Early March 1 March
63°F
Typical afternoon high
27% historical wet-day frequency
Portugal · Beach
Is March a good time?
March averages 65°F afternoons and 59°F seas, with about 7 rain days. Later March is typically warmer.
Historical Península de Setúbal regional averages, not a forecast or a measure of queues. Overnight demand compares average stays per day. Covers Arrábida and Setúbal; conditions vary within the region.
What matters most?
Weather 50% · Crowds 30% · Cost 20%
#9 of 12 months here · Balanced mix
Overall combines weather, overnight demand and cost. It does not include sea temperature.
Plan your March
Afternoons around 65°F (18°C): light layers; nights around 49°F (10°C): a sweater and a light jacket. About 12 hours of daylight. About 7 rain days in a typical March.
The sea averages 59°F. Our swimming guide: cold: short dips, or a wetsuit. Your comfort will vary. This is open water near the coast, not a beach-specific reading.
Monthly coastal averages from NOAA, 2011–2025. Sea temperature is separate from the weather and Overall scores.
The sun rises about 06:49 and sets about 18:42 (local time, mid-month). Mornings start around 49°F (10°C); afternoons reach about 65°F (18°C). Expect rain on about 7 days in a typical March.
Early, middle or late?
Late March is typically warmer. The afternoon high averages 63°F on the 1st, versus 67°F on the 31st.
63°F
Typical afternoon high
27% historical wet-day frequency
65°F
Typical afternoon high
27% historical wet-day frequency
67°F
Typical afternoon high
27% historical wet-day frequency
Historical daily averages from 2011–2025, smoothed over two weeks. A seasonal pattern, not a forecast. This does not establish which week has the lowest prices or fewest visitors.
Public holidays · 2027: 26 Mar Good Friday; 28 Mar Easter Sunday.
Weather shows historical patterns, not a forecast. Holidays and events use the dates shown for 2027.
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 163° | 263° | 363° | 463° | 563° | 663° | 764° |
| 864° | 964° | 1064° | 1165° | 1265° | 1365° | 1465° |
| 1565° | 1665° | 1765° | 1865° | 1965° | 2065° | 2165° |
| 2266° | 2366° | 2466° | 2566° | 2666° | 2766° | 2866° |
| 2966° | 3066° | 3167° |
Afternoon high rain likely (25%+) local school holidays public holiday event
Afternoons warm from about 63°F (17°C) in the first week to 66°F (19°C) in the last. The chance of a wet day runs 24–31%. Local schools are out 22–31 March 2027.
Schools here are off 22–31 March 2027 (Easter holidays). Public holidays: 26 Mar Good Friday; 28 Mar Easter Sunday. Elsewhere in March 2027, the share of people living where schools are out on a typical day: Germany 27%, Spain 30%, Italy 19%, France 10%. (School holidays: OpenHolidays, ODbL.)
Visitor season
Moderate season. March averages 35% of August's overnight stays per day. More overnight stays than February.
Overnight stays across Península de Setúbal do not measure queues, day visitors or congestion at individual sights. For its size, typical for Europe this month.
Hotel price season
Well below usual. Historical regional hotel revenue (2024–2025 monthly average): €41 per guest-night. An average, not a booking quote.
Fewer overnight stays do not automatically mean cheaper rooms. Check actual quotes for your trip.
The historical regional amount comes from INE Portugal, Inquérito à Permanência de Hóspedes: hotel room revenue per guest-night; the country price level is national. Hotel averages are not live booking quotes.
Year-to-year variation
In the 15 years from 2011 to 2025, the month's afternoons averaged between 61°F (16°C) and 69°F (20°C); in 10 of them they were within 3°F (1.5°C) of the typical 65°F (18°C). Rain days ranged from 1 to 21; half the years had 3–15.
Rain days in each March
| Year | Afternoon high | Rain days |
|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 64°F | 10 |
| 2012 | 69°F | 1 |
| 2013 | 62°F | 21 |
| 2014 | 64°F | 7 |
| 2015 | 66°F | 2 |
| 2016 | 62°F | 6 |
| 2017 | 65°F | 7 |
| 2018 | 61°F | 19 |
| 2019 | 68°F | 3 |
| 2020 | 66°F | 3 |
| 2021 | 67°F | 2 |
| 2022 | 65°F | 15 |
| 2023 | 66°F | 4 |
| 2024 | 65°F | 12 |
| 2025 | 64°F | 19 |
Checked against official climate averages for Setubal (Estacao de Fruticultura). How we check
Compare dates
| Typical conditions | Feb | Mar | Apr |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 62°F | 65°F | 69°F |
| Sea | 59°F | 59°F | 60°F |
| Rain days | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| Overnight demand | 29% | 35% | 44% |
February: Cooler afternoons than March. Less overnight demand. February guide →
April: Warmer afternoons and warmer sea than March. More overnight demand. April guide →
Overnight demand measures accommodation stays, not queues. Sea temperatures are monthly coastal averages.
Yellow marks the top three months on the Balanced mix. March stays as your reference.
April to October have a Weather score at least 1.0 point higher than March, but more overnight stays.
Your comparison
Overnight stays are 29% of the busiest month.
Historical regional hotel revenue (2024–2025 monthly average): €40 per guest-night. An average, not a booking quote.
Read the February guide →| Typical conditions | March | February |
|---|---|---|
| Afternoons | 65°F | 62°F |
| Nights | 49°F | 48°F |
| Sea | 59°F | 59°F |
| Rain days | 7 | 7 |
| Visitor season | Moderate season | Low season |
| Overall / 10 | 7.5 | 7.2 |
| Month rank | #9 | #11 |
| Month | Overall | Rank | High | Low | Sea | Rain days | Weather | Visitor season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 6.9 | #12 | 61°F | 47°F | 60°F | 7 | 4.9 | Low season |
| February | 7.2 | #11 | 62°F | 48°F | 59°F | 7 | 5.2 | Low season |
| March | 7.5 | #9 | 65°F | 49°F | 59°F | 7 | 5.9 | Moderate season |
| April | 7.9 | #6 | 69°F | 52°F | 60°F | 7 | 7.2 | Moderate season |
| May | 8.5 | #3 | 74°F | 55°F | 62°F | 2 | 8.9 | Moderate season |
| June | 8.9 | #1 | 78°F | 58°F | 64°F | 1 | 10.0 | Moderate season |
| July | 8.3 | #4 | 83°F | 60°F | 65°F | 0 | 10.0 | Busy season |
| August | 7.7 | #7 | 83°F | 60°F | 66°F | 0 | 10.0 | Peak season |
| September | 8.5 | #2 | 80°F | 60°F | 66°F | 2 | 10.0 | Busy season |
| October | 8.3 | #5 | 74°F | 59°F | 66°F | 8 | 8.3 | Moderate season |
| November | 7.6 | #8 | 66°F | 53°F | 64°F | 9 | 6.1 | Low season |
| December | 7.4 | #10 | 62°F | 49°F | 62°F | 7 | 5.4 | Low season |
Near here
Nearby regions, nearest first. Distances are centre to centre, as the crow flies; they are not road distances or journey times.
LisbonPortugal · about 20 miles
Balanced Overall 7.4 · Very good weather, 64°F (18°C) · Steady all year · Cost moderate
Óbidos, Nazaré & the Tagus ValleyPortugal · about 50 miles
Balanced Overall 7.3 · Good weather, 65°F (18°C) · Moderate season · Cost cheap
AlentejoPortugal · about 50 miles
Balanced Overall 8.5 · Very good weather, 66°F (19°C) · Low season · Cost cheap
The AlgarvePortugal · about 100 miles
Balanced Overall 7.8 · Good weather, 67°F (19°C) · Moderate season · Cost cheap
Central Portugalabout 130 miles
Balanced Overall 6.6 · Fair weather, 63°F (17°C) · Moderate season · Cost cheap
Elsewhere in Europe
Setúbal Peninsula's weather ranks 15 of 77 beach regions this month. These beach regions outside Portugal have clearly better weather on your dates, nearest first, each compared with Setúbal Peninsula.
MelillaSpain · about 400 miles
Very good weather (8.1): 6°F warmer afternoons, pricier
MurciaSpain · about 400 miles
Very good weather (7.2): 4°F warmer afternoons, 2 fewer rain days, busier for its season (moderate season), pricier
Canary IslandsSpain · about 810 miles
Very good weather (8.7): 4°F warmer afternoons, pricier
Maltaabout 1290 miles
Very good weather (7.3): about as warm, busier for its season (busy season), pricier
Cyprusabout 2320 miles
Very good weather (8.2): 3°F warmer afternoons, 2 fewer rain days, pricier
It's moderate season, 35% of the busiest month and 28% below its average month. That means about 4,800 overnight visitors on a typical March night across the region, 57% of them from Portugal itself. Rentals booked through Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor add up to 2,000 more: 41 for every 100 counted above. Some are the same properties counted twice.
| Climate suitability (HCI:Beach, 0–100) | 65 |
| How our weather was checked | Official climate averages for Setubal (Estacao de Fruticultura) from the national weather service, every month: afternoon highs typically within 3°F (1.8°C), night lows within 3°F (1.9°C). |
| Tourist nights per 1,000 residents per day | 6 |
| Busiest month here | August · 16 |
| Visitors as share of people present | 0.6% |
| Rank among Europe's regions this month | 28th percentile |
| Domestic share of nights | 57% |
| Platform rental nights per 100 counted nights | 41 |
| Visitor share if every platform night were extra | 0.8% |
| Population used | 849,000 |
| Statistical region | PT1B · Península de Setúbal |
Crowds: Eurostat nights spent at tourist accommodation, by month and NUTS 2 region, 2024–2025 average. Overnight visitors per night is the month's nights divided by its days; the per-1,000 figure is Eurostat's, against each year's population. Platform rentals: Eurostat nights booked via Airbnb, Booking, Expedia and Tripadvisor, 2024–2025 average, shown separately because some properties are in both counts. Weather: Holiday Climate Index computed from ERA5 reanalysis with daily highs, night lows and rain days corrected from open national weather-service station records, 2011–2025, population-weighted to the region; day-by-day figures are the same data averaged by date. Heat and rain odds are counted across those years. Sunrise and sunset: NOAA solar equations, local time. Prices: Eurostat price level index and HICP, national; the first figure is regional (INE Portugal, Inquérito à Permanência de Hóspedes: hotel room revenue per guest-night). Full method · this region's data.