wet-day frequency
Late January 31 January
31°F
Typical afternoon high
43% historical wet-day frequency
Historical daily averages from 2011–2025, smoothed over two weeks. A seasonal pattern, not a forecast. This does not establish which week has the lowest prices or fewest visitors.
Public holidays · 2027: 1 Jan New Year's Day.
Daily calendar & holiday datesJanuary 2027 · historical weather & dated holidays Show calendarHide calendar
January 2027 calendar
Weather shows historical patterns, not a forecast. Holidays and events use the dates shown for 2027.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 133° | 232° | 332° | ||||
| 431° | 531° | 631° | 731° | 830° | 930° | 1030° |
| 1130° | 1230° | 1330° | 1430° | 1530° | 1630° | 1730° |
| 1830° | 1930° | 2030° | 2130° | 2230° | 2330° | 2431° |
| 2531° | 2631° | 2731° | 2831° | 2931° | 3031° | 3131° |
Afternoon high rain likely (25%+) local school holidays public holiday event
Afternoons hold at about 30°F (−1°C) all month. The chance of a wet day runs 36–49%. Local schools are out 1–10 January 2027.
Schools here are off 1–10 January 2027 (Christmas holidays). Public holidays: 1 Jan New Year's Day. Elsewhere in January 2027, the share of people living where schools are out on a typical day: Germany 21%, Spain 24%, Italy 20%, Poland 17%. (School holidays: OpenHolidays, ODbL.)
Crowds and cost
Visitor season
Will it be busy?
Moderate season. January averages 38% of July's overnight stays per day. Fewer overnight stays than December.
Overnight stays across Eesti do not measure queues, day visitors or congestion at individual sights. For its size, typical for Europe this month.
Hotel price season
Will it be cheaper?
Well below usual. Estimated from national hotel prices and local visitor demand; no measured regional room rate is available.
Fewer overnight stays do not automatically mean cheaper rooms. Check actual quotes for your trip.
Estonia as a whole
Near EU average
2024 restaurants and hotels price level: 98 where the EU average is 100. A relative index, not a room rate.
Year-to-year variation
How much does January vary?
Across the recorded years
In the 15 years from 2011 to 2025, the month's afternoons averaged between 22°F (−6°C) and 41°F (5°C); in 6 of them they were within 3°F (1.5°C) of the typical 30°F (−1°C). Rain days ranged from 6 to 19; half the years had 10–16.
Rain days in each January
Rain days
13
at least 1 mm, typical year; about 18 in a wet year
Mostly sunny days
1 of 31
cloud cover under 30%
Years with a 95°F+ day
0 of 15
no January in the last 15 years had a day at or above 95°F (35°C)
Good weather days
0 of 31
rated very good or better
See every recorded JanuaryHistorical monthly averages, year by year Show detailsHide details
| Year | Afternoon high | Rain days |
|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 29°F | 15 |
| 2012 | 28°F | 16 |
| 2013 | 27°F | 10 |
| 2014 | 25°F | 7 |
| 2015 | 34°F | 14 |
| 2016 | 22°F | 13 |
| 2017 | 32°F | 6 |
| 2018 | 33°F | 12 |
| 2019 | 28°F | 16 |
| 2020 | 41°F | 13 |
| 2021 | 30°F | 13 |
| 2022 | 32°F | 19 |
| 2023 | 33°F | 16 |
| 2024 | 25°F | 10 |
| 2025 | 36°F | 18 |
Checked against official climate averages for Tallinn-Harku. How we check
Compare dates
December, January
or February?
| Typical conditions | Dec | Jan | Feb |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 35°F | 30°F | 32°F |
| Sea | 42°F | 37°F | 34°F |
| Rain days | 14 | 13 | 9 |
| Overnight demand | 56% | 38% | 47% |
December: Warmer afternoons and warmer sea than January. More overnight demand. December guide →
February: Cooler sea and fewer rain days than January. More overnight demand. February guide →
Overnight demand measures accommodation stays, not queues. Sea temperatures are monthly coastal averages.
Compare any of the 12 monthsChoose another month and compare it with January Show comparisonHide comparison
Yellow marks the top three months on the Balanced mix. January stays as your reference.
May to September have a Weather score at least 1.0 point higher than January, but more overnight stays.
Your comparison
January or December?
Overnight stays are 56% of the busiest month.
National hotel prices and local visitor demand suggest a little below usual. No measured regional room rate is available.
Read the December guide →| Typical conditions | January | December |
|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 30°F | 35°F |
| Nights | 21°F | 27°F |
| Sea | 37°F | 42°F |
| Rain days | 13 | 14 |
| Visitor season | Moderate season | Moderate season |
| Overall / 10 | 3.0 | 3.0 |
| Month rank | #7 | #12 |
Every month, in detail Show detailsHide details
| Month | Overall | Rank | High | Low | Sea | Rain days | Weather | Visitor season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 3.0 | #7 | 30°F | 21°F | 37°F | 13 | 1.0 | Moderate season |
| February | 3.0 | #8 | 32°F | 21°F | 34°F | 9 | 1.0 | Moderate season |
| March | 3.0 | #9 | 39°F | 25°F | 34°F | 7 | 1.0 | Moderate season |
| April | 3.9 | #6 | 50°F | 33°F | 38°F | 9 | 1.9 | Moderate season |
| May | 6.2 | #2 | 61°F | 43°F | 47°F | 9 | 5.1 | Moderate season |
| June | 6.3 | #1 | 70°F | 51°F | 57°F | 10 | 7.0 | Busy season |
| July | 5.9 | #5 | 73°F | 56°F | 64°F | 11 | 7.5 | Peak season |
| August | 6.1 | #3 | 71°F | 55°F | 65°F | 13 | 6.8 | Peak season |
| September | 6.1 | #4 | 63°F | 48°F | 60°F | 10 | 4.7 | Moderate season |
| October | 3.0 | #10 | 50°F | 39°F | 53°F | 11 | 1.0 | Moderate season |
| November | 3.0 | #11 | 41°F | 33°F | 47°F | 13 | 1.0 | Moderate season |
| December | 3.0 | #12 | 35°F | 27°F | 42°F | 14 | 1.0 | Moderate season |
Near here
Nearby places in January
Nearby regions, nearest first. Distances are centre to centre, as the crow flies; they are not road distances or journey times.
HelsinkiHelsinki-Uusimaa · Finland · about 120 miles
Balanced Overall 3.9 · Poor weather, 29°F (−2°C) · Steady all year · Cost pricey
Latviaabout 130 miles
Balanced Overall 3.0 · Poor weather, 32°F (0°C) · Low season · Cost cheap
Southern Finlandabout 160 miles
Balanced Overall 3.0 · Poor weather, 28°F (−2°C) · Low season · Cost pricey
Elsewhere in Europe
Better January weather than Estonia
Estonia's weather ranks 77 of 77 beach regions this month. These beach regions outside Estonia have clearly better weather on your dates, nearest first, each compared with Estonia.
Liguria & the Cinque TerreItaly · about 1220 miles
Poor weather (2.1): 23°F warmer afternoons, 5 fewer rain days, quieter for its season (low season)
AbruzzoItaly · about 1240 miles
Poor weather (2.4): 22°F warmer afternoons, 5 fewer rain days, quieter for its season (low season), pricier
French Riviera & ProvenceFrance · about 1310 miles
Fair weather (3.2): 23°F warmer afternoons, 8 fewer rain days, quieter for its season (low season), pricier
Amalfi Coast & NaplesCampania · Italy · about 1320 miles
Poor weather (2.5): 25°F warmer afternoons, quieter for its season (low season), pricier
BasilicataItaly · about 1320 miles
Poor weather (2.2): 21°F warmer afternoons, 4 fewer rain days, quieter for its season (low season), pricier
How we knowSources, regional scope & scoring method Show detailsHide details
It's moderate season, 38% of the busiest month and 36% below its average month. That means about 12,000 overnight visitors on a typical January night across the region, 51% of them from Estonia itself. Rentals booked through Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor add up to 2,400 more: 21 for every 100 counted above. Some are the same properties counted twice.
| Climate suitability (HCI:Beach, 0–100) | 29 |
| How our weather was checked | Official climate averages for Tallinn-Harku from the national weather service, every month: afternoon highs typically within 1°F (0.5°C), night lows within 1°F (0.5°C). |
| Tourist nights per 1,000 residents per day | 8 |
| Busiest month here | July · 22 |
| Visitors as share of people present | 0.8% |
| Rank among Europe's regions this month | 66th percentile |
| Domestic share of nights | 51% |
| Platform rental nights per 100 counted nights | 21 |
| Visitor share if every platform night were extra | 1.0% |
| National hotel-price season | Estonia historical 2024–2025 index: Well below usual (−14% vs its average month). Not a local room quote. |
| Population used | 1.4 million |
| Statistical region | EE00 · Eesti |
Crowds: Eurostat nights spent at tourist accommodation, by month and NUTS 2 region, 2024–2025 average. Overnight visitors per night is the month's nights divided by its days; the per-1,000 figure is Eurostat's, against each year's population. Platform rentals: Eurostat nights booked via Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor, 2024–2025 average, shown separately because some properties are in both counts. Weather: Holiday Climate Index computed from ERA5 reanalysis with daily highs, night lows and rain days corrected from open national weather-service station records, 2011–2025, population-weighted to the region; day-by-day figures are the same data averaged by date. Heat and rain odds are counted across those years. Sunrise and sunset: NOAA solar equations, local time. Prices: Eurostat price level index and HICP, national. Full method · this region's data.