Early February 1 February
61°F
Typical afternoon high
23% historical wet-day frequency
Portugal · Beach
Is February a good time?
February averages 62°F afternoons and 59°F seas, with about 7 rain days.
Historical Península de Setúbal regional averages, not a forecast or a measure of queues. Overnight demand compares average stays per day. Covers Arrábida and Setúbal; conditions vary within the region.
What matters most?
Weather 50% · Crowds 30% · Cost 20%
#11 of 12 months here · Balanced mix
Overall combines weather, overnight demand and cost. It does not include sea temperature.
Plan your February
Afternoons around 62°F (17°C): light layers; nights around 48°F (9°C): a warm coat. About 11 hours of daylight. About 7 rain days in a typical February.
The sea averages 59°F. Our swimming guide: cold: short dips, or a wetsuit. Your comfort will vary. This is open water near the coast, not a beach-specific reading.
Monthly coastal averages from NOAA, 2011–2025. Sea temperature is separate from the weather and Overall scores.
The sun rises about 07:28 and sets about 18:12 (local time, mid-month). Mornings start around 48°F (9°C); afternoons reach about 62°F (17°C). Expect rain on about 7 days in a typical February.
Early, middle or late?
Early and late February have similar afternoon averages. The afternoon high averages 61°F on the 1st, versus 63°F on the 28th.
61°F
Typical afternoon high
23% historical wet-day frequency
62°F
Typical afternoon high
28% historical wet-day frequency
63°F
Typical afternoon high
26% historical wet-day frequency
Historical daily averages from 2011–2025, smoothed over two weeks. A seasonal pattern, not a forecast. This does not establish which week has the lowest prices or fewest visitors.
Public holidays · 2027: 9 Feb Carnival.
Weather shows historical patterns, not a forecast. Holidays and events use the dates shown for 2027.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 161° | 261° | 361° | 461° | 561° | 661° | 761° |
| 861° | 961° | 1061° | 1162° | 1262° | 1362° | 1462° |
| 1562° | 1662° | 1762° | 1863° | 1963° | 2063° | 2163° |
| 2263° | 2363° | 2463° | 2563° | 2663° | 2763° | 2863° |
Afternoon high rain likely (25%+) local school holidays public holiday event
Afternoons warm from about 61°F (16°C) in the first week to 63°F (17°C) in the last. The chance of a wet day runs 19–29%. Local schools are out 8–10 February 2027.
Schools here are off 8–10 February 2027 (Carnival holidays). Public holidays: 9 Feb Carnival. Elsewhere in February 2027, the share of people living where schools are out on a typical day: France 42%, Netherlands 46%, Belgium 25%, Czechia 18%. (School holidays: OpenHolidays, ODbL.)
Visitor season
Low season. February averages 29% of August's overnight stays per day. More overnight stays than January.
Overnight stays across Península de Setúbal do not measure queues, day visitors or congestion at individual sights. For its size, quieter than most of Europe this month.
Hotel price season
Well below usual. Historical regional hotel revenue (2024–2025 monthly average): €40 per guest-night. An average, not a booking quote.
Fewer overnight stays do not automatically mean cheaper rooms. Check actual quotes for your trip.
The historical regional amount comes from INE Portugal, Inquérito à Permanência de Hóspedes: hotel room revenue per guest-night; the country price level is national. Hotel averages are not live booking quotes.
Year-to-year variation
In the 15 years from 2011 to 2025, the month's afternoons averaged between 58°F (15°C) and 65°F (18°C); in 10 of them they were within 3°F (1.5°C) of the typical 62°F (17°C). Rain days ranged from 0 to 17; half the years had 3–10.
Rain days in each February
| Year | Afternoon high | Rain days |
|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 62°F | 9 |
| 2012 | 60°F | 0 |
| 2013 | 59°F | 7 |
| 2014 | 60°F | 17 |
| 2015 | 58°F | 3 |
| 2016 | 61°F | 9 |
| 2017 | 62°F | 10 |
| 2018 | 60°F | 5 |
| 2019 | 64°F | 2 |
| 2020 | 65°F | 1 |
| 2021 | 62°F | 14 |
| 2022 | 65°F | 3 |
| 2023 | 62°F | 3 |
| 2024 | 65°F | 10 |
| 2025 | 63°F | 9 |
Checked against official climate averages for Setubal (Estacao de Fruticultura). How we check
Compare dates
| Typical conditions | Jan | Feb | Mar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 61°F | 62°F | 65°F |
| Sea | 60°F | 59°F | 59°F |
| Rain days | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| Overnight demand | 23% | 29% | 35% |
January: Less overnight demand. January guide →
March: Warmer afternoons than February. More overnight demand. March guide →
Overnight demand measures accommodation stays, not queues. Sea temperatures are monthly coastal averages.
Yellow marks the top three months on the Balanced mix. February stays as your reference.
April to October have a Weather score at least 1.0 point higher than February, but more overnight stays.
Your comparison
Overnight stays are 23% of the busiest month.
Historical regional hotel revenue (2024–2025 monthly average): €41 per guest-night. An average, not a booking quote.
Read the January guide →| Typical conditions | February | January |
|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 62°F | 61°F |
| Nights | 48°F | 47°F |
| Sea | 59°F | 60°F |
| Rain days | 7 | 7 |
| Visitor season | Low season | Low season |
| Overall / 10 | 7.2 | 6.9 |
| Month rank | #11 | #12 |
| Month | Overall | Rank | High | Low | Sea | Rain days | Weather | Visitor season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 6.9 | #12 | 61°F | 47°F | 60°F | 7 | 4.9 | Low season |
| February | 7.2 | #11 | 62°F | 48°F | 59°F | 7 | 5.2 | Low season |
| March | 7.5 | #9 | 65°F | 49°F | 59°F | 7 | 5.9 | Moderate season |
| April | 7.9 | #6 | 69°F | 52°F | 60°F | 7 | 7.2 | Moderate season |
| May | 8.5 | #3 | 74°F | 55°F | 62°F | 2 | 8.9 | Moderate season |
| June | 8.9 | #1 | 78°F | 58°F | 64°F | 1 | 10.0 | Moderate season |
| July | 8.3 | #4 | 83°F | 60°F | 65°F | 0 | 10.0 | Busy season |
| August | 7.7 | #7 | 83°F | 60°F | 66°F | 0 | 10.0 | Peak season |
| September | 8.5 | #2 | 80°F | 60°F | 66°F | 2 | 10.0 | Busy season |
| October | 8.3 | #5 | 74°F | 59°F | 66°F | 8 | 8.3 | Moderate season |
| November | 7.6 | #8 | 66°F | 53°F | 64°F | 9 | 6.1 | Low season |
| December | 7.4 | #10 | 62°F | 49°F | 62°F | 7 | 5.4 | Low season |
Near here
Nearby regions, nearest first. Distances are centre to centre, as the crow flies; they are not road distances or journey times.
LisbonPortugal · about 20 miles
Balanced Overall 7.3 · Very good weather, 61°F (16°C) · Steady all year · Cost moderate
Óbidos, Nazaré & the Tagus ValleyPortugal · about 50 miles
Balanced Overall 6.9 · Fair weather, 62°F (16°C) · Low season · Cost cheap
AlentejoPortugal · about 50 miles
Balanced Overall 8.5 · Very good weather, 62°F (17°C) · Low season · Cost cheap
The AlgarvePortugal · about 100 miles
Balanced Overall 7.8 · Good weather, 64°F (18°C) · Low season · Cost cheap
Central Portugalabout 130 miles
Balanced Overall 5.7 · Fair weather, 59°F (15°C) · Low season · Cost cheap
Elsewhere in Europe
Setúbal Peninsula's weather ranks 12 of 77 beach regions this month. These beach regions outside Portugal have clearly better weather on your dates, nearest first, each compared with Setúbal Peninsula.
AndalusiaSpain · about 250 miles
Good weather (6.2): about as warm, 2 fewer rain days, pricier
CeutaSpain · about 270 miles
Good weather (6.2): about as warm, pricier
MelillaSpain · about 400 miles
Very good weather (7.6): 5°F warmer afternoons, 2 fewer rain days, pricier
MurciaSpain · about 400 miles
Very good weather (7.0): 3°F warmer afternoons, 5 fewer rain days, busier for its season (moderate season), pricier
Valencia & the Costa BlancaSpain · about 450 miles
Good weather (6.6): 2°F warmer afternoons, 5 fewer rain days, pricier
It's low season, 29% of the busiest month and 41% below its average month. That means about 4,000 overnight visitors on a typical February night across the region, 65% of them from Portugal itself. Rentals booked through Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor add up to 1,600 more: 40 for every 100 counted above. Some are the same properties counted twice.
| Climate suitability (HCI:Beach, 0–100) | 61 |
| How our weather was checked | Official climate averages for Setubal (Estacao de Fruticultura) from the national weather service, every month: afternoon highs typically within 3°F (1.8°C), night lows within 3°F (1.9°C). |
| Tourist nights per 1,000 residents per day | 5 |
| Busiest month here | August · 16 |
| Visitors as share of people present | 0.5% |
| Rank among Europe's regions this month | 24th percentile |
| Domestic share of nights | 65% |
| Platform rental nights per 100 counted nights | 40 |
| Visitor share if every platform night were extra | 0.7% |
| Population used | 849,000 |
| Statistical region | PT1B · Península de Setúbal |
Crowds: Eurostat nights spent at tourist accommodation, by month and NUTS 2 region, 2024–2025 average. Overnight visitors per night is the month's nights divided by its days; the per-1,000 figure is Eurostat's, against each year's population. Platform rentals: Eurostat nights booked via Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor, 2024–2025 average, shown separately because some properties are in both counts. Weather: Holiday Climate Index computed from ERA5 reanalysis with daily highs, night lows and rain days corrected from open national weather-service station records, 2011–2025, population-weighted to the region; day-by-day figures are the same data averaged by date. Heat and rain odds are counted across those years. Sunrise and sunset: NOAA solar equations, local time. Prices: Eurostat price level index and HICP, national; the first figure is regional (INE Portugal, Inquérito à Permanência de Hóspedes: hotel room revenue per guest-night). Full method · this region's data.