Early July 1 July
81°F
Typical afternoon high
2% historical wet-day frequency
Portugal · Beach
Setúbal Peninsula
in July.
Is July a good time?
Hot days.
More overnight stays than June.
July averages 83°F afternoons and 65°F seas, with about 0 rain days.
- Afternoons
- 83°F
- Sea
- 65°F
- Visitor demand
- 78%of August peak
Historical Península de Setúbal regional averages, not a forecast or a measure of queues. Overnight demand compares average stays per day. Covers Arrábida and Setúbal; conditions vary within the region.
Overall match
8.3/10 · scores & prioritiesWhat matters most?
Weather 50% · Crowds 30% · Cost 20%
#4 of 12 months here · Balanced mix
Weather10.0/10Excellent
CrowdsBusy seasonvs its own year; overnight stays do not measure queuesFor its size, typical for Europe this month
CostCheapfor Europe
Overall combines weather, overnight demand and cost. It does not include sea temperature.
Plan your July
What to expect.
What should I pack?
Afternoons around 83°F (28°C): summer clothes; nights around 60°F (15°C): light layers. About 15 hours of daylight. About 0 rain days in a typical July.
Can I swim in July?
The sea averages 65°F. Our swimming guide: fresh: fine once you are in. Your comfort will vary. This is open water near the coast, not a beach-specific reading.
Monthly coastal averages from NOAA, 2011–2025. Sea temperature is separate from the weather and Overall scores.
A typical day: temperatures & daylightAfternoons, nights, sea temperature & daylight Show detailsHide details
About 15 hours of daylight.
The sun rises about 06:22 and sets about 21:00 (local time, mid-month). Mornings start around 60°F (15°C); afternoons reach about 83°F (28°C). The model's median rain-day count rounds to zero; individual trips can still have rain.
Typical afternoon
83°F (28°C)
average daily high, 15 recent Julys
Night low
60°F (15°C)
average daily minimum
Sea
65°F (18°C)
fresh; open water near the coast, NOAA satellite record 2011–2025
Daylight
14h 38m
on the 15th, computed from latitude
Early, middle or late?
Early or late July?
Early and late July have similar afternoon averages. The afternoon high averages 81°F on the 1st, versus 83°F on the 31st.
Mid July 15 July
83°F
Typical afternoon high
1% historical wet-day frequency
Late July 31 July
83°F
Typical afternoon high
1% historical wet-day frequency
Historical daily averages from 2011–2025, smoothed over two weeks. A seasonal pattern, not a forecast. This does not establish which week has the lowest prices or fewest visitors.
Daily calendar & holiday datesJuly 2027 · historical weather & dated holidays Show calendarHide calendar
July 2027 calendar
Weather shows historical patterns, not a forecast. Holidays and events use the dates shown for 2027.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 181° | 281° | 382° | 482° | |||
| 582° | 682° | 782° | 882° | 982° | 1083° | 1183° |
| 1283° | 1383° | 1483° | 1583° | 1683° | 1783° | 1883° |
| 1983° | 2083° | 2183° | 2283° | 2383° | 2483° | 2583° |
| 2683° | 2783° | 2883° | 2983° | 3083° | 3183° |
Afternoon high rain likely (25%+) local school holidays public holiday event
Afternoons warm from about 82°F (28°C) in the first week to 83°F (28°C) in the last. The chance of a wet day is about 1% on any day. Local schools are out 1–31 July 2027.
Schools here are on summer holidays all of July 2027. Elsewhere in July 2027, the share of people living where schools are out on a typical day: Italy 100%, Spain 100%, Germany 54%, Netherlands 64%. (School holidays: OpenHolidays, ODbL.)
Crowds and cost
Visitor season
Will it be busy?
Busy season. July averages 78% of August's overnight stays per day. More overnight stays than June.
Overnight stays across Península de Setúbal do not measure queues, day visitors or congestion at individual sights. For its size, typical for Europe this month.
Hotel price season
Will it be cheaper?
Well above usual. Historical regional hotel revenue (2024–2025 monthly average): €60 per guest-night. An average, not a booking quote.
Fewer overnight stays do not automatically mean cheaper rooms. Check actual quotes for your trip.
Historical hotel average
€60
2024–2025 monthly average; hotel revenue per guest-night; not a current booking quote. +20% vs this region's usual month.
Portugal as a whole
Well below EU average
2024 restaurants and hotels price level: 76 where the EU average is 100. A relative index, not a room rate.
The historical regional amount comes from INE Portugal, Inquérito à Permanência de Hóspedes: hotel room revenue per guest-night; the country price level is national. Hotel averages are not live booking quotes.
Year-to-year variation
How much does July vary?
Across the recorded years
In the 15 years from 2011 to 2025, the month's afternoons averaged between 79°F (26°C) and 87°F (30°C); in 11 of them they were within 3°F (1.5°C) of the typical 83°F (28°C). Rain days ranged from 0 to 2; half the years had 0–1.
Rain days in each July
Rain days
0
at least 1 mm, typical year; about 1 in a wet year
Mostly sunny days
21 of 31
cloud cover under 30%
Years with a 95°F+ day
7 of 15
of the last 15 Julys had at least one day at or above 95°F (35°C)
Good weather days
30 of 31
rated very good or better
See every recorded JulyHistorical monthly averages, year by year Show detailsHide details
| Year | Afternoon high | Rain days |
|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 80°F | 0 |
| 2012 | 81°F | 0 |
| 2013 | 83°F | 0 |
| 2014 | 81°F | 2 |
| 2015 | 83°F | 0 |
| 2016 | 85°F | 1 |
| 2017 | 82°F | 1 |
| 2018 | 79°F | 0 |
| 2019 | 80°F | 1 |
| 2020 | 86°F | 0 |
| 2021 | 81°F | 0 |
| 2022 | 87°F | 0 |
| 2023 | 83°F | 0 |
| 2024 | 83°F | 1 |
| 2025 | 84°F | 0 |
Checked against official climate averages for Setubal (Estacao de Fruticultura). How we check
Compare dates
June, July
or August?
| Typical conditions | Jun | Jul | Aug |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 78°F | 83°F | 83°F |
| Sea | 64°F | 65°F | 66°F |
| Rain days | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Overnight demand | 58% | 78% | 100% |
June: Cooler afternoons than July. Less overnight demand. June guide →
August: More overnight demand. August guide →
Overnight demand measures accommodation stays, not queues. Sea temperatures are monthly coastal averages.
Compare any of the 12 monthsChoose another month and compare it with July Show comparisonHide comparison
Yellow marks the top three months on the Balanced mix. July stays as your reference.
June has fewer overnight stays than July, with a similar or higher Weather score.
Your comparison
July or June?
Overnight stays are 58% of the busiest month.
Historical regional hotel revenue (2024–2025 monthly average): €55 per guest-night. An average, not a booking quote.
Read the June guide →| Typical conditions | July | June |
|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 83°F | 78°F |
| Nights | 60°F | 58°F |
| Sea | 65°F | 64°F |
| Rain days | 0 | 1 |
| Visitor season | Busy season | Moderate season |
| Overall / 10 | 8.3 | 8.9 |
| Month rank | #4 | #1 |
Every month, in detail Show detailsHide details
| Month | Overall | Rank | High | Low | Sea | Rain days | Weather | Visitor season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 6.9 | #12 | 61°F | 47°F | 60°F | 7 | 4.9 | Low season |
| February | 7.2 | #11 | 62°F | 48°F | 59°F | 7 | 5.2 | Low season |
| March | 7.5 | #9 | 65°F | 49°F | 59°F | 7 | 5.9 | Moderate season |
| April | 7.9 | #6 | 69°F | 52°F | 60°F | 7 | 7.2 | Moderate season |
| May | 8.5 | #3 | 74°F | 55°F | 62°F | 2 | 8.9 | Moderate season |
| June | 8.9 | #1 | 78°F | 58°F | 64°F | 1 | 10.0 | Moderate season |
| July | 8.3 | #4 | 83°F | 60°F | 65°F | 0 | 10.0 | Busy season |
| August | 7.7 | #7 | 83°F | 60°F | 66°F | 0 | 10.0 | Peak season |
| September | 8.5 | #2 | 80°F | 60°F | 66°F | 2 | 10.0 | Busy season |
| October | 8.3 | #5 | 74°F | 59°F | 66°F | 8 | 8.3 | Moderate season |
| November | 7.6 | #8 | 66°F | 53°F | 64°F | 9 | 6.1 | Low season |
| December | 7.4 | #10 | 62°F | 49°F | 62°F | 7 | 5.4 | Low season |
Near here
Nearby places in July
Nearby regions, nearest first. Distances are centre to centre, as the crow flies; they are not road distances or journey times.
LisbonPortugal · about 20 miles
Balanced Overall 8.4 · Excellent weather, 80°F (27°C) · Steady all year · Cost moderate
Óbidos, Nazaré & the Tagus ValleyPortugal · about 50 miles
Balanced Overall 8.5 · Excellent weather, 85°F (30°C) · Busy season · Cost cheap
AlentejoPortugal · about 50 miles
Balanced Overall 7.1 · Very good weather, 92°F (33°C) · Busy season · Cost moderate
The AlgarvePortugal · about 100 miles
Balanced Overall 7.9 · Excellent weather, 87°F (31°C) · Peak season · Cost moderate
Central Portugalabout 130 miles
Balanced Overall 8.7 · Excellent weather, 85°F (29°C) · Busy season · Cost cheap
Elsewhere in Europe
Same dates, elsewhere in Europe
Setúbal Peninsula's weather ranks 3 of 77 beach regions this month. We found no beach regions outside Portugal with similar weather and a quieter visitor season.
How we knowSources, regional scope & scoring method Show detailsHide details
It's busy season, 78% of the busiest month and 58% above its average month. That means about 11,000 overnight visitors on a typical July night across the region, 65% of them from Portugal itself. Rentals booked through Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor add up to 7,700 more: 72 for every 100 counted above. Some are the same properties counted twice.
| Climate suitability (HCI:Beach, 0–100) | 89 |
| How our weather was checked | Official climate averages for Setubal (Estacao de Fruticultura) from the national weather service, every month: afternoon highs typically within 3°F (1.8°C), night lows within 3°F (1.9°C). |
| Tourist nights per 1,000 residents per day | 13 |
| Busiest month here | August · 16 |
| Visitors as share of people present | 1.2% |
| Rank among Europe's regions this month | 26th percentile |
| Domestic share of nights | 65% |
| Platform rental nights per 100 counted nights | 72 |
| Visitor share if every platform night were extra | 2.1% |
| Population used | 849,000 |
| Statistical region | PT1B · Península de Setúbal |
Crowds: Eurostat nights spent at tourist accommodation, by month and NUTS 2 region, 2024–2025 average. Overnight visitors per night is the month's nights divided by its days; the per-1,000 figure is Eurostat's, against each year's population. Platform rentals: Eurostat nights booked via Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor, 2024–2025 average, shown separately because some properties are in both counts. Weather: Holiday Climate Index computed from ERA5 reanalysis with daily highs, night lows and rain days corrected from open national weather-service station records, 2011–2025, population-weighted to the region; day-by-day figures are the same data averaged by date. Heat and rain odds are counted across those years. Sunrise and sunset: NOAA solar equations, local time. Prices: Eurostat price level index and HICP, national; the first figure is regional (INE Portugal, Inquérito à Permanência de Hóspedes: hotel room revenue per guest-night). Full method · this region's data.