Early October 1 October
56°F
Typical afternoon high
36% historical wet-day frequency
Estonia · Beach
Estonia
in October.
Is October a good time?
Cool days.
Similar overnight stays to September.
October averages 50°F afternoons and 53°F seas, with about 11 rain days. Later October is typically cooler.
- Afternoons
- 50°F
- Sea
- 53°F
- Visitor demand
- 56%of July peak
Historical Eesti regional averages, not a forecast or a measure of queues. Overnight demand compares average stays per day. Covers Tallinn; conditions vary within the region.
Overall match
3.0/10 · scores & prioritiesWhat matters most?
Weather 50% · Crowds 30% · Cost 20%
#10 of 12 months here · Balanced mix
Weather1.0/10Poor
CrowdsModerate seasonvs its own year; overnight stays do not measure queuesFor its size, typical for Europe this month
CostModeratefor Europe; Estonia-wide price level
Overall combines weather, overnight demand and cost. It does not include sea temperature.
Plan your October
What to expect.
What should I pack?
Afternoons around 50°F (10°C): a sweater and a light jacket; nights around 39°F (4°C): a warm coat. Bring rain gear: about 11 days with at least 1 mm of rain. About 10 hours of daylight.
Can I swim in October?
The sea averages 53°F. Our swimming guide: very cold: wetsuit weather. Your comfort will vary. This is open water near the coast, not a beach-specific reading.
Monthly coastal averages from NOAA, 2011–2025. Sea temperature is separate from the weather and Overall scores.
A typical day: temperatures & daylightAfternoons, nights, sea temperature & daylight Show detailsHide details
About 10 hours of daylight.
The sun rises about 07:52 and sets about 18:15 (local time, mid-month). Mornings start around 39°F (4°C); afternoons reach about 50°F (10°C). Expect rain on about 11 days in a typical October.
Typical afternoon
50°F (10°C)
average daily high, 15 recent Octobers
Night low
39°F (4°C)
average daily minimum
Sea
53°F (12°C)
very cold; open water near the coast, NOAA satellite record 2011–2025
Daylight
10h 23m
on the 15th, computed from latitude
Early, middle or late?
Early or late October?
Early October is typically warmer. The afternoon high averages 56°F on the 1st, versus 46°F on the 31st. Historical wet-day frequency rises from 36% to 39% between those dates.
Mid October 15 October
50°F
Typical afternoon high
36% historical wet-day frequency
Late October 31 October
46°F
Typical afternoon high
39% historical wet-day frequency
Historical daily averages from 2011–2025, smoothed over two weeks. A seasonal pattern, not a forecast. This does not establish which week has the lowest prices or fewest visitors.
Daily calendar & holiday datesOctober 2026 · historical weather & dated holidays Show calendarHide calendar
October 2026 calendar
Weather shows historical patterns, not a forecast. Holidays and events use the dates shown for 2026.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 156° | 256° | 355° | 455° | |||
| 554° | 654° | 753° | 853° | 953° | 1052° | 1152° |
| 1252° | 1351° | 1451° | 1550° | 1650° | 1750° | 1849° |
| 1949° | 2048° | 2148° | 2248° | 2347° | 2447° | 2547° |
| 2647° | 2747° | 2846° | 2946° | 3046° | 3146° |
Afternoon high rain likely (25%+) local school holidays public holiday event
Afternoons cool from about 55°F (13°C) in the first week to 46°F (8°C) in the last. The chance of a wet day runs 33–40%. Local schools are out 26–31 October 2026.
Schools here are off 26–31 October 2026 (autumn holidays). Elsewhere in October 2026, the share of people living where schools are out on a typical day: France 45%, Germany 33%, Netherlands 39%, Switzerland 32%. (School holidays: OpenHolidays, ODbL.)
Crowds and cost
Visitor season
Will it be busy?
Moderate season. October averages 56% of July's overnight stays per day. Similar overnight stays to September.
Overnight stays across Eesti do not measure queues, day visitors or congestion at individual sights. For its size, typical for Europe this month.
Hotel price season
Will it be cheaper?
About usual. Estimated from national hotel prices and local visitor demand; no measured regional room rate is available.
Fewer overnight stays do not automatically mean cheaper rooms. Check actual quotes for your trip.
Estonia as a whole
Near EU average
2024 restaurants and hotels price level: 98 where the EU average is 100. A relative index, not a room rate.
Year-to-year variation
How much does October vary?
Across the recorded years
In the 15 years from 2011 to 2025, the month's afternoons averaged between 46°F (8°C) and 54°F (12°C); in 11 of them they were within 3°F (1.5°C) of the typical 50°F (10°C). Rain days ranged from 2 to 17; half the years had 8–16.
Rain days in each October
Rain days
11
at least 1 mm, typical year; about 17 in a wet year
Mostly sunny days
2 of 31
cloud cover under 30%
Years with a 95°F+ day
0 of 15
no October in the last 15 years had a day at or above 95°F (35°C)
Good weather days
1 of 31
rated very good or better
See every recorded OctoberHistorical monthly averages, year by year Show detailsHide details
| Year | Afternoon high | Rain days |
|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 52°F | 11 |
| 2012 | 49°F | 16 |
| 2013 | 51°F | 11 |
| 2014 | 48°F | 7 |
| 2015 | 49°F | 2 |
| 2016 | 46°F | 8 |
| 2017 | 47°F | 17 |
| 2018 | 52°F | 15 |
| 2019 | 50°F | 16 |
| 2020 | 54°F | 13 |
| 2021 | 52°F | 10 |
| 2022 | 52°F | 12 |
| 2023 | 47°F | 17 |
| 2024 | 53°F | 7 |
| 2025 | 51°F | 11 |
Checked against official climate averages for Tallinn-Harku. How we check
Compare dates
September, October
or November?
| Typical conditions | Sep | Oct | Nov |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 63°F | 50°F | 41°F |
| Sea | 60°F | 53°F | 47°F |
| Rain days | 10 | 11 | 13 |
| Overnight demand | 57% | 56% | 50% |
September: Warmer afternoons and warmer sea than October. September guide →
November: Cooler afternoons, cooler sea and more rain days than October. Less overnight demand. November guide →
Overnight demand measures accommodation stays, not queues. Sea temperatures are monthly coastal averages.
Compare any of the 12 monthsChoose another month and compare it with October Show comparisonHide comparison
Yellow marks the top three months on the Balanced mix. October stays as your reference.
May and September have a Weather score at least 1.0 point higher than October, without a substantially busier visitor season.
Your comparison
October or September?
Overnight stays are 57% of the busiest month.
National hotel prices and local visitor demand suggest about usual. No measured regional room rate is available.
Read the September guide →| Typical conditions | October | September |
|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 50°F | 63°F |
| Nights | 39°F | 48°F |
| Sea | 53°F | 60°F |
| Rain days | 11 | 10 |
| Visitor season | Moderate season | Moderate season |
| Overall / 10 | 3.0 | 6.1 |
| Month rank | #10 | #4 |
Every month, in detail Show detailsHide details
| Month | Overall | Rank | High | Low | Sea | Rain days | Weather | Visitor season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 3.0 | #7 | 30°F | 21°F | 37°F | 13 | 1.0 | Moderate season |
| February | 3.0 | #8 | 32°F | 21°F | 34°F | 9 | 1.0 | Moderate season |
| March | 3.0 | #9 | 39°F | 25°F | 34°F | 7 | 1.0 | Moderate season |
| April | 3.9 | #6 | 50°F | 33°F | 38°F | 9 | 1.9 | Moderate season |
| May | 6.2 | #2 | 61°F | 43°F | 47°F | 9 | 5.1 | Moderate season |
| June | 6.3 | #1 | 70°F | 51°F | 57°F | 10 | 7.0 | Busy season |
| July | 5.9 | #5 | 73°F | 56°F | 64°F | 11 | 7.5 | Peak season |
| August | 6.1 | #3 | 71°F | 55°F | 65°F | 13 | 6.8 | Peak season |
| September | 6.1 | #4 | 63°F | 48°F | 60°F | 10 | 4.7 | Moderate season |
| October | 3.0 | #10 | 50°F | 39°F | 53°F | 11 | 1.0 | Moderate season |
| November | 3.0 | #11 | 41°F | 33°F | 47°F | 13 | 1.0 | Moderate season |
| December | 3.0 | #12 | 35°F | 27°F | 42°F | 14 | 1.0 | Moderate season |
Near here
Nearby places in October
Nearby regions, nearest first. Distances are centre to centre, as the crow flies; they are not road distances or journey times.
HelsinkiHelsinki-Uusimaa · Finland · about 120 miles
Balanced Overall 5.5 · Good weather, 49°F (9°C) · Steady all year · Cost pricey
Latviaabout 130 miles
Balanced Overall 3.4 · Poor weather, 52°F (11°C) · Moderate season · Cost moderate
Southern Finlandabout 160 miles
Balanced Overall 3.0 · Poor weather, 48°F (9°C) · Moderate season · Cost pricey
Elsewhere in Europe
Better October weather than Estonia
Estonia's weather ranks 73 of 77 beach regions this month. These beach regions outside Estonia have clearly better weather on your dates, nearest first, each compared with Estonia.
Gdańsk & PomeraniaPoland · about 430 miles
Poor weather (2.7): 6°F warmer afternoons, quieter for its season (low season)
Skåne & southern Swedenabout 470 miles
Poor weather (2.3): 6°F warmer afternoons, quieter for its season (low season), pricier
West PomeraniaPoland · about 520 miles
Fair weather (3.1): 8°F warmer afternoons, quieter for its season (moderate season)
ZealandDenmark · about 570 miles
Poor weather (2.6): 7°F warmer afternoons, quieter for its season (low season), pricier
North JutlandDenmark · about 590 miles
Poor weather (2.1): 5°F warmer afternoons, 3 more rain days, quieter for its season (low season), pricier
How we knowSources, regional scope & scoring method Show detailsHide details
It's moderate season, 56% of the busiest month and about average for the year. That means about 17,000 overnight visitors on a typical October night across the region, 43% of them from Estonia itself. Rentals booked through Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor add up to 3,800 more: 22 for every 100 counted above. Some are the same properties counted twice.
| Climate suitability (HCI:Beach, 0–100) | 40 |
| How our weather was checked | Official climate averages for Tallinn-Harku from the national weather service, every month: afternoon highs typically within 1°F (0.5°C), night lows within 1°F (0.5°C). |
| Tourist nights per 1,000 residents per day | 12 |
| Busiest month here | July · 22 |
| Visitors as share of people present | 1.2% |
| Rank among Europe's regions this month | 52nd percentile |
| Domestic share of nights | 43% |
| Platform rental nights per 100 counted nights | 22 |
| Visitor share if every platform night were extra | 1.5% |
| National hotel-price season | Estonia historical 2024–2025 index: About usual (−2% vs its average month). Not a local room quote. |
| Population used | 1.4 million |
| Statistical region | EE00 · Eesti |
Crowds: Eurostat nights spent at tourist accommodation, by month and NUTS 2 region, 2024–2025 average. Overnight visitors per night is the month's nights divided by its days; the per-1,000 figure is Eurostat's, against each year's population. Platform rentals: Eurostat nights booked via Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor, 2024–2025 average, shown separately because some properties are in both counts. Weather: Holiday Climate Index computed from ERA5 reanalysis with daily highs, night lows and rain days corrected from open national weather-service station records, 2011–2025, population-weighted to the region; day-by-day figures are the same data averaged by date. Heat and rain odds are counted across those years. Sunrise and sunset: NOAA solar equations, local time. Prices: Eurostat price level index and HICP, national. Full method · this region's data.