Early June 1 June
76°F
Typical afternoon high
6% historical wet-day frequency
Portugal · Beach
Is June a good time?
June averages 78°F afternoons and 64°F seas, with about 1 rain day. Later June is typically warmer.
Historical Península de Setúbal regional averages, not a forecast or a measure of queues. Overnight demand compares average stays per day. Covers Arrábida and Setúbal; conditions vary within the region.
What matters most?
Weather 50% · Crowds 30% · Cost 20%
#1 of 12 months here · Balanced mix
Overall combines weather, overnight demand and cost. It does not include sea temperature.
Plan your June
Afternoons around 78°F (26°C): T-shirt weather; nights around 58°F (14°C): a sweater and a light jacket. About 15 hours of daylight. About 1 rain day in a typical June.
The sea averages 64°F. Our swimming guide: fresh: fine once you are in. Your comfort will vary. This is open water near the coast, not a beach-specific reading.
Monthly coastal averages from NOAA, 2011–2025. Sea temperature is separate from the weather and Overall scores.
The sun rises about 06:10 and sets about 21:01 (local time, mid-month). Mornings start around 58°F (14°C); afternoons reach about 78°F (26°C). Expect rain on about 1 day in a typical June.
Early, middle or late?
Late June is typically warmer. The afternoon high averages 76°F on the 1st, versus 81°F on the 30th.
76°F
Typical afternoon high
6% historical wet-day frequency
78°F
Typical afternoon high
4% historical wet-day frequency
81°F
Typical afternoon high
3% historical wet-day frequency
Historical daily averages from 2011–2025, smoothed over two weeks. A seasonal pattern, not a forecast. This does not establish which week has the lowest prices or fewest visitors.
Public holidays · 2027: 10 Jun Portugal Day.
Weather shows historical patterns, not a forecast. Holidays and events use the dates shown for 2027.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 176° | 276° | 377° | 477° | 577° | 677° | |
| 777° | 877° | 977° | 1077° | 1177° | 1277° | 1378° |
| 1478° | 1578° | 1678° | 1778° | 1879° | 1979° | 2079° |
| 2180° | 2280° | 2380° | 2480° | 2580° | 2680° | 2780° |
| 2881° | 2981° | 3081° |
Afternoon high rain likely (25%+) local school holidays public holiday event
Afternoons warm from about 77°F (25°C) in the first week to 80°F (27°C) in the last. The chance of a wet day runs 2–6%. Local schools are out 5–30 June 2027.
Schools here are off 5–30 June 2027 (summer holidays). Public holidays: 10 Jun Portugal Day. Elsewhere in June 2027, the share of people living where schools are out on a typical day: Italy 73%, Spain 31%, Greece 50%, Estonia 57%. (School holidays: OpenHolidays, ODbL.)
Visitor season
Moderate season. June averages 58% of August's overnight stays per day. More overnight stays than May.
Overnight stays across Península de Setúbal do not measure queues, day visitors or congestion at individual sights. For its size, quieter than most of Europe this month.
Hotel price season
Well above usual. Historical regional hotel revenue (2024–2025 monthly average): €55 per guest-night. An average, not a booking quote.
Fewer overnight stays do not automatically mean cheaper rooms. Check actual quotes for your trip.
The historical regional amount comes from INE Portugal, Inquérito à Permanência de Hóspedes: hotel room revenue per guest-night; the country price level is national. Hotel averages are not live booking quotes.
Year-to-year variation
In the 15 years from 2011 to 2025, the month's afternoons averaged between 75°F (24°C) and 82°F (28°C); in 9 of them they were within 3°F (1.5°C) of the typical 78°F (26°C). Rain days ranged from 0 to 3; half the years had 0–2.
Rain days in each June
| Year | Afternoon high | Rain days |
|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 79°F | 0 |
| 2012 | 78°F | 0 |
| 2013 | 77°F | 0 |
| 2014 | 77°F | 3 |
| 2015 | 81°F | 1 |
| 2016 | 79°F | 0 |
| 2017 | 82°F | 0 |
| 2018 | 75°F | 2 |
| 2019 | 75°F | 2 |
| 2020 | 77°F | 1 |
| 2021 | 77°F | 2 |
| 2022 | 78°F | 1 |
| 2023 | 82°F | 3 |
| 2024 | 76°F | 2 |
| 2025 | 82°F | 1 |
Checked against official climate averages for Setubal (Estacao de Fruticultura). How we check
Compare dates
| Typical conditions | May | Jun | Jul |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 74°F | 78°F | 83°F |
| Sea | 62°F | 64°F | 65°F |
| Rain days | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Overnight demand | 49% | 58% | 78% |
May: Cooler afternoons and cooler sea than June. Less overnight demand. May guide →
July: Warmer afternoons than June. More overnight demand. July guide →
Overnight demand measures accommodation stays, not queues. Sea temperatures are monthly coastal averages.
Yellow marks the top three months on the Balanced mix. June stays as your reference.
No other scored month has a Weather score at least 1.0 point higher than June.
Your comparison
Overnight stays are 49% of the busiest month.
Historical regional hotel revenue (2024–2025 monthly average): €53 per guest-night. An average, not a booking quote.
Read the May guide →| Typical conditions | June | May |
|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 78°F | 74°F |
| Nights | 58°F | 55°F |
| Sea | 64°F | 62°F |
| Rain days | 1 | 2 |
| Visitor season | Moderate season | Moderate season |
| Overall / 10 | 8.9 | 8.5 |
| Month rank | #1 | #3 |
| Month | Overall | Rank | High | Low | Sea | Rain days | Weather | Visitor season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 6.9 | #12 | 61°F | 47°F | 60°F | 7 | 4.9 | Low season |
| February | 7.2 | #11 | 62°F | 48°F | 59°F | 7 | 5.2 | Low season |
| March | 7.5 | #9 | 65°F | 49°F | 59°F | 7 | 5.9 | Moderate season |
| April | 7.9 | #6 | 69°F | 52°F | 60°F | 7 | 7.2 | Moderate season |
| May | 8.5 | #3 | 74°F | 55°F | 62°F | 2 | 8.9 | Moderate season |
| June | 8.9 | #1 | 78°F | 58°F | 64°F | 1 | 10.0 | Moderate season |
| July | 8.3 | #4 | 83°F | 60°F | 65°F | 0 | 10.0 | Busy season |
| August | 7.7 | #7 | 83°F | 60°F | 66°F | 0 | 10.0 | Peak season |
| September | 8.5 | #2 | 80°F | 60°F | 66°F | 2 | 10.0 | Busy season |
| October | 8.3 | #5 | 74°F | 59°F | 66°F | 8 | 8.3 | Moderate season |
| November | 7.6 | #8 | 66°F | 53°F | 64°F | 9 | 6.1 | Low season |
| December | 7.4 | #10 | 62°F | 49°F | 62°F | 7 | 5.4 | Low season |
Near here
Nearby regions, nearest first. Distances are centre to centre, as the crow flies; they are not road distances or journey times.
LisbonPortugal · about 20 miles
Balanced Overall 8.2 · Excellent weather, 76°F (25°C) · Steady all year · Cost pricey
Óbidos, Nazaré & the Tagus ValleyPortugal · about 50 miles
Balanced Overall 8.7 · Excellent weather, 80°F (27°C) · Moderate season · Cost cheap
AlentejoPortugal · about 50 miles
Balanced Overall 8.1 · Very good weather, 86°F (30°C) · Moderate season · Cost moderate
The AlgarvePortugal · about 100 miles
Balanced Overall 8.4 · Excellent weather, 82°F (28°C) · Busy season · Cost moderate
Central Portugalabout 130 miles
Balanced Overall 8.6 · Excellent weather, 79°F (26°C) · Moderate season · Cost cheap
Elsewhere in Europe
Setúbal Peninsula's weather ranks 26 of 77 beach regions this month. Setúbal Peninsula already has excellent weather in June; these beach regions outside Portugal are about as good and quieter for their season, nearest first.
It's moderate season, 58% of the busiest month and 19% above its average month. That means about 8,000 overnight visitors on a typical June night across the region, 59% of them from Portugal itself. Rentals booked through Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor add up to 4,800 more: 60 for every 100 counted above. Some are the same properties counted twice.
| Climate suitability (HCI:Beach, 0–100) | 85 |
| How our weather was checked | Official climate averages for Setubal (Estacao de Fruticultura) from the national weather service, every month: afternoon highs typically within 3°F (1.8°C), night lows within 3°F (1.9°C). |
| Tourist nights per 1,000 residents per day | 9 |
| Busiest month here | August · 16 |
| Visitors as share of people present | 0.9% |
| Rank among Europe's regions this month | 23rd percentile |
| Domestic share of nights | 59% |
| Platform rental nights per 100 counted nights | 60 |
| Visitor share if every platform night were extra | 1.5% |
| Population used | 849,000 |
| Statistical region | PT1B · Península de Setúbal |
Crowds: Eurostat nights spent at tourist accommodation, by month and NUTS 2 region, 2024–2025 average. Overnight visitors per night is the month's nights divided by its days; the per-1,000 figure is Eurostat's, against each year's population. Platform rentals: Eurostat nights booked via Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor, 2024–2025 average, shown separately because some properties are in both counts. Weather: Holiday Climate Index computed from ERA5 reanalysis with daily highs, night lows and rain days corrected from open national weather-service station records, 2011–2025, population-weighted to the region; day-by-day figures are the same data averaged by date. Heat and rain odds are counted across those years. Sunrise and sunset: NOAA solar equations, local time. Prices: Eurostat price level index and HICP, national; the first figure is regional (INE Portugal, Inquérito à Permanência de Hóspedes: hotel room revenue per guest-night). Full method · this region's data.